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An ecologist wishes to select a point inside a circular sampling region according to a uniform distribution (in practice this could be done by first selecting a direction and then a distance from the center in that direction). Let \({\rm{X}}\)=the \({\rm{x}}\) coordinate of the point selected and \({\rm{Y}}\)=the \({\rm{y}}\) coordinate of the point selected. If the circle is centered at \({\rm{(0,0)}}\)and has radius \({\rm{R}}\), then the joint pdf of \({\rm{X}}\)and \({\rm{Y}}\) is

\({\rm{f(x,y) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}}&{{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + }}{{\rm{y}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢}}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{\;otherwise\;}}}\end{array}} \right.\)

a. What is the probability that the selected point is within \(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)of the center of the circular region? (Hint: Draw a picture of the region of positive density \({\rm{D}}\). Because \({\rm{f}}\)(\({\rm{x}}\), \({\rm{y}}\)) is constant on \({\rm{D}}\), computing a probability reduces to computing an area.)

b. What is the probability that both \({\rm{X and Y}}\)differ from 0 by at most\(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)?

c. Answer part (b) for\(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}\)replacing\(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)

d. What is the marginal pdf of \({\rm{X}}\)? Of \({\rm{Y}}\)? Are \({\rm{X and Y}}\)independent?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) \({\rm{P((X,Y)I A) = 0}}{\rm{.25}}\)

b) \({\rm{P}}\left( {{\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢X拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{, - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢Y拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}} \right){\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{\pi }}}{\rm{;}}\)

c) \({\rm{c}}{\rm{.P}}\left( {{\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{拢X拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{, - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{拢拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}} \right){\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{2}}}{{\rm{\pi }}}\)

d) Random variables are interconnected.

Step by step solution

01

Definition of probability

the proportion of the total number of conceivable outcomes to the number of options in an exhaustive collection of equally likely outcomes that cause a given occurrence.

02

Calculating the probability that the selected point is within \(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)of the center of the circular region

First, notice how the random variable \((X,Y)\)is evenly scattered over the disc. This suggests that we can compute the probability by calculating the area of a subset.

The following is true for every acceptable set \(A\):

\({\rm{P((X,Y)I A) = }}\mathop \int\!\!\!\int \nolimits_{\rm{A}} {\rm{nf(x,y)dxdy}}\)

Because \(A\)is a circle with radius\({\rm{R/2}}\)in our example, we obtain

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{c}}{{\rm{P((X,Y)I A) = }}\mathop \int\!\!\!\int \nolimits_{\rm{A}} {\rm{nf(x,y)dxdy = }}\mathop \int\!\!\!\int \nolimits_{\rm{A}} {\rm{n}}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{dxdy}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times \pi }}{{\left( {\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}} \right)}^{\rm{2}}}}\\{{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.25}}{\rm{.}}}\end{aligned}\)

The integral is equal to the area of the circle.

03

Calculating the probability that both \({\rm{X and Y}}\)differ from \({\rm{0}}\) by at most \(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)

First, represent the case when \(X\)departs from \({\rm{0}}\) by at most \({\rm{R/2}}\)as follows:

\({\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢X拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)

because it has the ability to travel in both directions (negative and positive). We do the same for \(Y\). As a result, we require the likelihood of the given events intersecting

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{c}}{{\rm{P}}\left( {{\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢X拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{, - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{拢Y拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}} \right){\rm{ = }}\mathop \int\!\!\!\int \nolimits_{\rm{A}} {\rm{nf(x,y)dxdy}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\mid {\rm{A\;is a square with side\;}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = R}}\mid }\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{\pi }}}}\end{aligned}\)

04

Calculating \(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}\)replacing \(\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\rm{2}}}\)

The probability can be calculated in the same way. The only difference is that the side length is longer. Therefore

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{c}}{{\rm{P}}\left( {{\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{拢X拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{, - }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{拢Y拢}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}} \right){\rm{ = }}\mathop \int\!\!\!\int \nolimits_{\rm{A}} {\rm{nf(x,y)dxdy}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\mid {\rm{A\;is a square with side\;}}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{\rm{R}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{2}} }}{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {\rm{2}} {\rm{R}}\mid }\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times (}}\sqrt {\rm{2}} {\rm{R}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{2}}}{{\rm{\pi }}}{\rm{ \times }}}\end{aligned}\)

05

Calculating the marginal pdf of \({\rm{X}}\), Of \({\rm{Y}}\)and \({\rm{X and Y}}\)are independent

For the continuous random variable \({\rm{X}}\),the marginal probability density function is

\({{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) = `o }}_{{\rm{ - 楼}}}^{\rm{楼}}{\rm{nf(x,y)dy,\;for\; - 楼 < x < 楼}}\)

The integral's bounds are determined using

\({{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + }}{{\rm{y}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}\)

and we obtain

\({\rm{y = }}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}} {\rm{,}}\;\;\;{\rm{y = - }}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}} \)

As a result, the following applies:

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{c}}{{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) = `o }}_{{\rm{ - 楼}}}^{\rm{楼}}{\rm{nf(x,y)dy = `o }}_{{\rm{ - }}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}} }^{\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}} }{\rm{n}}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{dy}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times 2}}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}} {\rm{, - R拢x拢R}}}\end{aligned}\)

\({{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) = 0,}}\)

Similarly, $Y$'s marginal pdf is

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{c}}{{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y) = `o }}_{{\rm{ - 楼}}}^{\rm{楼}}{\rm{nf(x,y)dx = `o }}_{{\rm{ - }}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{y}}^{\rm{2}}}} }^{\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{y}}^{\rm{2}}}} }{\rm{n}}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{dx}}}\\{{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{\pi }}{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times 2}}\sqrt {{{\rm{R}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{y}}^{\rm{2}}}} {\rm{, - R拢y拢R,}}}\\{{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(y) = 0,\;otherwise}}{\rm{.\;}}}\end{aligned}\)

Two independent variables \(X and Y\)are independent if and only if

1. \({\rm{p(x,y) = }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for every\({\rm{(x,y)}}\)and when \(X and Y\) discrete rv's, and

2. \({\rm{f(x,y) = }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\), otherwise they are dependent

The joint pdf is obviously not equal to the product of the two marginal distributions , hence the random variables are dependent.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \({\rm{X}}\) denote the number of Canon SLR cameras sold during a particular week by a certain store. The pmf of \({\rm{X}}\) is

Sixty percent of all customers who purchase these cameras also buy an extended warranty. Let \({\rm{Y}}\) denote the number of purchasers during this week who buy an extended warranty.

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The lifetime of a certain type of battery is normally distributed with mean value \({\rm{10}}\)hours and standard deviation \({\rm{1}}\)hour. There are four batteries in a package. What lifetime value is such that the total lifetime of all batteries in a package exceeds that value for only \({\rm{5\% }}\)of all packages?

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