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A study was carried out to compare two different methods, injection and nasal spray, for administering flu vaccine to children under the age of 5. All 8000 children in the study were given both an injection and a spray. However, the vaccine given to 4000 of the children actually contained just saltwater, and the spray given to the other 4000 children also contained just saltwater. At the end of the flu season, it was determined that 3.9% of the children who received the real vaccine via nasal spray contracted the flu, whereas 8.6% of the 4000 children receiving the real vaccine via injection contracted the flu.

(a). Why do you think each child received both an injection and a spray?

(b). Does one method for delivering the vaccine appear to be superior to the other? Test the appropriate hypotheses. [Note: The study was described in the article 鈥淪pray Flu Vaccine May Work Better Than Injections for Tots,鈥 San Luis Obispo Tribune, May 2, 2006..

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. Because of the placebo effect.
  2. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the vaccine appears to be superior to the other.

Step by step solution

01

To find (a)

(a):

The point of placebo is for a child not to know if he actually had taken the treatment or not; thus, by giving both injection and spray the child doesn't know which one is the child taking (receiving).

Because of the placebo effect

02

Find the (b)

Given:

\(\)\(\)\(\begin{array}{l}{{\hat p}_1} = 3.9\% = 0.039\\{{\hat p}_2} = 8.6\% = 0.086\\{n_1} = {n_2} = 4000\end{array}\)

Let us assume:\(\alpha = 0.05\)

Claim: superior

The claim is either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis state the opposite of each other. The null hypothesis needs to contain an equality.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{p_1} = {p_2}\\{H_a}:{p_1} < {p_2}\end{array}\)

03

Find the

The sample proportion is the number of successes divided by the sample size:

\(\begin{array}{l}{x_1} = {{\hat p}_1}{n_1} = 0.039(4000) = 156\\{x_1} = {{\hat p}_1}{n_1} = 0.086(4000) = 344\\{{\hat p}_p} = \frac{{{x_1} + {x_2}}}{{{n_1} + {n_2}}} = \frac{{156 + 344}}{{8000}} = \frac{{500}}{{8000}} \approx 0.0625\end{array}\)

Determine the value of the test statistic:

\(z = \frac{{{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}}}{{\sqrt {{{\hat p}_p}\left( {1 - {{\hat p}_p}} \right)} \sqrt {\frac{1}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{1}{{{n_2}}}} }} = \frac{{0.039 - 0.086}}{{\sqrt {0.0625(1 - 0.0625)} \sqrt {\frac{1}{{4000}} + \frac{1}{{4000}}} }} \approx - 8.68\)

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of the test statistic, or a value more extreme, assuming th hypothesis is true. Determine the P-value using table the normal probability table in the appendix

\(P = P(Z < - 8.68) \approx 0\)

If the P-value is smaller than the significance level, then reject the null hypothesis:

\(P < 0.05 \Rightarrow Reject {H_0}\)

There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the vaccine appears to be superior to the other

04

Final prrof

  1. Because of the placebo effect.
  2. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the vaccine appears to be superior to the other.

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