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One sided or two? In each of the following situations, is the alternative hypothesis one-sided or two-sided? What are the hypotheses? a) A business student conducts a taste test to see whether students prefer Diet Coke or Diet Pepsi. b) PepsiCo recently reformulated Diet Pepsi in an attempt to appeal to teenagers. The company runs a taste test to see if the new formula appeals to more teenagers than the standard formula. c) A budget override in a small town requires a two thirds majority to pass. A local newspaper conducts a poll to see if there's evidence it will pass. d) One financial theory states that the stock market will go up or down with equal probability. A student collects data over several years to test the theory.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Two-sided; b) One-sided; c) One-sided; d) Two-sided.

Step by step solution

01

Determine if it's one-sided or two-sided hypothesis (a)

A business student wants to test whether students prefer Diet Coke or Diet Pepsi. Here, we are looking for any difference in preference, not favoring one over the other specifically. Thus, this scenario calls for a two-sided hypothesis test. The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) would be: "There is no preference between Diet Coke and Diet Pepsi," while the alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is: "There is a preference between Diet Coke and Diet Pepsi."
02

Determine if it's one-sided or two-sided hypothesis (b)

PepsiCo wants to determine if a newly reformulated Diet Pepsi appeals to more teenagers than the standard formula. This implies a specific direction of 'more appeal' rather than just a difference. Hence, this hypothesis is one-sided. The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) is: "The new formula does not appeal to more teenagers than the standard formula," and the alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is: "The new formula does appeal to more teenagers than the standard formula."
03

Determine if it's one-sided or two-sided hypothesis (c)

The poll's aim is to provide evidence of whether the budget override will pass, requiring at least two-thirds approval. The interest here is in showing whether the proportion is greater than two-thirds, indicating a one-sided hypothesis. The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) is: "The proportion supporting the budget override is less than or equal to two-thirds," and the alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is: "The proportion supporting the budget override is greater than two-thirds."
04

Determine if it's one-sided or two-sided hypothesis (d)

In testing if the stock market goes up or down with equal probability, the question is whether the rate of market increase differs from its decrease, implying a two-sided hypothesis. The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) is: "The probability of the stock market going up equals the probability of it going down," while the alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is: "The probability of the stock market going up does not equal the probability of it going down."

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-sided Hypothesis
A one-sided hypothesis test is used when we are interested in determining if there is an effect in only one direction. In this scenario, you expect a change but want to test if that change is specifically higher or lower than expected. This is essentially a directional test, where you're trying to see if the data heads towards a particular direction.

For instance, consider when PepsiCo wants to find out if their new Diet Pepsi appeals to more teenagers than their standard formula. Here, PepsiCo is only interested in seeing if there's more appeal, making it a one-sided test.
  • The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) would claim that "The new formula does not appeal to more teenagers." This implies either no change or a lesser degree of appeal.
  • The alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is more specific, stating that "The new formula does appeal to more teenagers."
Such scenarios are common in cases where proving an increase or improvement over a baseline is required.
Two-sided Hypothesis
A two-sided hypothesis test is utilized when we are checking for differences without specifying a direction. Here, you want to see if there is any change, not favoring an increase or decrease. This involves checking for any significant difference, regardless of direction.

For example, when a business student wants to see if there's a preference between Diet Coke and Diet Pepsi, they're simply interested in any preference. The test considers either brand being more preferred than the other.
  • The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) would state: "There is no preference between Diet Coke and Diet Pepsi."
  • The alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) considers both possibilities: "There is a preference between Diet Coke and Diet Pepsi."
Two-sided tests are useful in situations where deviation from the status quo in either direction is significant.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing. It represents the idea that there is no effect or no difference, and any observed effect is due to random chance. Essentially, it's your starting assumption before collecting data.

When testing hypotheses, the null hypothesis serves as the default position that you seek to test against. For example, in the budget override case, the null hypothesis could be "The proportion supporting the budget override is less than or equal to two-thirds." This means that the current support is not sufficiently high for the override to pass.
The strength of evidence is weighed to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. If data strongly contradicts H_0 , it might be rejected, favoring the alternative hypothesis ( H_a ). Conversely, if there's insufficient evidence, H_0 is not rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is the statement you aim to find support for in a hypothesis test. It represents the existence of an effect or difference in the population that the null hypothesis dismisses.

For example, when testing if the stock market goes up or down with equal probability, the alternative hypothesis might be "The probability of the stock market going up does not equal the probability of it going down." This suggests that there's a difference in probabilities, counter to what the null hypothesis states.
  • In the case of the reformulated Diet Pepsi, H_a indicates a stronger appeal to teenagers.
  • For the budget override poll, H_a implies support greater than two-thirds for approval.
The goal in testing is often to gather enough evidence to support H_a , showing that the observed effect is likely genuine and not due to random chance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

\- Dogs Canine hip dysplasia is a degenerative disease that causes pain in many dogs. Sometimes advanced warning signs appear in puppics as young as 6 months. A veterinarian checked 42 puppies whose owners brought them to a vaccination clinic, and she found 5 with early hip dysplasia. She considers this group to be a random sample of all puppies. a) Explain we cannot use this information to construct a confidence interval for the rate of occurrence of early hip dysplasia among all 6 -month-old puppies. b) Construct a "plus-four" confidence interval and interpret it in this context.

Homeowners 2009 In \(2009,\) the U.S. Census Bureau reported that \(67.4 \%\) of American families owned their homes. Census data reveal that the ownership rate in one small city is much lower. The city council is debating a plan to offer tax breaks to first-time home buyers in order to encourage people to become homeowners. They decide to adopt the plan on a 2 -year trial basis and use the data they collect to make a decision about continuing the tax breaks. Since this plan costs the city tax revenues, they will continue to use it only if there is strong evidence that the rate of home ownership is increasing. a) In words, what will their hypotheses be? b) What would a Type I error be? c) What would a Type II error be? d) For each type of error, tell who would be harmed. c) What would the power of the test represent in this context?

Parameters and hypotheses For each of the following situations, define the parameter (proportion or mean) and write the null and alternative hypotheses in terms of parameter values. Example: We want to know if the proportion of up days in the stock market is \(50 \%\). Answer: Let \(p=\) the proportion of up days. \(\mathrm{H}_{\mathrm{o}}: p=0.5\) vs. \(\mathrm{H}_{\mathrm{A}}: p \neq 0.5.\) a) A casino wants to know if their slot machine really delivers the 1 in 100 win rate that it claims. b) A pharmaceutical company wonders if their new drug has a cure rate different from the \(30 \%\) reported by the placebo. c) A bank wants to know if the percentage of customers using their website has changed from the \(40 \%\) that used it before their system crashed last week.

Quality control Production managers on an assembly line must monitor the output to be sure that the level of defective products remains small. They periodically inspect a random sample of the items produced. If they find a significant increase in the proportion of items that must be rejected, they will halt the assembly process until the problem can be identified and repaired. a) In this context, what is a Type I error? b) In this context, what is a Type II error? c) Which type of error would the factory owner consider more serious? d) Which type of error might customers consider more serious?

Significant again? A new reading program may reduce the number of elementary school students who read below grade level. The company that developed this program supplied materials and teacher training for a large-scale test involving nearly 8500 children in several different school districts. Statistical analysis of the results showed that the percentage of students who did not meet the grade-level goal was reduced from \(15.9 \%\) to \(15.1 \%\) The hypothesis that the new reading program produced no improvement was rejected with a P-value of 0.023 a) Explain what the P-value means in this context. b) Even though this reading method has been shown to be significantly better, why might you not recommend that your local school adopt it?

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