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Men at work When the 636 male workers in the 2008 GSS were asked how many hours they worked in the previous week, the mean was 45.5 with a standard deviation of 15.16 . Does this suggest that the population mean work week for men exceeds 40 hours? Answer by: a. Identifying the relevant variable and parameter. b. Stating null and alternative hypotheses. c. Reporting and interpreting the P-value for the test statistic value of \(t=9.15\). d. Explaining how to make a decision for the significance level of 0.01

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean workweek for men likely exceeds 40 hours, based on the test with significant evidence against the null hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Relevant Variable and Parameter

The relevant variable here is the number of hours worked in the previous week by male workers. The parameter of interest is the population mean work week for men, denoted by \( \mu \).
02

State Null and Alternative Hypotheses

We want to determine if the population mean exceeds 40 hours. The null hypothesis \( H_0 \) is \( \mu = 40 \). The alternative hypothesis \( H_a \) is \( \mu > 40 \).
03

Report and Interpret the P-value for Test Statistic

Given that the test statistic \( t \) is 9.15, we evaluate its P-value in a one-tailed test. A high \( t \) statistic suggests that the sample mean is significantly higher than the null hypothesis mean. A typical way to find the P-value is through statistical software or a t-table. Here, the P-value will be very low, indicating strong evidence against \( H_0 \).
04

Make a Decision at 0.01 Significance Level

Since the P-value is much lower than the significance level 0.01, we reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \). This suggests that there is significant evidence to indicate that the population mean hours worked exceeds 40.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Mean
The population mean, often represented by the symbol \( \mu \), is a crucial concept in statistics. It refers to the average of a set of values for an entire population. In our exercise about the working hours of male workers, the population mean tells us the average hours all male workers spend working in a typical week.

This mean is what statisticians want to estimate or compare against specific hypotheses. When data from a sample suggest the mean of 45.5 hours per week, it gets compared to another specified value (in this case, 40 hours), which is the hypothesized mean for the whole population of interest.

Understanding the distinction between a sample mean and a population mean is key. The sample mean, used in our calculations, acts as an estimator for the population mean, helping us make broader inferences about the entire group.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
In hypothesis testing, we start with two competing hypotheses. The null hypothesis, denoted by \( H_0 \), is a statement we aim to test. It usually suggests no effect or no difference—in this exercise, that the population mean work week \( \mu \) equals 40 hours.

On the other hand, we have the alternative hypothesis, denoted by \( H_a \). This is what researchers often hope to support. In our scenario, \( H_a \) proposes that \( \mu > 40 \), implying that the average working hours exceed 40 hours per week for the male population.

Setting these hypotheses correctly is crucial for analysis, directing the statistical test and helping us determine if we have enough evidence to reject \( H_0 \) in favor of \( H_a \).
Significance Level
The significance level is an essential part of hypothesis testing, symbolized by \( \alpha \). It represents the threshold at which we accept or reject our null hypothesis. In this exercise, the significance level is 0.01.

This means that there's a 1% risk of concluding that the population mean exceeds 40 hours when it does not. We decide beforehand if the test results showing a probability below \( \alpha \) indicate a significant effect. The lower the significance level, the stronger the evidence required to reject \( H_0 \).

Choosing 0.01 in this context implies that the evidence against the null hypothesis must be very strong, given the relatively small risk we’re willing to take for making an incorrect conclusion.
P-value Interpretation
Interpreting the P-value is vital for making decisions in hypothesis testing. The P-value is the probability of observing the test results, or something more extreme, assuming that the null hypothesis is true.

In our exercise, the test statistic \( t = 9.15 \) resulted in a very low P-value, much less than the significance level of 0.01. This suggests strong evidence against the null hypothesis \( H_0 \), supporting the notion that the average work week for male workers is indeed greater than 40 hours.

Here's the gist:
  • If the P-value \(< \alpha\), we reject the null hypothesis.
  • If the P-value \(\ge \alpha\), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
This P-value interpretation helps us determine whether to reject \( H_0 \) based on the test's findings.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Get P-value from \(z\) For a test of \(\mathrm{H}_{0}: p=0.50,\) the \(z\) test statistic equals 1.04 a. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a} \cdot p>0.50\). b. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{a}: p \neq 0.50\). c. Find the P-value for \(\mathrm{H}_{c}: p<0.50 .\) (Hint: The P-values for the two possible one-sided tests must sum to \(1 .)\) d. Do any of the P-values in part a, part b, or part c give strong evidence against \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\) ? Explain.

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