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More conditions Consider each situation described. Identify the population and the sample, explain what \(p\) and \(\hat{p}\) represent, and tell whether the methods of this chapter can be used to create a confidence interval. a.A consumer group hoping to assess customer experiences with auto dealers surveys 167 people who recently bought new cars; \(3 \%\) of them expressed dissatisfaction with the salesperson. b. What percent of college students have cell phones? 2883 students were asked as they entered a football stadium, and 2430 said they had phones with them. c. Two hundred forty potato plants in a field in Maine are randomly checked, and only 7 show signs of blight. How severe is the blight problem for the U.S. potato industry? d. Twelve of the 309 employees of a small company suffered an injury on the job last year. What can the company expect in future years?

Short Answer

Expert verified
In all four situations, the population and the samples are identifiable, as well as \(p\) and \(\hat{p}\), which represent the population and sample proportions respectively. Therefore, with this and the appropriate sample sizes, statistical methods outlined throughout the course could be applied, including the creation of confidence intervals.

Step by step solution

01

Situation A

In situation A, the population is all people who recently bought new cars. The sample is the 167 people who were surveyed. \(p\) represents the proportion of all new car buyers who were dissatisfied with the salesperson, and \(\hat{p}\) is the proportion of those surveyed (3%) who expressed dissatisfaction. The methods of this chapter can be used to create a confidence interval since we have a random sample and a known proportion.
02

Situation B

In situation B, the population is all college students. The sample is the 2883 students surveyed. \(p\) would represent the proportion of all college students who have cell phones, and \(\hat{p}\) represents the proportion of those surveyed ((2430/2883)*100%) who said they had a phone. The methods of the chapter can be used here because we again have a random sample and a known sample proportion.
03

Situation C

In situation C, the population is all potato plants in a field in Maine. The sample is the 240 plants checked. \(p\) represents the proportion of all the plants that show signs of blight, and \(\hat{p}\) is the proportion of those checked ((7/240)*100%) exhibiting blight signs. The methods of this chapter can be applied here because we have a random sample and a known sample proportion.
04

Situation D

In situation D, the population is all employees of the small company. The sample is the 309 employees under consideration. \(p\) would represent the proportion of all employees who might suffer an injury, and \(\hat{p}\) represents the proportion of employees surveyed ((12/309)*100%) who suffered an injury last year. The methods of this chapter can be applied here because we again have a random sample and a known sample proportion.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population and Sample
Understanding the concepts of population and sample is fundamental in statistics. The **population** is the entire group that you want to draw conclusions about. It includes all members or elements that fit a particular set of criteria. For example, in Situation A, the population is every person who recently bought a new car. The size of the population can be quite large or practically infinite.

On the other hand, a **sample** is a subset of the population. It's a smaller group selected for study to make inferences about the overall population. In Situation A, the sample consists of the 167 car buyers surveyed. An important aspect of working with samples is that they should be representative of the population, usually achieved through random sampling. This ensures that the sample captures the diversity and traits of the entire group sufficiently, allowing for valid generalizations.
Proportion Estimation
Proportion estimation involves finding the percentage or fraction of a specific characteristic within a population. When dealing with proportions, we use two main symbols. The population proportion is denoted by **p**, which represents the true fraction of the population with the particular trait. For instance, if we're assessing dissatisfaction amongst all new car buyers, **p** would be the true proportion of buyers who are dissatisfied.

The sample proportion is denoted by **\( \hat{p} \)**, which is an estimate based on data from the sampled individuals. It provides an approximate value of **p**. In Situation A, **\( \hat{p} \) = 0.03** or 3%, which estimates the proportion of dissatisfied car buyers in the sample surveyed. Calculating these proportions is crucial in forming baseline statistics from which further statistical analysis, such as confidence intervals, can be drawn.
Survey Sampling
Survey sampling is a method used to collect data and make inferences about a population. It involves selecting a part of the population to observe and measure key attributes. The design and method of sampling matter significantly because they impact the accuracy and reliability of the results.

In the examples provided, random sampling is implied, which is essential to minimize bias and ensure that each member of the population has an equal chance of being included in the sample. For instance, in Situation C, 240 potato plants are randomly checked for blight. Random sampling helps generalize the findings well to the entire field of potato plants or even broader, such as the potato industry in the U.S.

Correct survey sampling methods enable researchers to gather insights and form conclusions about a population while only observing a manageable number of individuals or items.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference allows you to draw conclusions about a population based on data gathered from a sample. It's the backbone of many statistical analyses and decisions in research and daily business applications.

In the methods described, the construction of confidence intervals is a key part of statistical inference. Confidence intervals give an estimated range that is likely to contain the population parameter, such as the population proportion **p**. For example, in Situation B, if you calculate a confidence interval for the proportion of college students with cell phones, you provide a range that likely contains the true proportion **p** based on your sample's proportion **\( \hat{p} \)**.Accurate statistical inferences depend on how well the sample represents the population and on the calculation methods used. By estimating parameters and constructing intervals, you can make educated guesses about the population's characteristics despite not observing every element or individual.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Baseball fans In a poll taken in December 2012, Gallup asked 1006 national adults whether they were baseball fans; \(48 \%\) said they were. Almost five years earlier, in February \(2008,\) only \(35 \%\) of a similar-size sample had reported being baseball fans. a. Find the margin of error for the 2012 poll if we want \(90 \%\) confidence in our estimate of the percent of national adults who are baseball fans. b. Explain what that margin of error means. c. If we wanted to be \(99 \%\) confident, would the margin of error be larger or smaller? Explain. d. Find that margin of error. e. In general, if all other aspects of the situation remain the same, will smaller margins of error produce greater or less confidence in the interval?

Junk mail Direct mail advertisers send solicitations (a.k.a. "junk mail") to thousands of potential customers in the hope that some will buy the company's product. The acceptance rate is usually quite low. Suppose a company wants to test the response to a new flyer, and sends it to 1000 people randomly selected from their mailing list of over 200,000 people. They get orders from 123 of the recipients. a. Create a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the percentage of people the company contacts who may buy something. b. Explain what this interval means. c. Explain what "90\% confidence" means. d. The company must decide whether to now do a mass mailing. The mailing won't be cost-effective unless it produces at least a \(5 \%\) return. What does your confidence interval suggest? Explain.

Conditions For each situation described below, identify the population and the sample, explain what \(p\) and \(\hat{p}\) represent, and tell whether the methods of this chapter can be used to create a confidence interval. a. Police set up an auto checkpoint at which drivers are stopped and their cars inspected for safety problems. They find that 14 of the 134 cars stopped have at least one safety violation. They want to estimate the percentage of all cars that may be unsafe. b. A TV talk show asks viewers to register their opinions on prayer in schools by logging on to a website. Of the 602 people who voted, 488 favored prayer in schools. We want to estimate the level of support among the general public. c. A school is considering requiring students to wear uniforms. The PTA surveys parent opinion by sending a questionnaire home with all 1245 students; 380 surveys are returned, with 228 families in favor of the change. d. A college admits 1632 freshmen one year, and four years later, 1388 of them graduate on time. The college wants to estimate the percentage of all their freshman enrollees who graduate on time.

Hiring In preparing a report on the economy, we need to estimate the percentage of businesses that plan to hire additional employees in the next 60 days. a. How many randomly selected employers must we contact in order to create an estimate in which we are \(98 \%\) confident with a margin of error of \(5 \% ?\) b. Suppose we want to reduce the margin of error to \(3 \%\). What sample size will suffice? C. Why might it not be worth the effort to try to get an interval with a margin of error of only \(1 \% ?\)

Death penalty, again In the survey on the death penalty you read about in the Step-by-Step Example, the Gallup Poll actually split the sample at random, asking 510 respondents the question quoted earlier, "Generally speaking, do you believe the death penalty is applied fairly or unfairly in this country today?" The other 510 were asked, "Generally speaking, do you believe the death penalty is applied unfairly or fairly in this country today?" Seems like the same question, but sometimes the order of the choices matters. Suppose that for the second way of phrasing it, \(64 \%\) said they thought the death penalty was fairly applied. (Recall that \(53 \%\) of the original 510 thought the same thing.) a. What kind of bias may be present here? b. If we combine them, considering the overall group to be one larger random sample of 1020 respondents, what is a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of the general public that thinks the death penalty is being fairly applied? c. How does the margin of error based on this pooled sample compare with the margins of error from the separate groups? Why?

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