/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 70 A pollster for the Public Policy... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A pollster for the Public Policy Institute of California explains how the Institute selects a sample of California adults ("It's About Quality, Not Quantity," San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 21,2000 ): That is done by using computer-generated random residential telephone numbers with all California prefixes, and when there are no answers, calling back repeatedly to the original numbers selected to avoid a bias against hard-to-reach people. Once a call is completed, a second random selection is made by asking for the adult in the household who had the most recent birthday. It is as important to randomize who you speak to in the household as it is to randomize the household you select. If you didn't, you'd primarily get women and older people. Comment on this approach to selecting a sample. How does the sampling procedure attempt to minimize certain types of bias? Are there sources of bias that may still be a concern?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The two-stage random sampling method by the Public Policy Institute of California minimizes bias by calling back unanswered numbers and randomizing the selection of the interviewee within a household to avoid over-representation of certain demographics. However, households without landlines and potential biases related to the 'most recent birthday' method can still present sources of bias.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Sampling Technique

The Public Policy Institute of California employs a two-stage random sampling method. Firstly, they choose a household randomly from a computer-generated list of residential telephone numbers. Secondly, within the chosen household, they select the person who most recently had a birthday. They also call back unanswered numbers to avoid bias against hard-to-reach people. Identifying this technique is critical to understanding its strengths and weaknesses.
02

Discussing How the Sampling Minimizes Bias

The strength of this approach comes in its randomized selection process which reduces certain types of bias. For instance, calling back unanswered numbers minimizes bias against hard-to-reach people, while randomizing the interviewee within a household prevents over-representation of any particular demographic - such as women or older people who might be more likely to be home at the time of the call.
03

Pointing Out Potential Remaining Sources of Bias

Even though this approach aims to eliminate certain biases, there may be others still present. For example, households without a landline cannot be included in the sample, potentially excluding younger people who rely solely on mobile phones. Equally, the use of the 'most recent birthday' method does not completely eliminate the risk of bias, as it doesn't guarantee everyone in a household has an equal chance of selection throughout the entire year.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Techniques
Sampling techniques are fundamental components of statistical research, tasked with accurately representing a larger population within a smaller, manageable group. One common practice is random sampling, where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected. The exercise demonstrates this with a two-stage random sampling where a random household is first chosen based on phone numbers, and then an individual within the household is selected based on the criterion of the most recent birthday.

There are other types of sampling techniques, including stratified sampling, where the population is divided into subgroups known as strata, and a sample is taken from each stratum. Another is cluster sampling, which involves dividing the population into clusters, randomly selecting some clusters, and then sampling all members from these clusters. Each technique aims to produce samples that can yield reliable and valid results when generalized back to the entire population.
Bias Minimization in Sampling
Minimizing bias is crucial in sampling to ensure that the sample accurately reflects the population. Bias occurs when certain elements of a population are systematically favored or underrepresented in a sample. The exercise shows proactive steps taken to reduce bias: calling back non-respondents addresses the issue of underrepresented hard-to-reach demographics, and random selection within the household minimizes overrepresentation of demographics like women or older people, who are more likely to be at home.

Further methods to reduce sampling bias include:
  • Ensuring randomness in the selection process to prevent any systematic exclusion.
  • Using stratification to guarantee representation across key subgroups of the population.
  • Increasing sample size to lower the impact of random variation.
Despite best efforts, some biases may remain due to factors such as non-response or lack of coverage for those without landlines. Identifying and acknowledging these potential biases are as important as the steps taken to mitigate them.
Survey Methodology
Survey methodology encompasses the techniques and guidelines for conducting surveys to gather data about a population. It involves designing the survey, sampling, data collection, and analysis. The methodology should aim to maximize response rates and representativeness while minimizing errors and biases. The described approach in the exercise highlights thoughtful application of survey methodology — repeated calls to ensure maximal response and a clear protocol for selecting respondents within a household.

Modern survey methodology also involves:
  • Designing clear and unbiased questions.
  • Utilizing various modes of data collection (phone, online, in-person).
  • Controlling for non-response and measurement errors.
Consideration of how technological changes, such as the decline in landline use, affect the survey's ability to reach a representative sample is also an important element of contemporary survey methodology.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A survey described in the paper "The Adolescent Health Review: A Brief Multidimensional Screening Instrument" (Journal of Adolescent Health [2001]:131-139) attempted to address psychosocial factors thought to be of importance in preventive health care for adolescents. For each risk area in the following list, construct a question that would be comprehensible to students in grades \(9-12\) and that would provide information about the risk factor. Make your questions multiple-choice, and provide possible responses. a. Lack of exercise b. Poor nutrition c. Emotional distress d. Sexual activity e. Cigarette smoking f. Alcohol use

"Fruit Juice May Be Fueling Pudgy Preschoolers, Study Says" is the title of an article that appeared in the San Luis Obispo Tribune (February 27, 2005). This article describes a study that found that for 3 - and 4-year-olds, drinking something sweet once or twice a day doubled the risk of being seriously overweight one year later. The authors of the study state Total energy may be a confounder if consumption of sweet drinks is a marker for other dietary factors associated with overweight ( Pediatrics, November 2005\()\). Give an example of a dietary factor that might be one of the potentially confounding variables the study authors are worried about.

Suppose that you were asked to help design a survey of adult city residents in order to estimate the proportion that would support a sales tax increase. The plan is to use a stratified random sample, and three stratification schemes have been proposed. Scheme 1: Stratify adult residents into four strata based on the first letter of their last name \((\mathrm{A}-\mathrm{G},\) \(\mathrm{H}-\mathrm{N}, \mathrm{O}-\mathrm{T}, \mathrm{U}-\mathrm{Z})\) Scheme 2: Stratify adult residents into three strata: college students, nonstudents who work full time, nonstudents who do not work full time. Scheme 3: Stratify adult residents into five strata by randomly assigning residents into one of the five strata. Which of the three stratification schemes would be best in this situation? Explain.

In 2000 , the chairman of a California ballot initiative campaign to add "none of the above" to the list of ballot options in all candidate races was quite critical of a Field poll that showed his measure trailing by 10 percentage points. The poll was based on a random sample of 1000 registered voters in California. He is quoted by the Associated Press (January 30, 2000) as saying, "Field's sample in that poll equates to one out of 17,505 voters," and he added that this was so dishonest that Field should get out of the polling business! If you worked on the Field poll, how would you respond to this criticism?

As part of a curriculum review, the psychology department would like to select a simple random sample of 20 of last year's 140 graduates to obtain information on how graduates perceived the value of the curriculum. Describe two different methods that might be used to select the sample.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.