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One type of error in a hypothesis test is failing to reject a false null hypothesis. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out is Type I error, which is rejecting a true null hypothesis. This error occurs when the researcher finds evidence against the null hypothesis when it is actually true and can lead to misleading conclusions or incorrect decisions.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the two types of errors in hypothesis testing

In hypothesis testing, we compare a null hypothesis (H鈧) with an alternative hypothesis (H鈧). There are two types of errors that can occur while making a decision based on this test: 1. Type I error: Rejecting a true null hypothesis 2. Type II error: Failing to reject a false null hypothesis The exercise provides the definition of Type II error. Now, let's find the other type of error.
02

Identify the other type of error

The other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out is Type I error, which is rejecting a true null hypothesis. This error occurs when the researcher finds evidence against the null hypothesis when it is actually true.
03

Understand the consequences of Type I error

Type I error can lead to falsely concluding that there is a significant effect or difference when there really is none. This can result in a misleading conclusion or incorrect decision, which can have real-life consequences, especially in fields like medicine or public policy. It is important for researchers to be aware of the potential for Type I error and to carefully design their studies to minimize the probability of making this type of error.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
A Type I error is one of the two main errors that can occur in hypothesis testing. It happens when the null hypothesis, which is the default position that there is no effect or no difference, is incorrectly rejected. Imagine a fire alarm that goes off without a fire; that's akin to committing a Type I error in statistics - a false positive.

To put it in the context of a courtroom, a Type I error would be analogous to convicting an innocent person. The null hypothesis represents the assumption of innocence, and rejecting it unfairly would mean an innocent verdict was disregarded. Scientists usually set a threshold of significance denoted as \( \alpha \) before conducting a study to control the likelihood of making a Type I error. A common \( \alpha \) level is 0.05, indicating a 5% risk of committing a Type I error in any given test.
Type II Error
Conversely, a Type II error occurs when a false null hypothesis is not rejected. This is equivalent to a 'missed opportunity' to identify an actual effect or difference. Consider this as a security checkpoint missing a prohibited item in a bag 鈥 the error is a false negative.

In the judicial example, a Type II error would be like letting a guilty person go free. The consequence of this error could mean missing out on important discoveries or safety measures because the evidence wasn't deemed strong enough to challenge the status quo. Researchers strive to reduce the chances of committing Type II errors by increasing their study's power, which can be accomplished by increasing the sample size or choosing more sensitive measures, amongst other strategies.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis (denoted as \( H_0 \) ) is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing that serves as a starting presumption. It assumes there is no difference or effect regarding the subject matter of the research. For instance, if scientists were investigating a new drug, the null hypothesis would propose that the drug has no effect on patients compared to a placebo.

It is essential to understand that the null hypothesis is not a claim that seeks proof but rather a statement that's intended to be challenged by the alternative hypothesis. Researchers gather data through experimentation, and if the data strongly conflict with the null hypothesis, it may be rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis (denoted as \( H_a \) or \( H_1 \) ) stands in opposition to the null hypothesis. It suggests that there is an effect, difference, or correlation. Following the new drug example, the alternative hypothesis would propose that the drug has a significant impact on patients' health.

In hypothesis testing, researchers aim to gather sufficient evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. However, for this to occur, they need to reach a level of significance that is unlikely to be due to chance alone, often below the \( \alpha \) threshold. The alternative hypothesis is what researchers typically hope to confirm, representing new discoveries or advancements in their field.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The paper "Teens and Distracted Driving"" (Pew Internet \& American Life Project, 2009 ) reported that in a representative sample of 283 American teens age 16 to \(17,\) there were 74 who indicated that they had sent a text message while driving. For purposes of this exercise, assume that this sample is a random sample of 16- to 17 -year-old Americans. Do these data provide convincing evidence that more than a quarter of Americans age 16 to 17 have sent a text message while driving? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of 0.01 . (Hint: See Example 10.11 .)

Medical personnel are required to report suspected cases of child abuse. Because some diseases have symptoms that are similar to those of child abuse, doctors who see a child with these symptoms must decide between two competing hypotheses: \(H_{0}:\) symptoms are due to child abuse \(H:\) symptoms are not due to child abuse (Although these are not hypotheses about a population characteristic, this exercise illustrates the definitions of Type I and Type II errors.) The article "Blurred Line Between Illness, Abuse Creates Problem for Authorities" (Macon Telegraph, February \(28,\) 2000 ) included the following quote from a doctor in Atlanta regarding the consequences of making an incorrect decision: "If it's disease, the worst you have is an angry family. If it is abuse, the other kids (in the family) are in deadly danger." a. For the given hypotheses, describe Type I and Type II errors. b. Based on the quote regarding consequences of the two kinds of error, which type of error is considered more serious by the doctor quoted? Explain.

Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level \(\alpha\) (such as 0.01 ) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10 )? Explain the reason for your choice.

Assuming a random sample from a large population, for which of the following null hypotheses and sample sizes is the large-sample \(z\) test appropriate? a. \(H_{0}: p=0.8, n=40\) b. \(H_{0}: p=0.4, n=100\) c. \(H_{0}: p=0.1, n=50\) d. \(H_{0}: p=0.05, n=750\)

A television manufacturer states that at least \(90 \%\) of its TV sets will not need service during the first 3 years of operation. A consumer group wants to investigate this statement. A random sample of \(n=100\) purchasers is selected and each person is asked if the set purchased needed repair during the first 3 years. Let \(p\) denote the proportion of all sets made by this manufacturer that will not need service in the first 3 years. The consumer group does not want to claim false advertising unless there is strong evidence that \(p<0.90\). The appropriate hypotheses are then \(H_{0}: p=0.90\) versus \(H_{a}: p<0.90\). a. In the context of this problem, describe Type I and Type II errors, and discuss the possible consequences of each. b. Would you recommend a test procedure that uses \(\alpha=\) 0.01 or one that uses \(\alpha=0.10 ?\) Explain. (Hint: See Example \(10.9 .)\)

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