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The article "The Accuracy of Stated Energy Contents of Reduced-Energy, Commercially Prepared Foods" ( \(J\). Am. Diet. Assoc., 2010: 116-123) presented the accompanying data on vendor-stated gross energy and measured value (both in kcal) for 10 different supermarket convenience meals): $$ \begin{array}{lcccccccccc} \text { Meal } & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 & 7 & 8 & 9 & 10 \\ \text { Stated } & 180 & 220 & 190 & 230 & 200 & 370 & 250 & 240 & 80 & 180 \\\ \text { Measured } & 212 & 319 & 231 & 306 & 211 & 431 & 288 & 265 & 145 & 228 \end{array} $$ Obtain a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of population means. By roughly what percentage are the actual calories higher than the stated value? Note that the article calls this a convenience sample and suggests that therefore it should have limited value for inference. However, even if the ten meals were a random sample from their local store, there could still be a problem in drawing conclusions about a purchase at your store.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Difference CI: (28.2, 70.8); Actual calories are ~23% higher than stated.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Difference for Each Meal

To find the difference between the measured and stated calories for each meal, we subtract the stated value from the measured value: Meal 1: 212 - 180 = 32 Meal 2: 319 - 220 = 99 Meal 3: 231 - 190 = 41 Meal 4: 306 - 230 = 76 Meal 5: 211 - 200 = 11 Meal 6: 431 - 370 = 61 Meal 7: 288 - 250 = 38 Meal 8: 265 - 240 = 25 Meal 9: 145 - 80 = 65 Meal 10: 228 - 180 = 48.
02

Calculate the Mean and Standard Deviation of Differences

First, we calculate the mean of the differences.Mean difference \( \bar{d} = \frac{32 + 99 + 41 + 76 + 11 + 61 + 38 + 25 + 65 + 48}{10} = 49.6 \).Next, we calculate the standard deviation of these differences.The variance \( s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}(d_i - \bar{d})^2 \) where \( n = 10 \).Computing, \( s = \sqrt{\frac{1}{9}(352.16 + 2430.76 + 73.96 + 686.56 + 1503.36 + 131.04 + 1388.16 + 607.36 + 238.56 + 3.36)} = \sqrt{11660.8 / 9} \approx 29.97 \).
03

Calculate the Confidence Interval

To establish the confidence interval, we use the t-distribution for small sample sizes:The formula for the confidence interval is given by \( \bar{d} \pm t_{(n-1, \alpha / 2)} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \).From the t-table, for a 95% confidence level with 9 degrees of freedom ( \( n-1 \) ), the t-value is approximately 2.262.Thus, the confidence interval is:\[49.6 \pm 2.262 \times \frac{29.97}{\sqrt{10}}\]\[49.6 \pm 21.4\]So the confidence interval is approximately (28.2, 70.8).
04

Calculate the Overall Percentage Increase

The overall percentage increase is found by averaging the percentage differences for each meal:\( \text{Percentage increase} = \frac{\bar{d}}{\text{mean stated value}} \times 100 \).The mean stated value is \( \frac{180 + 220 + 190 + 230 + 200 + 370 + 250 + 240 + 80 + 180}{10} = 214 \).Thus, Percentage increase = \( \frac{49.6}{214} \times 100 \approx 23.18\% \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
The t-distribution is critical for confidence intervals, particularly when dealing with small sample sizes or unknown population variances. It resembles the more commonly known normal distribution, but it has heavier tails. This means it is more prone to producing values far from the mean. As sample size increases, the t-distribution becomes closer to a normal distribution. In our exercise, we are using a sample size of 10, which is relatively small.
This small size leads us to apply the t-distribution to estimate the confidence interval around our mean difference.When constructing a confidence interval, we use the formula:\[\bar{d} \pm t_{(n-1, \alpha / 2)} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\]Here, \(\bar{d}\) is the sample mean difference, \(s\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. The t-value is selected from the t-table based on our degrees of freedom \((n-1)\) and our desired confidence level. The confidence interval we calculated, (28.2, 70.8), shows the range in which we expect the true mean difference to fall, with 95% confidence.
sample mean difference
The sample mean difference is a measure that helps us understand the average discrepancy between two sets of data. In this exercise, it's the average of how much the measured calorie content exceeded the stated content for the 10 meals. To calculate this, we first determine the difference for each individual meal and then average these differences.Mathematically speaking, the mean difference \(\bar{d}\) is calculated as:\[\bar{d} = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} (d_i)}{n}\]where \(d_i\) represents each individual difference and \(n\) is the number of observations (in this case, 10). With a sample mean difference of 49.6, it tells us that, on average, the measured calorie values are 49.6 kcal higher than the stated values. This insight is essential to understand the overall trend between the two datasets.
standard deviation
Standard deviation is a statistical measure that tells us about the dispersion or spread of a dataset relative to its mean. It provides insight into how clustered or spread out the values are. In simpler terms, it's an indicator of how much the individual data points deviate from the average value.For our exercise, the standard deviation, denoted as \(s\), is derived from the differences between the measured and stated calorie contents. We calculate it using the square root of the variance:\[s = \sqrt{\frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (d_i - \bar{d})^2}\]Here, \(\bar{d}\) is the mean of the differences, and \(d_i\) are the individual differences. In this case, the calculated standard deviation is approximately 29.97. A higher standard deviation would indicate more variability among the meals' differences, while a lower one would show that the differences are more consistently close to the mean.
percentage increase
The percentage increase is a useful metric that tells us how much one value has increased relative to another value, expressed in percentage terms. In this scenario, it's about understanding how much higher the measured calorie contents are compared to the stated values.To calculate the percentage increase:1. First, find the sample mean difference \(\bar{d}\), which is the average of all differences.2. Then determine the mean stated value of the energy contents.3. Use the formula:\[\text{Percentage increase} = \left(\frac{\bar{d}}{\text{mean stated value}}\right) \times 100\]In our exercise, with a mean stated value of 214 kcal, the percentage increase comes out to be approximately 23.18%. This means, on average, the measured energy contents are 23.18% higher than what was originally stated, pointing to a significant discrepancy between stated and measured values in these supermarket convenience meals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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