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To test \(H_{0}: \mu=100\) versus \(H_{1}: \mu \neq 100,\) a simple random sample of size \(n=23\) is obtained from a population that is known to be normally distributed. (a) If \(\bar{x}=104.8\) and \(s=9.2,\) compute the test statistic. (b) If the researcher decides to test this hypothesis at the \(\alpha=0.01\) level of significance, determine the critical values. (c) Draw a \(t\) -distribution that depicts the critical region. (d) Will the researcher reject the null hypothesis? Why? (e) Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval to test the hypothesis.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Test statistic: 2.504. Critical values: \(\pm2.819\); do not reject \(H_0\) because 2.504 is not in the critical region; 99% CI: [99.41, 110.19].

Step by step solution

01

Compute the test statistic

Use the formula for the test statistic for a single sample: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \] Given: \(\bar{x} = 104.8\), \(\mu = 100\), \(s = 9.2\), and \(n = 23\). Substitute the values into the formula: \[ t = \frac{104.8 - 100}{\frac{9.2}{\sqrt{23}}} = \frac{4.8}{1.917} \approx 2.504 \]
02

Determine the critical values

The critical values for a two-tailed test at \(\alpha = 0.01\) with \(n-1\) degrees of freedom (\(df = 22\)) are found in a \(t\)-distribution table. The critical values are approximately \(\pm2.819\).
03

Draw the t-distribution

Sketch a t-distribution curve. Indicate the critical values at \(t = -2.819\) and \(t = 2.819\). Shade the critical regions in both tails of the curve.
04

Decision Rule

Compare the computed test statistic to the critical values. If the test statistic falls in the critical region, reject the null hypothesis. Here, \(t = 2.504\) does not fall within \([2.819, -2.819]\), so we do not reject the null hypothesis.
05

Construct the 99% confidence interval

The formula for the confidence interval is \[ \bar{x} \pm t_{\alpha/2, n-1}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \] With \(t_{\alpha/2, 22} \approx 2.819\), calculate the confidence interval: \[ 104.8 \pm 2.819 \cdot \frac{9.2}{\sqrt{23}} = 104.8 \pm 5.39 \] Thus the confidence interval is \([99.41, 110.19]\). Since 100 is within this interval, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
The t-distribution is a type of probability distribution that is used when the sample size is small and the population standard deviation is unknown. It is similar to the normal distribution but has thicker tails. This means it is more prone to producing values that fall far from its mean. It is especially useful in hypothesis testing and constructing confidence intervals when dealing with small sample sizes. As the sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution.
test statistic
The test statistic is a crucial element in hypothesis testing. It is a value calculated from the sample data that is used to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. In the given problem, the test statistic is calculated using the formula: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \] This formula takes into account the sample mean \( \bar{x} \), the hypothesized population mean \( \ ? \), the sample standard deviation \( s \), and the sample size \( n \). In our case, the values substituted into the formula give us a t-value, \( t = 2.504 \). This computed value helps us compare against the critical values to make decisions about our hypotheses.
confidence interval
A confidence interval is a range of values used to estimate a population parameter. It provides a range within which we believe the true population parameter lies, with a certain level of confidence. The formula to calculate the confidence interval is: \[ \bar{x} \pm t_{\alpha/2, n-1}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]. In our example, using \(n-1 = 22\) degrees of freedom and a 99% confidence level, our t-value is approximately 2.819 Substituting our given values into the formula, we get the confidence interval as: \[ 104.8 \pm 2.819 \cdot \frac{9.2}{\sqrt{23}} = 104.8 \pm 5.39 \]. So, the confidence interval is approximately\([99.41, 110.19]\). Since 100 lies within this interval, we do not reject the null hypothesis.
critical values
Critical values are the boundaries that separate the acceptance region from the rejection region in hypothesis testing. These values depend on the significance level and the degrees of freedom of the test. For our problem, we chose a significance level of \(\alpha = 0.01\) and have \(n-1\) degrees of freedom, which gives us a critical value of approximately \( \pm2.819 \) using the t-distribution table. We calculate these values to figure out where to draw the line in our t-distribution curve for making decisions about rejecting or not rejecting the null hypothesis.
level of significance
The level of significance, denoted as \(\alpha \), represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. It is also known as the Type I error rate. In hypothesis testing, we often choose a level of significance – 0.01, 0.05, or 0.10 being common choices. In this exercise, we have chosen a level of significance of 0.01. This means that there is a 1% risk of concluding that the population mean is not 100 when it actually is. Lower levels of significance imply more stringent criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis, leading to lower chances of Type I errors, but higher chances of Type II errors (not rejecting a false null hypothesis).

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