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Starting at a particular time, each car entering an intersection is observed to see whether it turns left (L), turns right (R), or goes straight ahead (S). The experiment terminates as soon as a car is observed to go straight. Let \(x\) denote the number of cars observed. What are possible \(x\) values? List five different outcomes and their associated \(x\) values.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The possible \(x\) values for the given outcomes are \(x=1\), \(x=2\), and \(x=3\). These values represent the number of cars observed before a car goes straight.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the possible outcomes

The cars can turn left (L), turn right (R), or go straight (S). As the experiment terminates when a car goes straight, the possible outcomes will end with S.
02

List the first five outcomes

Since we need five outcomes, and we know they must end in S, let's list the first five distinct outcomes using the three possible moves (L, R, and S). Outcome 1 (O1): S - The first car observed goes straight. Outcome 2 (O2): LS - The first car observed turns left, and the second car goes straight. Outcome 3 (O3): RS - The first car observed turns right, and the second car goes straight. Outcome 4 (O4): LLS - The first two cars observed turn left, and the third car goes straight. Outcome 5 (O5): RRS - The first two cars observed turn right, and the third car goes straight.
03

Determine the x values

For each outcome, we need to determine the number of cars observed, denoted by \(x\). - For O1, only one car is observed before going straight, so \(x=1\). - For O2, two cars are observed before going straight, so \(x=2\). - For O3, two cars are observed before going straight, so \(x=2\). - For O4, three cars are observed before going straight, so \(x=3\). - For O5, three cars are observed before going straight, so \(x=3\). Therefore, the possible \(x\) values for the outcomes are: \(x=1, x=2\), and \(x=3\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory serves as the foundation to understanding the likelihood of various events occurring. It's a branch of mathematics that deals in quantifying uncertainty, providing a formal framework for predicting and analyzing situations where outcomes result from chance. When you're tossing a coin, rolling a die, or, as in our textbook exercise, observing cars at an intersection, you're dealing with probability theory. In the provided exercise, probability theory helps us determine the expected number of outcomes before a certain event happens—in this case, a car going straight.

In probability, we often discuss the likelihood of different events, categorizing them as 'certain', 'probable', 'unlikely', or 'impossible'. These terms can be translated into numerical probabilities, with a certain event having a probability of 1 and an impossible event having a probability of 0. All other events have probabilities between 0 and 1, indicating their likelihood. Exercises like the one in our textbook use probability theory to make sense of real-world situations and provide insights into what outcomes can be expected, and with what frequency.
Random Experiment
A random experiment is an essential concept in probability theory. It is a process that leads to one of several possible outcomes, and it cannot be predicted with certainty in advance. The term 'random' signifies that there's an element of unpredictability involved. If you repeat a random experiment under the same conditions, you may end up with different outcomes each time.

The exercise from our textbook is an example of a random experiment. Observing which direction each car takes—left (L), right (R), or straight (S)—is an experiment because these are distinct, observable results. Because we can't predict how the next car will maneuver (it's random), each observation represents a trial within this random experiment. Moreover, the experiment 'terminates' once a specific outcome occurs, which adds another layer of complexity to the range of possible outcomes, as seen in our example where the process ends when a car goes straight ahead (S). Teaching this concept to students revolves around understanding that random experiments are fundamental in determining probabilities and must be carefully defined to explore their outcomes and associated probabilities.
Sample Space
The sample space is a term used in probability to describe the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. It's often denoted as 'S' and is crucial for systematically considering all potential events that could occur. When we understand the sample space, we can start to compute probabilities and even delve deeper into more advanced topics in probability theory, such as event intersection and union.

In the case of our textbook problem, the sample space consists of sequences of L, R, and S where each sequence ends with an S. This is because the experiment stops once a car goes straight. The sample space is therefore all sequences of L's and R's that conclude with an S. To illustrate to students, we might list out potential sample points like S, LS, RS, LLS, RLS, LRS, RRS, and so on. Teaching students about sample space involves guiding them to identify all possible outcomes before calculating probabilities, which is a skill that applies across many facets of academic and real-world problem-solving.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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