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Test and CI Results of \(99 \%\) confidence intervals are consistent with results of two-sided tests with which significance level? Explain the connection.

Short Answer

Expert verified
99% confidence intervals correspond to a two-sided test with a significance level of 0.01.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval indicates a range of values, calculated from the data, that is likely to contain the true parameter of interest. A 99% confidence interval means that if we were to take many samples and build a confidence interval from each, roughly 99% of those intervals would contain the true parameter.
02

Understand Significance Level

The significance level, denoted by \( \alpha \), represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. A commonly used significance level is 0.05. In a two-tailed test, this level is split into two tails.
03

Relate Confidence Interval to Significance Level

In a two-sided hypothesis test, the confidence level of a confidence interval and the significance level of the corresponding hypothesis test are complementary. The formula to find \( \alpha \) for a two-sided test is \( \alpha = 1 - \text{confidence level} \).
04

Calculate the Significance Level

Since the confidence level given is 99%, the formula gives \( \alpha = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01 \). Hence, the significance level for a two-sided test that corresponds to a 99% confidence interval is 0.01.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Significance Level
When discussing the significance level in statistics, it's crucial to understand that it is a threshold set before conducting a hypothesis test. This threshold, denoted by the symbol \( \alpha \), dictates the maximum probability of making a Type I error.
A Type I error occurs when we wrongly reject a true null hypothesis.
A significantly common value for the significance level is 0.05 or 5%. However, in some cases, particularly when higher precision is required, differing levels like 0.01 (1%) might be more suitable. In a two-sided test, the specified significance level is divided between both ends of the distribution curve.
  • A 0.05 significance level in a two-sided test allocates 0.025 to each tail.
  • A 0.01 significance level splits 0.005 into each tail.
The choice of \( \alpha \) often depends on how confidently one wants to reject or accept the null hypothesis based on observed sample data. Adjusting the significance level helps in matching the statistical test's robustness with the research demands.
Two-sided Test
The two-sided test, or two-tailed test, is a statistical method used to determine whether there is a significant difference in either direction between a sample statistic and a population parameter.
Such tests are particularly useful when researchers do not expect a specific direction of difference beforehand. The null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)) states there is no difference, but researchers check for any deviation in both directions.
  • For example, if we are looking at a drug's effectiveness, we may check if it works differently in either increasing or decreasing effectiveness.
  • The alternative hypothesis (\( H_A \)) could imply that the parameter is either greater than or less than the claimed value.
In a two-sided test, the critical areas of the testing distribution are in both tails.
When considering a significance level of 1% with a two-sided test, the critical region comprises the extreme 0.5% on both sides. This setup checks for possibilities leading either way away from the null hypothesis.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a foundational aspect of inferential statistics. It's a method to decide if there's enough evidence to reject a null hypothesis, based on sample data.
Hypothesis tests consist of several steps, starting with the formulation of null (\( H_0 \)) and alternative hypotheses (\( H_A \)).
Once hypotheses are set, statistical tests are employed to measure the observed data's compatibility with these hypotheses.
  • Findings leading us to reject \( H_0 \) support \( H_A \).
  • If findings aren't significant, we don't reject \( H_0 \), implying no evidence against it within the tested capacity.
The test results depend heavily on the chosen significance level (\( \alpha \)). A low \( \alpha \) means strong evidence would be needed to reject \( H_0 \). Decision thresholds like confidence intervals are integrated to visualize the parameter range that does not lead to rejection under the \( H_0 \). The precise setup of hypothesis testing helps in making statistically informed decisions about alleged phenomena based on collected evidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Which error is worse? Which error, Type I or Type II, would usually be considered more serious for decisions in the following tests? Explain why. a. A trial to test a murder defendant's claimed innocence, when conviction results in the death penalty. b. A medical diagnostic procedure, such as a mammogram.

P-value Indicate whether each of the following P-values gives strong evidence or not especially strong evidence against the null hypothesis. a. 0.38 b. 0.001

Interpret medical research studies a. An advertisement by Schering Corp. in 1999 for the allergy drug Claritin mentioned that in a clinical trial, the proportion who showed symptoms of nervousness was not significantly greater for patients taking Claritin than for patients taking placebo. Does this mean that the population proportion having nervous symptoms is exactly the same using Claritin and using placebo? How would you explain this to someone who has not studied statistics? b. An article in the medical journal \(B M J\) (by M. Petticrew et al., published November 2002 ) found no evidence to back the commonly held belief that a positive attitude can lengthen the lives of cancer patients. The authors noted that the studies that had indicated a benefit from some coping strategies tended to be smaller studies with weaker designs. Using this example and the text discussion, explain why you need to have some skepticism when you hear that new research suggests that some therapy or drug has an impact in treating a disease.

Get P-value from \(z\) For a test of \(\mathrm{H}_{0}: p=0.50,\) the \(z\) test statistic equals 1.04 a. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a} \cdot p>0.50\). b. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: p \neq 0.50\). c. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{c}: p<0.50 .\) (Hint: The P-values for the two possible one-sided tests must sum to \(1 .)\) d. Do any of the P-values in part a, part b, or part c give strong evidence against \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\) ? Explain.

Which \(t\) has P-value \(=0.05 ?\) A \(t\) test for a mean uses a sample of 15 observations. Find the \(t\) test statistic value that has a P-value of 0.05 when the alternative hypothesis is (a) \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: \mu \neq 0,\) (b) \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: \mu>0,\) and (c) \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: \mu<0 ?\)

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