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A more accurate approximation to \({\rm{E}}\left( {{\rm{h}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{n}}}} \right)} \right)\) in Exercise 95 is

\(h\left( {{\mu _1}, \ldots ,{\mu _n}} \right) + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _1^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h}}{{\partial x_1^2}}} \right) + \cdots + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _n^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h}}{{\partial x_n^2}}} \right)\)

Compute this for \({\rm{Y = h}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{3}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{4}}}} \right)\)given in Exercise 93 , and compare it to the leading term \({\rm{h}}\left( {{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{n}}}} \right)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified

The value of \(E(Y) \approx 26.1894\).

Step by step solution

01

Concept introduction

A function's derivative is defined as the function's instantaneous rate of change at a given location.

02

Solving the derivatives

The following is true:

\(\begin{array}{l}\frac{{\partial h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial {\mu _1}}} = \frac{\partial }{{\partial {\mu _1}}}\left( {{\mu _4} \cdot \left( {\frac{1}{{{\mu _1}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _2}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _3}}}} \right)} \right)\\ = - \frac{{{\mu _4}}}{{\mu _1^2}}\\\frac{{\partial h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial {\mu _2}}} = \frac{\partial }{{\partial {\mu _2}}}\left( {{\mu _4} \cdot \left( {\frac{1}{{{\mu _1}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _2}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _3}}}} \right)} \right)\\ = - \frac{{{\mu _4}}}{{\mu _2^2}}\\\frac{{\partial h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial {\mu _3}}} = \frac{\partial }{{\partial {\mu _3}}}\left( {{\mu _4} \cdot \left( {\frac{1}{{{\mu _1}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _2}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _3}}}} \right)} \right)\\ = - \frac{{{\mu _4}}}{{\mu _3^2}},\\\frac{{\partial h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial {\mu _4}}} = \frac{\partial }{{\partial {\mu _4}}}\left( {{\mu _4} \cdot \left( {\frac{1}{{{\mu _1}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _2}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _3}}}} \right)} \right)\\ = \frac{1}{{{\mu _1}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _2}}} + \frac{1}{{{\mu _3}}}\end{array}\)

Second-order partial derivatives are also

\(\begin{array}{l}\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _1^2}} = \frac{{2{x_4}}}{{x_1^3}}\\\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _2^2}} = \frac{{2{x_4}}}{{x_2^3}}\\\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _3^2}} = \frac{{2{x_4}}}{{x_3^3}}\\\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _4^2}} = 0\end{array}\)

The following is correct based on the values provided in the preceding exercise.

\(\begin{array}{l}E(Y) \approx h\left( {{\mu _1}, \ldots ,{\mu _n}} \right) + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _1^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _1^2}}} \right) + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _2^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _2^2}}} \right)\\ + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _3^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _3^2}}} \right) + \frac{1}{2}\sigma _4^2\left( {\frac{{{\partial ^2}h\left( {{\mu _1},{\mu _2},{\mu _3},{\mu _4}} \right)}}{{\partial \mu _4^2}}} \right)\\ = 26 + 0.12 + 0.0356 + 0.0338\\ = 26.1894\end{array}\)

Therefore, the value of \(E(Y) \approx 26.1894\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose the distribution of the time X (in hours) spent by students at a certain university on a particular project is gamma with parameters \(\alpha = 50\)and\(\beta = 2\). Because a is large, it can be shown that X has an approximately normal distribution. Use this fact to compute the approximate probability that a randomly selected student spends at most \(125\) hours on the project.

a. Use the rules of expected value to show that \({\rm{Cov(aX + b,cY + d) = acCov(X,Y)}}{\rm{.}}\)

b. Use part (a) along with the rules of variance and standard deviation to show that \({\rm{Corr(aX + b,cY + d) = Corr(X,Y)}}\) when \({\rm{a}}\) and \({\rm{c}}\) have the same sign.

c. What happens if \({\rm{a}}\) and \({\rm{c}}\) have opposite signs?

Refer to Exercise \({\rm{46}}\). Suppose the distribution is normal (the cited article makes that assumption and even includes the corresponding normal density curve).

a. Calculate \({\rm{P}}\)(\(69\text{£}\bar{X}\text{£}71\)) when \({\rm{n = 16}}\).

b. How likely is it that the sample mean diameter exceeds \({\rm{71}}\) when \({\rm{n = 25}}\)?

A student has a class that is supposed to end at\({\rm{9:00 A}}{\rm{.M}}\). and another that is supposed to begin at \({\rm{9:10 A}}{\rm{.M}}\).

Suppose the actual ending time of the \({\rm{9:00 A}}{\rm{.M}}\). class is a normally distributed \({\rm{rv}}\) \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}\)with mean \({\rm{9:02 A}}{\rm{.M}}\)and standard deviation \({\rm{1}}{\rm{.5\;min}}\)and that the starting time of the next class is also a normally distributed \({\rm{rv}}\) \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}\)with mean \({\rm{9:10}}\)and standard deviation \({\rm{1\;min}}{\rm{.}}\)Suppose also that the time necessary to get from one classroom to the other is a normally distributed \({\rm{rv}}\) \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{3}}}\)with mean \({\rm{6\;min}}\) and standard deviation\({\rm{1\;min}}\). What is the probability that the student makes it to the second class before the lecture starts? (Assume independence of\({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}\), and\({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{3}}}\), which is reasonable if the student pays no attention to the finishing time of the first class.)

A surveyor wishes to lay out a square region with each side having length\({\rm{L}}\). However, because of a measurement error, he instead lays out a rectangle in which the north-south sides both have length \({\rm{X}}\) and the east-west sides both have length\({\rm{Y}}\). Suppose that \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent and that each is uniformly distributed on the interval \({\rm{(L - A,L + A)}}\) (where \({\rm{0 < A < L}}\) ). What is the expected area of the resulting rectangle?

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