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Suppose that the \(\mathrm{pH}\) of soil samples taken from a certain geographic region is normally distributed with a mean of 6.00 and a standard deviation of \(0.10 .\) Suppose the \(\mathrm{pH}\) of a randomly selected soil sample from this region will be determined. a. What is the probability that the resulting \(\mathrm{pH}\) is between 5.90 and \(6.15 ?\) b. What is the probability that the resulting \(\mathrm{pH}\) exceeds \(6.10 ?\) c. What is the probability that the resulting \(\mathrm{pH}\) is at most \(5.95 ?\) d. What value will be exceeded by only \(5 \%\) of all such \(\mathrm{pH}\) values?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The short answer to the question is: a. The probability that the resulting pH is between 5.90 and 6.15 is 0.7745. b. The probability that the resulting pH exceeds 6.10 is 0.1587. c. The probability that the resulting pH is at most 5.95 is 0.3085. d. The value exceeded by only 5% of all pH values is 6.1645.

Step by step solution

01

Identifying the mean and standard deviation

In this problem, we are given the mean (\(\mu\)) and standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of the pH values as \(\mu = 6.00\) and \(\sigma = 0.10\). The pH values follow a normal distribution.
02

Converting a pH value to a z-score

A z-score is a measure of how many standard deviations away from the mean a value is. The given pH value can be converted to a z-score using the formula:\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where X is the given pH value. We'll use this formula to convert pH values to z-scores for the problems a, b, and c. #a. Finding the probability that the pH value is between 5.90 and 6.15.#
03

Converting the given pH values to z-scores

First, convert the given pH values to z-scores using the formula from Step 2. For pH = 5.90: \[ Z_1 = \frac{5.90 - 6.00}{0.10} = -1 \] For pH = 6.15: \[ Z_2 = \frac{6.15 - 6.00}{0.10} = 1.5 \]
04

Finding the probability

Now, you can find the probability of a z-score being between Z_1 and Z_2 using the standard normal distribution table (Z-table). \[ P(Z_1 < Z < Z_2) = P(Z < Z_2) - P(Z < Z_1) \] The probability value for Z_1 = -1 is 0.1587 and for Z_2 = 1.5 is 0.9332. \[ P(-1 < Z < 1.5) = 0.9332 - 0.1587 = 0.7745 \] So, the probability that the pH value is between 5.90 and 6.15 is 0.7745. #b. Finding the probability that the pH value exceeds 6.10.#
05

Converting the given pH value to a z-score

Convert the given pH value to a z-score using the formula from Step 2. For pH = 6.10: \[ Z_3 = \frac{6.10 - 6.00}{0.10} = 1 \]
06

Finding the probability

Now, you can find the probability of a z-score exceeding Z_3 using the standard normal distribution table (Z-table): \[ P(Z > Z_3) = 1 - P(Z < Z_3) \] The probability value for Z_3 = 1 is 0.8413. \[ P(Z > 1) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587 \] So, the probability that the pH value exceeds 6.10 is 0.1587. #c. Finding the probability that the pH value is at most 5.95.#
07

Converting the given pH value to a z-score

Convert the given pH value to a z-score using the formula from Step 2. For pH = 5.95: \[ Z_4 = \frac{5.95 - 6.00}{0.10} = -0.5 \]
08

Finding the probability

Now, you can find the probability of a z-score being at most Z_4 using the standard normal distribution table (Z-table). \[ P(Z \le Z_4) \] The probability value for Z_4 = -0.5 is 0.3085. So, the probability that the pH value is at most 5.95 is 0.3085. #d. Finding the value (pH) exceeded by only 5% of all pH values.#
09

Finding the z-score for 5% in Z-table

We need to find the z-score that has an area of 0.05 to the right (1 - 0.05 = 0.95 to the left) in the standard normal distribution table (Z-table). That z-score (Z_5) is 1.645.
10

Converting the z-score to a pH value

Now, use the formula from Step 2 to convert the z-score back to a pH value: \[ X = \mu + Z_5 \times \sigma = 6.00 + 1.645 \times 0.10 \] \[ X = 6.1645 \] So, the value that will be exceeded by only 5% of all pH values is 6.1645.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
Probability is the measure of how likely it is for a particular event to occur. In the context of a normal distribution, the probability is represented by the area under the curve for a specified range of values. For instance, if we want to determine the probability of a random variable falling between two values, we calculate the area under the distribution curve that lies between those values.

In the given exercise, we calculate the probability of the pH value being within certain intervals. Probability values range from 0 to 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty. Therefore, when we say the probability that the pH value is between 5.90 and 6.15 is 0.7745, it means there is a 77.45% chance that a randomly selected pH value from the region would fall in that range.
Z-Score
A z-score, also known as a standard score, indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. It's a way of standardizing scores on different scales so they can be compared directly.

In the exercise, we converted the pH values to z-scores to use the standard normal distribution table for finding probabilities. The formula to calculate a z-score is given by: \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \], where \(X\) is the value, \(\mu\) is the mean, and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation. By comparing the z-scores, we are effectively comparing the relative position of values within the distribution.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a specific instance of the normal distribution that has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. It is used to describe the distribution of z-scores. This distribution is symmetrical around the mean, and its shape is commonly known as the 'bell curve' due to its bell-like shape.

To find probabilities related to specific pH values in our exercise, we converted raw scores to z-scores and then used the standard normal distribution table. The areas under this distribution curve represent probabilities and are utilized to answer questions about the likelihood of random variables falling within certain ranges.
Random Variable
A random variable is a variable whose possible values are numerical outcomes of a random phenomenon. There are two types of random variables: discrete and continuous. The pH in our exercise is an example of a continuous random variable, as it can take on any value within an interval.

Continuous random variables are represented by probability density functions (PDFs), like the normal distribution in this exercise. To calculate probabilities for intervals of continuous random variables, we find the area under the PDF curve corresponding to the interval. This concept is fundamental to understanding the probabilities associated with pH values in the soil sample problem.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Fat contents \((x,\) in grams \()\) for seven randomly selected hot dog brands that were rated as very good by Consumer Reports (www.consumerreports.org) are shown below. $$ \begin{array}{lllllll} 14 & 15 & 11 & 10 & 6 & 15 & 16 \end{array} $$ The normal scores for a sample of size 7 are \(\begin{array}{lllllll}-1.364 & -0.758 & -0.353 & 0 & 0.353 & 0.758 & 1.364\end{array}\) a. Construct a normal probability plot for the fat content data. Does the plot look linear? b. Calculate the correlation coefficient for the (normal score, \(x\) ) pairs. Compare this value to the appropriate critical \(r\) value from Table 6.2 to determine if it is reasonable to think that the fat content distribution is approximately normal.

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6.81 FlightView surveyed 2600 North American airline passengers and reported that approximately \(80 \%\) said that they carry a smartphone when they travel. Suppose that the actual percentage is \(80 \% .\) Consider randomly selecting six passengers and define the random variable \(x\) to be the number of the six selected passengers who travel with a smartphone. The probability distribution of \(x\) is the binomial distribution with \(n=6\) and \(p=0.8\). a. Calculate \(p(4),\) and interpret this probability. b. Calculate \(p(6),\) the probability that all six selected passengers travel with a smartphone. c. Calculate \(P(x \geq 4)\).

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