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More conditions Consider each situation described. Identify the population and the sample, explain what \(p\) and \(\hat{p}\) represent, and tell whether the methods of this chapter can be used to create a confidence interval. a.A consumer group hoping to assess customer experiences with auto dealers surveys 167 people who recently bought new cars; \(3 \%\) of them expressed dissatisfaction with the salesperson. b. What percent of college students have cell phones? 2883 students were asked as they entered a football stadium, and 2430 said they had phones with them. c. Two hundred forty potato plants in a field in Maine are randomly checked, and only 7 show signs of blight. How severe is the blight problem for the U.S. potato industry? d. Twelve of the 309 employees of a small company suffered an injury on the job last year. What can the company expect in future years?

Short Answer

Expert verified
In all four situations, the population and the samples are identifiable, as well as \(p\) and \(\hat{p}\), which represent the population and sample proportions respectively. Therefore, with this and the appropriate sample sizes, statistical methods outlined throughout the course could be applied, including the creation of confidence intervals.

Step by step solution

01

Situation A

In situation A, the population is all people who recently bought new cars. The sample is the 167 people who were surveyed. \(p\) represents the proportion of all new car buyers who were dissatisfied with the salesperson, and \(\hat{p}\) is the proportion of those surveyed (3%) who expressed dissatisfaction. The methods of this chapter can be used to create a confidence interval since we have a random sample and a known proportion.
02

Situation B

In situation B, the population is all college students. The sample is the 2883 students surveyed. \(p\) would represent the proportion of all college students who have cell phones, and \(\hat{p}\) represents the proportion of those surveyed ((2430/2883)*100%) who said they had a phone. The methods of the chapter can be used here because we again have a random sample and a known sample proportion.
03

Situation C

In situation C, the population is all potato plants in a field in Maine. The sample is the 240 plants checked. \(p\) represents the proportion of all the plants that show signs of blight, and \(\hat{p}\) is the proportion of those checked ((7/240)*100%) exhibiting blight signs. The methods of this chapter can be applied here because we have a random sample and a known sample proportion.
04

Situation D

In situation D, the population is all employees of the small company. The sample is the 309 employees under consideration. \(p\) would represent the proportion of all employees who might suffer an injury, and \(\hat{p}\) represents the proportion of employees surveyed ((12/309)*100%) who suffered an injury last year. The methods of this chapter can be applied here because we again have a random sample and a known sample proportion.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population and Sample
Understanding the concepts of population and sample is fundamental in statistics. The **population** is the entire group that you want to draw conclusions about. It includes all members or elements that fit a particular set of criteria. For example, in Situation A, the population is every person who recently bought a new car. The size of the population can be quite large or practically infinite.

On the other hand, a **sample** is a subset of the population. It's a smaller group selected for study to make inferences about the overall population. In Situation A, the sample consists of the 167 car buyers surveyed. An important aspect of working with samples is that they should be representative of the population, usually achieved through random sampling. This ensures that the sample captures the diversity and traits of the entire group sufficiently, allowing for valid generalizations.
Proportion Estimation
Proportion estimation involves finding the percentage or fraction of a specific characteristic within a population. When dealing with proportions, we use two main symbols. The population proportion is denoted by **p**, which represents the true fraction of the population with the particular trait. For instance, if we're assessing dissatisfaction amongst all new car buyers, **p** would be the true proportion of buyers who are dissatisfied.

The sample proportion is denoted by **\( \hat{p} \)**, which is an estimate based on data from the sampled individuals. It provides an approximate value of **p**. In Situation A, **\( \hat{p} \) = 0.03** or 3%, which estimates the proportion of dissatisfied car buyers in the sample surveyed. Calculating these proportions is crucial in forming baseline statistics from which further statistical analysis, such as confidence intervals, can be drawn.
Survey Sampling
Survey sampling is a method used to collect data and make inferences about a population. It involves selecting a part of the population to observe and measure key attributes. The design and method of sampling matter significantly because they impact the accuracy and reliability of the results.

In the examples provided, random sampling is implied, which is essential to minimize bias and ensure that each member of the population has an equal chance of being included in the sample. For instance, in Situation C, 240 potato plants are randomly checked for blight. Random sampling helps generalize the findings well to the entire field of potato plants or even broader, such as the potato industry in the U.S.

Correct survey sampling methods enable researchers to gather insights and form conclusions about a population while only observing a manageable number of individuals or items.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference allows you to draw conclusions about a population based on data gathered from a sample. It's the backbone of many statistical analyses and decisions in research and daily business applications.

In the methods described, the construction of confidence intervals is a key part of statistical inference. Confidence intervals give an estimated range that is likely to contain the population parameter, such as the population proportion **p**. For example, in Situation B, if you calculate a confidence interval for the proportion of college students with cell phones, you provide a range that likely contains the true proportion **p** based on your sample's proportion **\( \hat{p} \)**.Accurate statistical inferences depend on how well the sample represents the population and on the calculation methods used. By estimating parameters and constructing intervals, you can make educated guesses about the population's characteristics despite not observing every element or individual.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Margin of error A TV newscaster reports the results of a poll of voters, and then says, "The margin of error is plus or minus \(4 \%\)." Explain carefully what that means.

Gambling A city ballot includes a local initiative that would legalize gambling. The issue is hotly contested, and two groups decide to conduct polls to predict the outcome. The local newspaper finds that \(53 \%\) of 1200 randomly selected voters plan to vote "yes," while a college statistics class finds \(54 \%\) of 450 randomly selected voters in support. Both groups will create \(95 \%\) confidence intervals. a. Without finding the confidence intervals, explain which one will have the larger margin of error. b. Find both confidence intervals. c. Which group concludes that the outcome is too close to call? Why?

Send money When they send out their fundraising letters, a philanthropic organization typically gets a return from about \(5 \%\) of the people on their mailing list. To see what the response rate might be for future appeals, they did a simulation using samples of size \(20,50,100,\) and 200 . For each sample size, they simulated 1000 mailings with success rate \(p=0.05\) and constructed the histogram of the 1000 sample proportions, shown below. Explain what these histograms show about the sampling distribution model for sample proportions. Be sure to talk about shape, center, and spread.

Teachers A 2011 Gallup Poll found that \(76 \%\) of Americans believe that high achieving high school students should be recruited to become teachers. This poll was based on a random sample of 1002 Americans. a. Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of Americans who would agree with this. b. Interpret your interval in this context. c. Explain what "90\% confidence" means. d. Do these data refute a pundit's claim that \(2 / 3\) of Americans believe this statement? Explain.

More spanking In Exercise 14 ?, we saw that \(53 \%\) of surveyed parents don't spank their children. a. Are the conditions for constructing a confidence interval met? b. Would the margin of error be larger or smaller for \(95 \%\) confidence? Explain.

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