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Reconsider the paint-drying situation of Example 8.5, in which drying time for a test specimen is normally distributed with 蟽 = 9. The hypotheses H0: 碌 =75 versus Ha: 碌 <75 are to be tested using a random sample of n= 25 observations.

a.How many standard deviations (of X) below the null value is \(\overline x = 72.3\)?

b.If \(\overline x = 72.3\), what is the conclusion using 伪 =.002?

c.For the test procedure with 伪 =.002, what is 尾(70)?

d.If the test procedure with 伪 =.002 is used, what n is necessary to ensure that 尾(70) = .01?

e.If a level .01 test is used with n5 100, what is the probability of a type I error when m5 76?Answer the following questions for the tire problem in Example 8.7.

a.If \(\overline x = 30,960\) 30,960 and a level 伪=.01 test is used, what is the decision?

b.If a level .01 test is used, what is 尾(30,500)?

c.If a level .01 test is used and it is also required that 尾(30,500) = .05, what sample size n is necessary?

d.If \(\overline x = 30,960\), what is the smallest 伪 at which H0 can be rejected (based on n = 16)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)The sample mean \(\overline x \) is \(1.5\) standard deviants below the null value of \(75\).

b) There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the average drying time is less than \(75\).

c) \(\beta (70) = 0.5398\)

d) \(n \approx 88\)

e) \({\rm{P(type I error ) = 0}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Null hypothesis.

The null hypothesis, denoted by H0, is the claim that is initially assumed to be true (the 鈥減rior belief鈥 claim). The alternative hypothesis, denoted by Ha, is the assertion that is contradictory to H0.

The null hypothesis will be rejected in favour of the alternative hypothesis only if sample evidence suggests that H0 is false. If the sample does not strongly contradict H0, we will continue to believe in the plausibility of the null hypothesis. The two possible conclusions from a hypothesis-testing analysis are then reject H0 or fail to reject H0.

02

Step 2:Solution for part a).

Given that,

\(\begin{array}{l}\sigma = 9\\{H_0}:\mu = 75\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_a}:\mu < 75\\n = 25\\\overline x = 72.3\end{array}\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{72.3 - 75}}{{9/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx - 1.50\end{array}\)

This then means that the sample mean \(\overline x \) is \(1.5\) standard deviants below the null value of \(75\).

03

Step 3:Solution for part b).

Given that,

\(\alpha = 0.002\)

The P-value is the probability of obtaining a value more extreme or equal to the standardized test statistic z, assuming that the null hypothesis is true.

Determine the probability using normal probability table in the appendix,

\(\begin{array}{l}P = P(Z < - 1.50)\\ = 0.0668\end{array}\)

If the P-value is smaller than the significance level \(\alpha \), then the null hypothesis is rejected.

\(P > 0.002\), so it is Fail to reject\({H_0}\).

There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the average drying time is less than \(75\).

04

Step 4:Solution for part c): Sample mean.

Given that,

\(\begin{array}{l}\alpha = 0.002\\{\mu _a} = 70\end{array}\)

\(\beta \)is the type II error, which is the probability to fail to reject the null hypothesis, when the null hypothesis is false.

The critical value is the z-value in the normal probability table in the appendix corresponding to a probability of \(0.002\):

\(z = - 2.88\)

Then the rejection region contains all values smaller than \( - 2.88\).

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 75 - 2.88\frac{9}{{\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 69.816\end{array}\)

05

Step 5:Solution for part c): z-score and P-value.

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{69.816 - 70}}{{9/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx - 0.10\end{array}\)

Determine the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis using the normal probability table in the appendix:

\(\begin{array}{l}\beta (70) = P(Z > - 0.10)\\ = 1 - P(Z < - 0.10)\\ = 1 - 0.4602\end{array}\)

\(\beta (70) = 0.5398\)

06

Step 6:Solution for part d): to find z value.

Given that,

\(\begin{array}{l}\alpha = 0.002\\{\mu _a} = 70\\n = unknown\end{array}\)

\(\beta \)is the type II error, which is the probability to fail to reject the null hypothesis, when the null hypothesis is false.

The critical value is the z-value in the normal probability table in the appendix corresponding to a probability of \(0.002\):

\(z = - 2.88\)

Then the rejection region contains all values smaller than \( - 2.88\).

07

Step 7:Solution for part d): to find n value.

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 75 - 2.88\frac{9}{{\sqrt n }}\end{array}\)

If,

\(\begin{array}{l}{\mu _a} = 70\\\beta (70) = 0.01\end{array}\)

The critical value is the z-value in the normal probability table in the appendix corresponding to a probability of \(1 - 0.01 = 0.99\)(take the complement, because \(\beta \) is the probability of failing to reject the null hypothesis):

\(z = 2.33\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 70 + 2.33\frac{9}{{\sqrt n }}\end{array}\)

08

Step 8:Solution for part d): Solving the equation.

Add \(2.88\frac{9}{{\sqrt n }}\) to each of the equation:

\(75 = 70 + 5.21\frac{9}{{\sqrt n }}\)

Subtract \(70\) from each side,

\(5 = 5.21\frac{9}{{\sqrt n }}\)

Multiply each side by \(\sqrt n \):

\(5\sqrt n = 5.21(9)\)

Divide each side by \(5\),

\(\sqrt n = 9.378\)

Taking square on each side,

\(n = 87.946884\)

\(n \approx 88\)

09

Step 9:Solution for part e).

Given that,

\(\begin{array}{l}\alpha = 0.01\\n = 100\end{array}\)

Type I error is the probability to reject the null hypothesis, when the null hypothesis is true.

The type I error when \(\mu = 76\) is then \(0\), because the null hypothesis is not true and thus the event of a type I error cannot occur.

\({\rm{P(type I error ) = 0}}\)

If \(\mu = 75\)then, the probability of the type I error is the significance level of the test ,

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{P(type I error ) = }}\alpha \\\alpha = 0.01\end{array}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A new design for the braking system on a certain type of car has been proposed. For the current system, the true average braking distance at 40 mph under specified conditions is known to be 120 ft. It is proposed that the new design be implemented only if sample data strongly indicates a reduction in true average braking distance for the new design.

a.Define the parameter of interest and state the relevant hypotheses.

b.Suppose braking distance for the new system is normally distributed with 蟽= 10. Let \(\overline X \) denote the sample average braking distance for a random sample of 36 observations. Which values of \(\overline x \) are more contradictory to H0 than 117.2, what is the P-value in this case, and what conclusion is appropriate if 伪 = .10?

c.What is the probability that the new design is not implemented when its true average braking distance is actually 115 ft and the test from part (b) is used?

For which of the given P-values would the null hypothesis be rejected when performing a level .05 test?

a. .001 b. .021 c. .078

d..047 e. .148

Let 碌 denote the true average radioactivity level (picocuries per liter). The value 5 pCi/L is considered the dividing line between safe and unsafe water. Would you recommend testing H0: 碌= 5 versus Ha: 碌> 5 or H0: 碌= 5 versus Ha: 碌 < 5? Explain your reasoning. (Hint: Think about the consequences of a type I and type II error for each possibility.)

Unlike most packaged food products, alcohol beverage container labels are not required to show calorie or nutrient content. The article 鈥淲hat Am I Drinking? The Effects of Serving Facts Information on Alcohol Beverage Containers鈥 (J. of Consumer Affairs, 2008: 81鈥99) reported on a pilot study in which each of 58 individuals in a sample was asked to estimate the calorie content of a 12-oz can of beer known to contain 153 calories. The resulting sample mean estimated calorie level was 191 and the sample standard deviation was 89. Does this data suggest that the true average estimated calorie content in the population sampled exceeds the actual content? Test the appropriate hypotheses at significance level .001.

A random sample of soil specimens was obtained, and the amount of organic matter (%) in the soil was determined for each specimen, resulting in the accompanying data (from 鈥淓ngineering Properties of Soil,鈥 Soil Science, 1998: 93鈥102).

\(\begin{array}{l}1.10 5.09 0.97 1.59 4.60 0.32 0.55 1.45\\0.14 4.47 1.20 3.50 5.02 4.67 5.22 2.69\\3.98 3.17 3.03 2.21 0.69 4.47 3.31 1.17\\0.76 1.17 1.57 2.62 1.66 2.05\end{array}\)

The values of the sample mean, sample standard deviation, and (estimated) standard error of the mean are \(2.481,1.616,\) and \(.295,\) respectively. Does this data suggest that the true average percentage of organic matter in such soil is something other than \(3\% \)? Carry out a test of the appropriate hypotheses at significance level \(.10\). Would your conclusion be different if a \(\alpha = .05\) had been used? (Note: A normal probability plot of the data shows an acceptable pattern in light of the reasonably large sample size.)

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