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As part of a curriculum review, the psychology department would like to select a simple random sample of 20 of last year's 140 graduates to obtain information on how graduates perceived the value of the curriculum. Describe two different methods that might be used to select the sample.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Two methods to select a random sample from 140 graduates could include the Lottery Method 鈥揳ssigning each graduate a number, writing them on pieces of paper, and drawing 20, or using a Random Number Generator to generate 20 random, unique numbers that correspond with the graduates.

Step by step solution

01

Method 1: Lottery Method

One of the simplest methods for random selection is the lottery method: 1. Assign each of the 140 graduates a unique number between 1 and 140. 2. Write those numbers on pieces of paper, fold them to hide the numbers, and then place them in a container (like a hat or a box). 3. Draw 20 pieces of paper from the container without looking. 4. The numbers on the drawn pieces of paper correspond to the graduates that will be included in the sample.
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Method 2: Random Number Generator

If a computer or a calculator is available, a random number generator can be used: 1. Assign a unique number to each of the 140 graduates. 2. Use a random number generator to get 20 random numbers between 1 and 140. You can use statistical software or an online random number generator for this. 3. The graduates that correspond to the generated numbers will be included in the sample. Ensure that all numbers generated are different so that the same graduate is not selected twice.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Methods
Sampling is a crucial technique in statistics that involves selecting a subset of individuals, events, or objects from a larger population, to analyze and derive conclusions about the population as a whole. The key is that the sample needs to represent the population well to ensure the findings are valid.

Simple random sampling, the method of choice in the textbook exercise, is favored for its fairness and lack of bias. Every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected, which helps in minimizing selection bias. Other common sampling methods include stratified sampling, where the population is divided into smaller groups known as strata and samples are taken from each stratum; cluster sampling, where the entire population is divided into clusters, and some of these clusters are chosen for sampling; and systematic sampling, where you select every nth individual from the population list.

When implementing simple random sampling, it is critical to ensure the process is genuinely random. Any non-random elements could skew the results and make the sample less representative of the larger group. In the example provided, two different selection techniques are explored to achieve a simple random sample among graduates.
Random Number Generator
In the realm of statistics, a random number generator (RNG) is an algorithm designed to produce a sequence of numbers that lack any pattern; they are essentially random. Modern computing offers a variety of RNGs, from pseudo-random number generators used in most statistical software to true random number generators that rely on physical phenomena to generate numbers.

A pseudo-random number generator uses a deterministic algorithm but produces results that approximate randomness. While not truly random, for most practical purposes in statistical sampling, they are sufficiently unpredictable. In the textbook solution, using an RNG simplifies the process of selecting a sample from a larger population. Instead of manually drawing lots, which can be time-consuming and prone to errors, the RNG automates the selection process, ensuring that each graduate has an equal chance of being chosen. This method is particularly useful when dealing with large populations. It's important to ensure that the RNG is properly calibrated to avoid the same number being selected more than once, which a good statistical software or online tool would normally prevent.
Lottery Method
The lottery method is a hands-on approach to simple random sampling that doesn鈥檛 require technology, making it a popular choice when resources are limited or to provide a visual demonstration of randomness. Similar to a raffle draw, this tactic involves assigning each individual in the population a unique identifier and then randomly selecting from these identifiers.

To achieve this in our textbook example, each graduate would be assigned a unique number and these numbers would be placed on equal-sized pieces of paper, shuffled, and drawn blindly to guarantee impartiality. The true randomness in the lottery method comes from the manual shuffling and selection, which should be done with great care to ensure that each piece of paper has an equal opportunity to be picked.

Improvement Advice

Implementing the lottery method could be enhanced by ensuring that the pieces of paper are identical in shape, texture, and size to avoid any unintended bias in the draw. It鈥檚 also vital to have an unbiased individual conduct the drawing and to shuffle the papers thoroughly before making a selection. While the lottery method can be more labor-intensive than using an RNG, its physicality can sometimes make it more transparent and easier to understand for all observers of the process.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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