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Every hour, 10,000 cans of soda are filled by a machine, among which 300 underfilled cans are produced. Each hour a sample of 30 cans is randomly selected and the number of ounces of soda per can is checked. Denote: by \(X\) the number of cans selected that are underfilled. Find the probability that at, least one underfilled can will be among those sampled.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that at least one underfilled can will be among those sampled is 0.5882.

Step by step solution

01

Identify parameters for binomial distribution

First, identify the population size (N), the number of successes in the population (K), and the sample size (n). Here, N = 10000 (total number of cans), K = 300 (number of underfilled cans), and n = 30 (sample size). Initialize the random variable X to denote the number of cans selected that are underfilled.
02

Calculate probability of a single success

Calculate the probability of success (p), which is the likelihood of selecting an underfilled can. This is given by the ratio K/N = 300/10000 = 0.03.
03

Find probability of no successes

Calculate the probability of selecting no underfilled cans (P(X=0)) using the formula for binomial distribution: \[P(X=0) = (1-p)^n\]. Substitute p = 0.03 and n = 30 to get: \[P(X=0)=(0.97)^30 = 0.4118\]
04

Find probability of at least one success

Find the probability of getting at least one underfilled can (P(X>=1)), by subtracting the previously calculated P(X=0) from 1. Hence, \[P(X>=1) = 1 - P(X=0) = 1 - 0.4118 = 0.5882.\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
Probability is a way of expressing how likely an event is to occur. In the context of our exercise, it revolves around determining the chance of finding underfilled cans in a sample taken from a larger batch.

When performing a probability calculation, we use the binomial distribution formula. This is a cornerstone concept in statistics when dealing with binary outcomes (success or failure). For example, in our case, **success** is defined as finding an underfilled can, while **failure** represents selecting a properly filled can.
  • To perform this calculation, begin by determining the probability of success. It is often expressed as "p" in the binomial formula.
  • Probabilities are often fractions or decimals between 0 and 1. For instance, the probability of selecting an underfilled can is calculated as \( p = \frac{300}{10000} = 0.03 \).
Understanding probability calculations helps to assess risks and expectations in various scenarios, making it a valuable skill not just for academics but also for practical decision-making.
Sampling
Sampling is the process of selecting a smaller group (sample) from a larger group (population) to study and make inferences about the entire population.

In statistics, it is crucial because examining every item or person in a population would be impractical. The chosen sample allows researchers to perform analyses that can generalize findings to the larger group. In our example,
  • The population is the total 10,000 cans produced each hour.
  • The sample is a randomly selected group of 30 cans checked for underfilled content.
Sampling must be random to ensure each member of the population has an equal chance of being chosen. This randomness minimizes bias, providing more accurate results.

Effective sampling techniques lead to better insights and understanding of the population, and understanding these methods are crucial for carrying out reliable statistical analyses.
Random Variable
A random variable is a concept used in statistics to quantify outcomes of random phenomena. It is a key element of probability theory and helps in bridging the gap between abstract concepts of chance and real-world events.

Essentially, a random variable assigns a numerical value to each outcome in a sample space. In our soda can example:
  • "X" is a discrete random variable v=but because it has specific values it can take.
  • In this context, it represents the number of underfilled cans found in our sample of 30.
By using a random variable like "X", you can calculate the probabilities of various outcomes, such as finding one, two, or more underfilled cans. Thus, random variables are fundamental in making calculations and predictions about uncertain events, and they provide a framework to apply mathematical techniques to study random processes more systematically.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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