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Annie and Alvie have agreed to meet between\({\rm{5:00 P}}{\rm{.M}}\). and\({\rm{6:00 P}}{\rm{.M}}\). for dinner at a local health-food restaurant. Let\({\rm{X = }}\)Annie's arrival time and\({\rm{Y = }}\)Alvie's arrival time. Suppose\({\rm{X}}\)and\({\rm{Y}}\)are independent with each uniformly distributed on the interval\({\rm{(5,6)}}\).

a. What is the joint pdf of\({\rm{X}}\)and\({\rm{Y}}\)?

b. What is the probability that they both arrive between\({\rm{5:15}}\)and\({\rm{5:45}}\)?

c. If the first one to arrive will wait only \({\rm{10\;min}}\) before leaving to eat elsewhere, what is the probability that they have dinner at the health-food restaurant? (Hint: The event of interest is\({\rm{A = \{(x,y):|x - y|£1/6\}}}\).)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Result

a) The joint of X and Y is \({\rm{f(x,y) = }}\left\{ {\begin{aligned}{*{20}{l}}{\rm{1}}&{{\rm{,5£x£6,5£y£6}}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{, otherwise }}}\end{aligned}} \right.\)

b) The probability is \({\rm{P(5}}{\rm{.25£X£5}}{\rm{.75,5}}{\rm{.25£Y£5}}{\rm{.75) = 0}}{\rm{.25}}\) that they both arrive between \({\rm{5:15}}\) and \({\rm{5:45}}\).

c. The probability is \({\rm{P(|X - Y|£2) = 0}}{\rm{.3594}}\)that they have dinner at the health-food restaurant.

Step by step solution

01

Definition

Probability simply refers to the likelihood of something occurring. We may talk about the probabilities of particular outcomes—how likely they are—when we're unclear about the result of an event. Statistics is the study of occurrences guided by probability.

02

Determining the joint of X and Y

(a):

Two random variables \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent if and only if

1. \({\rm{p(x,y) = }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\) and when \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) discrete rv's,

2. \({\rm{f(x,y) = }}\int_{\rm{X}} {{\rm{(x)}}} {\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for covary \({\rm{(x,y)}}\) and when \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) continuous rv's, otherwise they are dependent.

Since random variables \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent and uniformly distributed, the joint pdr ol \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) is \(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{f(x,y) = }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y) = 1 \times 1 = 1,}}}&{{\rm{5£x£6,5£y£6}}}\\{{\rm{f(x,y) = 0}}}&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{aligned}\)

Therefore,

\({\rm{f(x,y) = }}\left\{ {\begin{aligned}{*{20}{l}}{\rm{1}}&{{\rm{,5£x£6,5££6}}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{, otherwise }}}\end{aligned}} \right.\)

03

Calculating the probability

(b):

Random variables \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) can take values between\({\rm{5 and 6}}\), which means that we first need to transfer time \({\rm{5:15}}\) uniformly on interval\({\rm{(5,6)}}\). Since \({\rm{1/4(0}}{\rm{.25)}}\) hours is \({\rm{15}}\) mins, \({\rm{5:15}}\)would be represented as\({\rm{5}}{\rm{.25}}\). Similarly, \({\rm{5:45}}\)would be represented as \({\rm{5}}{\rm{.75}}\) (\({\rm{3/4}}\)hours).

Therefore, the following is true

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(5}}{\rm{.25£X£5}}{\rm{.75,5}}{\rm{.25£Y£5}}{\rm{.75)}}\\\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\rm{P(5}}{\rm{.25£X£5}}{\rm{.75) \times P(5}}{\rm{.25£Y£5}}{\rm{.75)}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.25}}}^{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.75}}} {\rm{1}} {\rm{dx \times }}\int_{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.25}}}^{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.75}}} {\rm{1}} {\rm{dy}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.5 \times 0}}{\rm{.5}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.25}}\end{aligned}\)

(1): We can utilize the multiplication property since the random variable is independent.

Property of Multiplication: Two events If and only if, A and B are independent.

\({\rm{P(Ac{C}B) = P(A) \times P(B)}}\)

04

Calculating the probability

(c):

We are given the event of interest in the hint. It makes sense because \({\rm{1/6}}\) hours is \({\rm{10}}\) minutes.

For every adequate set \({\rm{A}}\) the following holds

We have joint pdf, therefore, the following is true

(1): We can simply determine the area of a darkened region on the picture since random variables are equally distributed over a square. The area may be computed using the formula:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{1 - 2 \times P(\Delta ) = 1 - 2 \times a \times b \times }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 1 - 2 \times }}\frac{{\rm{5}}}{{\rm{6}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{5}}}{{\rm{6}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 1 - }}\frac{{{\rm{25}}}}{{{\rm{36}}}}\\{\rm{ = }}\frac{{{\rm{11}}}}{{{\rm{36}}}}{\rm{,}}\end{aligned}\)

where \({\rm{a}}\) and \({\rm{b}}\) are the legs of the right triangle.

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