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\(\mathbf{H}_{0}\) or \(\mathbf{H}_{a}\) ? For each of the following, is the statement a null hypothesis or an alternative hypothesis? Why? a. The mean IQ of all students at Lake Wobegon High School is larger than 100 . b. The probability of rolling a 6 with a particular die equals \(1 / 6\). c. The proportion of all new business enterprises that remain in business for at least five years is less than 0.50 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Alternative hypothesis \( (\mathbf{H}_{a}) \), b. Null hypothesis \( (\mathbf{H}_{0}) \), c. Alternative hypothesis \( (\mathbf{H}_{a}) \).

Step by step solution

01

Evaluate Hypothesis Type - Part a

The statement "The mean IQ of all students at Lake Wobegon High School is larger than 100" presents the hypothesis that a specific parameter (mean IQ) is greater than a certain value (100). This is a direction-focused hypothesis targeting a value greater than the hypothesized mean, which aligns it with an alternative hypothesis, typically denoted as \( \mathbf{H}_{a} \).
02

Evaluate Hypothesis Type - Part b

The statement "The probability of rolling a 6 with a particular die equals \( \frac{1}{6} \)" suggests that the probability of an event (rolling a 6) is equal to a certain value. This emphasizes no deviation from the claimed probability, thus it is considered a null hypothesis, typically denoted as \( \mathbf{H}_{0} \).
03

Evaluate Hypothesis Type - Part c

The statement "The proportion of all new business enterprises that remain in business for at least five years is less than 0.50" suggests a parameter (proportion) being less than a specific value. This involves testing for a decline or reduction, which suggests an alternative hypothesis, represented as \( \mathbf{H}_{a} \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis (H0)
In the world of hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis, often denoted as \( H_0 \), plays a crucial role. It is the statement assumed to be true in the absence of significant evidence against it. Put simply, the null hypothesis maintains the status quo or suggests no effect or no change.

For example, in the statement "The probability of rolling a 6 with a particular die equals \( \frac{1}{6} \)," the null hypothesis suggests the die is fair, with a six appearing no more or less often than expected. \( H_0 \) posits equality, like this case where the hypothesized parameter is exactly \( \frac{1}{6} \).

Here are a few key points to remember about null hypotheses:
  • They usually include equality: "equals," "is," etc.
  • They form the baseline or "default" assumption.
  • Scientists aim to find evidence against \( H_0 \) to support conclusions.

Thus, rejecting the null hypothesis implies finding enough statistical evidence to favor an alternative scenario.
Alternative Hypothesis (Ha)
Whenever you're testing something, you're likely to also encounter the alternative hypothesis, symbolized by \( H_a \). It steps in as the challenger to the status quo, offering a new perspective, often suggesting change or difference.

Take, for instance, the assertion "The mean IQ of all students at Lake Wobegon High School is larger than 100." This is an example of an alternative hypothesis. This statement suggests that there is evidence of a difference (a mean IQ greater than 100), indicating something other than what's assumed by the null hypothesis.

Below are essential traits of the alternative hypothesis:
  • Focuses on demonstrating an inequality, such as "greater than," "less than," or "not equal to."
  • Challenges the default assumption held by the null hypothesis.
  • Acceptance means the data provide significant evidence for change or difference.

Thus, the alternative hypothesis serves as a claim a researcher is aiming to support through their study.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a crucial concept in hypothesis testing, which determines if the findings from our data analyses are meaningful. In simple terms, it indicates whether an observed effect in the data is strong enough to not be due to random chance alone.

Imagine you're exploring "The proportion of all new business enterprises that remain in business for at least five years is less than 0.50." Even if statistics show a smaller proportion remaining in business, you need to determine if this observation is statistically significant.

Consider these significant points about statistical significance:
  • It's often measured using a p-value, which tells us about the strength of the evidence.
  • A p-value less than a significance level (commonly 0.05) suggests enough evidence to reject \( H_0 \).
  • Statistical significance points to real-world applicability of the results.

Therefore, statistical significance assures us that the insights from the data aren’t flukes but instead genuine pointers to truth, supporting or refuting hypotheses.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Men at work When the 636 male workers in the 2008 GSS were asked how many hours they worked in the previous week, the mean was 45.5 with a standard deviation of 15.16 . Does this suggest that the population mean work week for men exceeds 40 hours? Answer by: a. Identifying the relevant variable and parameter. b. Stating null and alternative hypotheses. c. Reporting and interpreting the P-value for the test statistic value of \(t=9.15\). d. Explaining how to make a decision for the significance level of 0.01

Dogs and cancer A recent study \(^{6}\) considered whether dogs could be trained to detect if a person has lung cancer or breast cancer by smelling the subject's breath. The researchers trained five ordinary household dogs to distinguish, by scent alone, exhaled breath samples of 55 lung and 31 breast cancer patients from those of 83 healthy controls. A dog gave a correct indication of a cancer sample by sitting in front of that sample when it was randomly placed among four control samples. Once trained, the dogs' ability to distinguish cancer patients from controls was tested using breath samples from subjects not previously encountered by the dogs. (The researchers blinded both dog handlers and experimental observers to the identity of breath samples.) Let \(p\) denote the probability a dog correctly detects a cancer sample placed among five samples, when the other four are controls. a. Set up the null hypothesis that the dog's predictions correspond to random guessing. b. Set up the alternative hypothesis to test whether the probability of a correct selection differs from random guessing. c. Set up the alternative hypothesis to test whether the probability of a correct selection is greater than with random guessing. d. In one test with 83 Stage I lung cancer samples, the dogs correctly identified the cancer sample 81 times. The test statistic for the alternative hypothesis in part \(c\) was \(z=17.7\). Report the P-value to three decimal places, and interpret. (The success of dogs in this study made researchers wonder whether dogs can detect cancer at an earlier stage than conventional methods such as MRI scans.)

How to sell a burger A fast-food chain wants to compare two ways of promoting a new burger (a turkey burger). One way uses a coupon available in the store. The other way uses a poster display outside the store. Before the promotion, their marketing research group matches 50 pairs of stores. Each pair has two stores with similar sales volume and customer demographics. The store in a pair that uses coupons is randomly chosen, and after a monthlong promotion, the increases in sales of the turkey burger are compared for the two stores. The increase was higher for 28 stores using coupons and higher for 22 stores using the poster. Is this strong evidence to support the coupon approach, or could this outcome be explained by chance? Answer by performing all five steps of a two-sided significance test about the population proportion of times the sales would be higher with the coupon promotion.

Test and CI Results of \(99 \%\) confidence intervals are consistent with results of two-sided tests with which significance level? Explain the connection.

Get P-value from \(z\) For a test of \(\mathrm{H}_{0}: p=0.50,\) the \(z\) test statistic equals 1.04 a. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a} \cdot p>0.50\). b. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: p \neq 0.50\). c. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{c}: p<0.50 .\) (Hint: The P-values for the two possible one-sided tests must sum to \(1 .)\) d. Do any of the P-values in part a, part b, or part c give strong evidence against \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\) ? Explain.

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