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The completion time X for a certain task has cdf F(x) given by

\(\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{0\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,x < 0}\\{\frac{{{x^3}}}{3}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,0 \le x \le \frac{7}{3}}\\{1 - \frac{1}{2}\left( {\frac{7}{3} - x} \right)\left( {\frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4}x} \right)\,\,\,\,\,\,1 \le x \le \frac{7}{3}}\\{1\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,x > \frac{7}{3}}\end{array}} \right.\)

a. Obtain the pdf f (x) and sketch its graph.

b. Compute\({\bf{P}}\left( {.{\bf{5}} \le {\bf{X}} \le {\bf{2}}} \right)\). c. Compute E(X).

Short Answer

Expert verified

\(\begin{array}{l}(a)\,f(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{x^2}}&{0 \le x < 1}\\{\frac{7}{4} - \left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)x}&{1 \le x \le \frac{7}{3}}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\\(b)\,0.9167\\(c)\,1.213\end{array}\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Probability

Probability is a branch of mathematics that studies the probability of a random event occurring. When a coin is tossed into the air, for example, the possible outcomes are Head and Tail.

02

Calculation for the determination of the pdf f(x) in part a.

(a) It is given that X is a random variable denoting the completion time for a certain task. Its CDF F(x) is given as:

Proposition: If X is a continuous rv with pdf f(x) and cdf F(x), then at every x at which the derivative\({F^\prime }(x)\)exists,

\(f(x) = {F^\prime }(x)\)

For intervals\(x < 0\)and\(x > \frac{7}{3}\):

\(f(x) = {F^\prime }(X) = 0\)

For interval\(0 \le x < 1\):

\(f(x) = \frac{d}{{dx}}\left( {\frac{{{x^3}}}{3}} \right) = {x^2}\)

For interval\(1 \le x \le \frac{7}{3}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}f(x) = \frac{d}{{dx}}\left( {1 - \frac{1}{2}\left( {\frac{7}{3} - x} \right)\left( {\frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4}x} \right)} \right)\\f(x) = \frac{1}{2}\left( {\frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4}x} \right) + \frac{1}{2}\left( {\frac{7}{3} - x} \right)\left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)\\f(x) = \frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4}x\end{array}\)

03

Calculation for the determination of the pdf f(x) in part a.

Hence pdf f(x) can finally be given as:

\(f(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{x^2}}&{0 \le x < 1}\\{\frac{7}{4} - \left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)x}&{1 \le x \le \frac{7}{3}}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

04

Calculation for the determination of the probability in part b.

(b) compute\(P(0.5 < X < 2)\)

\(\begin{aligned}P(0.5 < X < 2) &= F(2) - F(0.5) \hfill \\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, &= \left[ {1 - \frac{1}{2}\left( {\frac{7}{3} - 2} \right)\left( {\frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4} \cdot 2} \right)} \right] - \left[ {\frac{{{{(0.5)}^3}}}{3}} \right] \hfill \\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, &= \frac{{23}}{{24}} -\frac{1}{{24}} \hfill \\ P(0.5 < X < 2) &= 0.9167 \hfill \\\end{aligned}\)

Proposition: Let\({\rm{X}}\)be a continuous\({\rm{rv}}\)with\({\rm{pdff}}({\rm{x}})\)and\(cdf\;{\rm{F}}({\rm{x}})\). Then for any two numbers a and\({\rm{b}}\)with\(a < b\),

\(P(a \le X \le b) = F(b) - F(a)\)

05

Calculation for the determination of the expected value in part c

(c) The mean value of the given distribution can be given as:

\(\begin{aligned}E(X)&= \int_{ - \infty }^i\cdot f(x) \cdot dx \\ &= \int_0^1 x \cdot {x^2} \cdot dx + \int_1^{7/3} x \cdot \left( {\frac{7}{4} - \frac{3}{4}x} \right) \cdot dx \\&= \int_0^1 {{x^3}} \cdot dx + \int_1^{7/3} {\frac{{7x}}{4}} \cdot dx - \int_1^{7/3} {\frac{{3{x^2}}}{4}} \cdot dx \\&= \left[ {\frac{{{x^4}}}{4}} \right]_0^1 + \left[ {\frac{{7{x^2}}}{8}} \right]_1^{7/3} + \left[ {\frac{{{x^3}}}{4}} \right]_1^{7/3} = {\left[ {\frac{{{1^4}}}{4}} \right]_1} + \left[ {\frac{{343}}{{72}} - \frac{7}{8}} \right] + \left[ {\frac{{343}}{{108}} - \frac{1}{4}} \right] \\&= \frac{1}{4} + \frac{{35}}{9} - \frac{{316}}{{108}} \\E(X) &= 1.213 \\\end{aligned} \)

Definition: The expected or mean value of a continuous\(rv\;X\)with pdf f(x) is

\(\mu = E(X) = \int_{ - \infty }^\infty x \cdot f(x) \cdot dx\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Evaluate the following:

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\({\rm{F(x) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{x}} \le {\rm{0}}}\\{\frac{{\rm{x}}}{{\rm{4}}}\left( {{\rm{1 + ln}}\left( {\frac{{\rm{4}}}{{\rm{x}}}} \right)} \right)}&{{\rm{0 < x}} \le {\rm{4}}}\\{\rm{1}}&{{\rm{x > 4}}}\end{array}} \right.\)

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e. What is the \({\rm{99th}}\) percentile of the delay time distribution?

f. Among \({\rm{10}}\) randomly selected such items, how many would you expect to have a delay time exceeding \({\rm{8}}\) months?

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