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91Ó°ÊÓ

True or False: Sample evidence can prove a null hypothesis is true.

Short Answer

Expert verified
False. Sample evidence cannot prove a null hypothesis is true; it can only fail to reject it.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis (ull H_0ull) is a statement that there is no effect or no difference. It serves as a starting point for statistical testing.
02

Role of Sample Evidence

Sample evidence is gathered through experiments or observations to draw conclusions about the population from which the sample is drawn.
03

Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis testing involves determining whether to reject the null hypothesis based on sample evidence. The goal is usually to see if there is enough evidence to support an alternative hypothesis (ull H_aull).
04

Proving the Null Hypothesis

Sample evidence can never prove the null hypothesis to be true. It can only fail to provide sufficient evidence to reject it. This means that while sample evidence might support lack of evidence against the null hypothesis, it does not confirm the null hypothesis is true.
05

Conclusion

Based on the logic of hypothesis testing, it's clear that sample evidence does not prove the null hypothesis true; it only fails to reject it.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

null hypothesis
A null hypothesis, denoted as \(H_0\), is a statement asserting that there is no significant effect or difference in a particular situation. It's a default position that indicates no relationship between variables in an experiment.
For instance, if you're testing a new drug, the null hypothesis might state that the drug has no effect on patients.
The null hypothesis serves as a starting point for the process of statistical testing. It is the hypothesis that researchers seek evidence against. However, keep in mind that failing to reject the null hypothesis does not mean it is true; it only means there is not enough evidence to support an alternative hypothesis.
sample evidence
Sample evidence refers to the data collected from a subset of a population through experiments or observations. This data is used to make inferences about the entire population.

Here's why sample evidence is crucial:
  • It's often impractical to examine an entire population due to cost or time constraints.
  • The sample should be representative to ensure the conclusions drawn are valid.

In the context of hypothesis testing, sample evidence helps determine if there's enough reason to reject the null hypothesis. For example, if surveys conducted on a sample of voters indicate a preference for a particular candidate, this sample evidence is used to predict the likely outcome for the entire population of voters.
alternative hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_a\) or \(H_1\), is a statement that contradicts the null hypothesis. It suggests that there is a significant effect or a difference.

When performing hypothesis testing, researchers aim to collect enough sample evidence to support the alternative hypothesis.
For example, if the null hypothesis claims that a new teaching method has no impact on student performance, the alternative hypothesis might propose that the new method significantly improves performance.
The key here is that while we use sample evidence to determine if the alternative hypothesis is likely, we can never absolutely prove it. The evidence should be compelling enough to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.
statistical testing
Statistical testing is the process of using sample evidence to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. This involves several steps:
  • Define the null and alternative hypotheses.
  • Collect sample data through observation or experimentation.
  • Calculate a test statistic, which provides insight into the differences between the sample data and what is expected under the null hypothesis.
  • Determine a p-value, which indicates the probability of observing the sample data if the null hypothesis is true.
  • Compare the p-value to a predetermined significance level (commonly 0.05).

If the p-value is less than the significance level, the null hypothesis is rejected, suggesting there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Conversely, if the p-value is larger, there isn't sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
Importantly, statistical testing doesn't prove anything definitively; it only helps researchers make informed decisions based on the available data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

From Super Bowl I (1967) through Super Bowl XXXI (1997), the stock market increased if an NFL team won the Super Bowl and decreased if an AFL team won. This condition held 28 out of 31 years. (a) Suppose the likelihood of predicting the direction of the stock market (increasing or decreasing) in any given year is \(0.50 .\) Decide on the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses to test whether the outcome of the Super Bowl can be used to predict the direction of the stock market. (b) Use the binomial probability distribution to determine the \(P\) -value for the hypothesis test from part (a). (c) Comment on the dangers of using the outcome of the hypothesis test to judge investments. Be sure your comment includes a discussion of circumstances in which associations have a causal relationship.

NCAA rules require the circumference of a softball to be \(12 \pm 0.125\) inches. Suppose that the NCAA also requires that the standard deviation of the softball circumferences not exceed 0.05 inch. A representative from the NCAA believes the manufacturer does not meet this requirement. She collects a random sample of 20 softballs from the production line and finds that \(s=0.09\) inch. Is there enough evidence to support the representative's belief at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance?

To test \(H_{0}: \mu=100\) versus \(H_{1}: \mu \neq 100,\) a simple random sample of size \(n=23\) is obtained from a population that is known to be normally distributed. (a) If \(\bar{x}=104.8\) and \(s=9.2,\) compute the test statistic. (b) If the researcher decides to test this hypothesis at the \(\alpha=0.01\) level of significance, determine the critical values. (c) Draw a \(t\) -distribution that depicts the critical region. (d) Will the researcher reject the null hypothesis? Why? (e) Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval to test the hypothesis.

A can of soda is labeled as containing 12 fluid ounces. The quality control manager wants to verify that the filling machine is neither over-filling nor under-filling the cans. (a) Determine the null and alternative hypotheses that would be used to determine if the filling machine is calibrated correctly. (b) The quality control manager obtains a sample of 75 cans and measures the contents. The sample evidence leads the manager to reject the null hypothesis. Write a conclusion for this hypothesis test. (c) Suppose, in fact, the machine is not out of calibration. Has a Type I or Type II error been made? (d) Management has informed the quality control department that it does not want to shut down the filling machine unless the evidence is overwhelming that the machine is out of calibration. What level of significance would you recommend the quality control manager use? Explain.

Test the hypothesis using (a) the classical approach and (b) the P-value approach. Be sure to verify the requirements of the test. $$\begin{array}{l}H_{0}: p=0.6 \text { versus } H_{1}: p<0.6 \\\n=250 ; x=124 ; \alpha=0.01\end{array}$$

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