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What is meant by the term 90% confident when constructing a confidence interval for a mean? a. If we took repeated samples, approximately 90% of the samples would produce the same confidence interval. b. If we took repeated samples, approximately 90% of the confidence intervals calculated from those samples would contain the sample mean. c. If we took repeated samples, approximately 90% of the confidence intervals calculated from those samples would contain the true value of the population mean. d. If we took repeated samples, the sample mean would equal the population mean in approximately 90% of the samples.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Option c is correct: 90% of confidence intervals from samples contain the true population mean.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Meaning of Confidence Interval

A confidence interval is a range of values that is likely to contain a population parameter with a certain level of confidence. A 90% confidence interval for a mean implies that there is a 90% chance that the interval calculated from the sample data would include the true population mean.
02

Analyze Each Option

Review each statement for its validity: a. This option implies that 90% of samples would yield the same interval, which is incorrect, because confidence intervals vary with each sample. b. This statement confuses the interval with the sample mean; the confidence interval concerns the population mean, not the sample mean. c. This option correctly states that 90% of confidence intervals will contain the true population mean, which is consistent with our understanding of confidence intervals. d. This option incorrectly asserts that 90% of the samples will have a mean equal to the population mean, which misunderstands the purpose of confidence intervals.
03

Identify the Correct Answer

After reviewing the options, the correct interpretation of a 90% confidence interval is option c; it accurately reflects the statistical meaning of a confidence interval by saying that about 90% of the calculated confidence intervals from repeated samples will include the true population mean.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Mean
The population mean is a fundamental concept in statistics. It represents the average value of a characteristic across a whole population. For example, if we wanted to know the average height of all students in a school, their heights added together and divided by the number of students would give us the population mean. This value provides a central measure of the data set.

Understanding the population mean is crucial when analyzing data, as it helps in making inferences about a larger group without examining every member. In many real-world scenarios, calculating the population mean directly is not feasible due to the size of the population. Therefore, statisticians rely on sample data to make estimates.
Sample Data
Sample data involves collecting information from a subset of a larger population. This subset, or sample, should be representative to ensure accurate conclusions about the population. For example, if we wish to measure the average height of students from the aforementioned school, selecting a group of students across different grades and classes would be a form of sampling.

The primary goal of using sample data is to make estimates about the population by studying the sample. It's important that sample selection is random and unbiased to accurately reflect the larger population. With well-chosen samples, statisticians can confidently estimate parameters like the population mean.
Statistics Concepts
Statistics involve various concepts that play a crucial role in data analysis. Some key terms include:
  • Population: The complete set of items or individuals being studied.
  • Sample: A representative subset of the population.
  • Mean: The average value of a data set.
  • Confidence Interval: A range that likely contains the population parameter.
Statistics is all about making informed decisions based on data. By understanding sample data and using concepts like confidence intervals, we can infer about populations without analyzing every individual.

When constructing confidence intervals, the sample mean and sample standard deviation are used to estimate the range where the true population mean might lie. This range, combined with a chosen confidence level, helps interpret the reliability of the estimate.
Confidence Level
The confidence level is a critical aspect of confidence intervals. It indicates how certain we are that the interval contains the true population parameter. Common confidence levels include 90%, 95%, and 99%, with a higher percentage indicating greater confidence.

For instance, a 90% confidence level suggests that if we were to take many samples and compute a confidence interval for each, about 90% of those intervals would contain the true population mean. It's essential to note that increasing the confidence level leads to a wider interval, as we aim for more certainty. However, this also requires more data or a larger sample size to maintain accuracy.
Understanding the concept of confidence level helps interpret results accurately and make informed decisions in statistical data analysis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that a committee is studying whether or not there is waste of time in our judicial system. It is interested in the mean amount of time individuals waste at the courthouse waiting to be called for jury duty. The committee randomly surveyed 81 people who recently served as jurors. The sample mean wait time was eight hours with a sample standard deviation of four hours. a. i. \(\overline{x}=\) _____ ii. \(s_{x}=\) _____ iii. \(n=\) _____ iv. \(n-1=\) _____ b. Define the random variables \(X\) and \(\overline{X}\) in words. c. Which distribution should you use for this problem? Explain your choice. d. Construct a 95\(\%\) confidence interval for the population mean time wasted. i. State the confidence interval. ii. Sketch the graph. iii. Calculate the error bound. e. Explain in a complete sentence what the confidence interval means.

Use the following information to answer the next seven exercises: The U.S. Census Bureau conducts a study to determine the time needed to complete the short form. The Bureau surveys 200 people. The sample mean is 8.2 minutes. There is a known standard deviation of 2.2 minutes. The population distribution is assumed to be normal. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean time to complete the forms. State the confidence interval, sketch the graph, and calculate the error bound.

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: A poll of \(1,200\) voters asked what the most significant issue was in the upcoming election. Sixty-five percent answered the economy. We are interested in the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important. What would happen to the confidence interval if the level of confidence were 95\(\% ?\)

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: The standard deviation of the weights of elephants is known to be approximately 15 pounds. We wish to construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean weight of newborn elephant calves. Fifty newborn elephants are weighed. The sample mean is 244 pounds. The sample standard deviation is 11 pounds. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean weight of newborn elephants. State the confidence interval, sketch the graph, and calculate the error bound.

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises. A hospital is trying to cut down on emergency room wait times. It is interested in the amount of time patients must wait before being called back to be examined. An investigation committee randomly surveyed 70 patients. The sample mean was 1.5 hours with a sample standard deviation of 0.5 hours. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean time spent waiting. State the confidence interval, sketch the graph, and calculate the error bound.

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