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More spanking In Exercise 14 ?, we saw that \(53 \%\) of surveyed parents don't spank their children. a. Are the conditions for constructing a confidence interval met? b. Would the margin of error be larger or smaller for \(95 \%\) confidence? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Yes, the conditions for constructing a confidence interval are met: The survey was random, the normal condition is met, and the sample is independent. b. The margin of error would be larger for a 95% confidence interval as compared to a lower confidence level.

Step by step solution

01

Verifying Conditions

There are three main conditions that must be met for constructing a confidence interval: 1) Random: The data must be gathered in a random manner. We're not directly given information about this in the problem statement but in practical situation it is usually assumed. 2) Normal: We need at least 10 successes and 10 failures. In this case, if we assume that the survey was done on 1000 parents, 530 parents do not spank while 470 do, so the condition is met. 3) Independent: The sample size should be less than 10% of the population size. Again, the exercise does not provide information about the total population, but it is safe to assume that the number of parents is more than 10000, so this condition meets.
02

Understanding Confidence Level and Margin of Error Relationship

As confidence level increases, the margin of error increases. This is because a higher confidence level means that we are more certain that the true population parameter is within our specified range, so we need a larger range (increased margin of error) to be more confident.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Survey Sampling
Survey sampling is a fundamental aspect of gathering information from a population. In survey sampling, we select a sample group from a broader population to make inferences about the entire population. Knowing how to properly select and analyze a sample is crucial for ensuring that the results we obtain are valid and reliable.

When conducting survey sampling, it is essential to collect data randomly. This means that every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected. Random sampling helps ensure that the sample is representative of the population, reducing bias in the results.
  • A random sample reduces bias.
  • A sample must be representative to make accurate population inferences.
  • A larger sample size generally improves the reliability of the results.
Understanding these principles of survey sampling helps in constructing confidence intervals and making statistical inferences with greater accuracy.
Margin of Error
The margin of error represents the amount of uncertainty associated with the sample estimate of a population parameter. It provides a range within which we can expect the true population parameter to lie with a given level of confidence.

The margin of error is affected by two main factors: the sample size and the confidence level. When the sample size increases, the margin of error decreases because we have more data points providing more precise estimates. Conversely, an increased confidence level leads to an increased margin of error, creating a wider interval to maintain the desired confidence.
  • Smaller sample size = larger margin of error.
  • Higher confidence level = larger margin of error.
  • The margin of error affects the width of the confidence interval.
Understanding the margin of error is crucial for interpreting the results of survey data and the reliability of the estimates derived from that data.
Statistical Assumptions
Statistical assumptions are the conditions that must be met to ensure that a statistical analysis is valid. For constructing a confidence interval, three main assumptions need to be confirmed:
  • Randomness: The sample data should be collected randomly to avoid bias and ensure that every individual in the population had an equal chance of being chosen.
  • Normality: There should be at least 10 successes and 10 failures in the sample. This rule of thumb helps us to use the normal distribution as an approximation for constructing the confidence interval.
  • Independence: The sample must be less than 10% of the population, ensuring that selecting one member does not significantly affect another's chance of being selected.
Verifying these statistical assumptions provides the foundation to make valid inferences about the population from sample data through the use of confidence intervals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Deer ticks Wildlife biologists inspect 153 deer taken by hunters and find 32 of them carrying ticks that test positive for Lyme disease. a. Create a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the percentage of deer that may carry such ticks. b. If the scientists want to cut the margin of error in half, how many deer must they inspect? c. What concerns do you have about this sample?

Confidence intervals Several factors are involved in the creation of a confidence interval. Among them are the sample size, the level of confidence, and the margin of error. Which statements are true? a. For a given sample size, higher confidence means a smaller margin of error. b. For a specified confidence level, larger samples provide smaller margins of error. c. For a fixed margin of error, larger samples provide greater confidence. d. For a given confidence level, halving the margin of error requires a sample twice as large.

Safe food Some food retailers propose subjecting food to a low level of radiation in order to improve safety, but sale of such "irradiated" food is opposed by many people. Suppose a grocer wants to find out what his customers think. He has cashiers distribute surveys at checkout and ask customers to fill them out and drop them in a box near the front door. He gets responses from 122 customers, of whom 78 oppose the radiation treatments. What can the grocer conclude about the opinions of all his customers?

Hiring In preparing a report on the economy, we need to estimate the percentage of businesses that plan to hire additional employees in the next 60 days. a. How many randomly selected employers must we contact in order to create an estimate in which we are \(98 \%\) confident with a margin of error of \(5 \% ?\) b. Suppose we want to reduce the margin of error to \(3 \%\). What sample size will suffice? C. Why might it not be worth the effort to try to get an interval with a margin of error of only \(1 \% ?\)

26\. More conclusions In January \(2002,\) two students made worldwide headlines by spinning a Belgian euro 250 times and getting 140 heads - that's \(56 \%\). That makes the \(90 \%\) confidence interval \((51 \%, 61 \%) .\) What does this mean? Are these conclusions correct? Explain. a. Between \(51 \%\) and \(61 \%\) of all euros are unfair. b. We are \(90 \%\) sure that in this experiment this euro landed heads on between \(51 \%\) and \(61 \%\) of the spins. c. We are \(90 \%\) sure that spun euros will land heads between \(51 \%\) and \(61 \%\) of the time. d. If you spin a euro many times, you can be \(90 \%\) sure of getting between \(51 \%\) and \(61 \%\) heads. e. Ninety percent of all spun euros will land heads between \(51 \%\) and \(61 \%\) of the time.

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