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Use the following information to answer the next eight exercises: The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA collected data from 203,967 incoming first-time, full-time freshmen from 270 four year colleges and universities in the U.S. 71.3% of those students replied that, yes, they believe that same-sex couples should have the right to legal marital status. Suppose that you randomly pick eight first-time, full-time freshmen from the survey. You are interested in the number that believes that same sex-couples should have the right to legal marital status. Construct the probability distribution function (PDF). $$\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline x & {P(x)} \\ \hline \\ \hline {} \\ \hline \\\ \hline \\ \hline {} \\ \hline \\ \hline {} \\ \hline \\ \hline \\\ \hline\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The PDF is constructed by calculating \( P(x) \) for each \( x \) from 0 to 8 using the binomial probability formula with \( n = 8 \) and \( p = 0.713 \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We are tasked with constructing a probability distribution function (PDF) for the number of students (out of eight) who believe same-sex couples should have the right to marry. The problem is a binomial distribution scenario because we have a fixed number of trials (8 students), two possible outcomes (yes or no), a constant probability for each student to agree (71.3%), and we're interested in the number of successes (students who agree).
02

Identify the Parameters for Binomial Distribution

For a binomial distribution, we need two parameters: the number of trials, denoted by \( n \), and the probability of success in a single trial, denoted by \( p \). Here, \( n = 8 \) and \( p = 0.713 \).
03

Use the Binomial Probability Formula

The formula for the binomial probability is given by \( P(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \), where \( x \) is the number of successes, and \( \binom{n}{x} \) is the binomial coefficient calculated as \( \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \).
04

Calculate Probabilities for Each Possible Outcome

We calculate the probability for each possible number of students (from 0 to 8) who believe in legal marriage for same-sex couples using the formula from the previous step:- For \( x = 0 \): \( P(0) = \binom{8}{0} (0.713)^0 (0.287)^8 \)- For \( x = 1 \): \( P(1) = \binom{8}{1} (0.713)^1 (0.287)^7 \)- Repeat this calculation up to \( x = 8 \).
05

Construct the PDF Table

After calculating the probabilities, fill the table with each value of \( x \) from 0 to 8 and its corresponding probability \( P(x) \). For instance:\[\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline x & P(x) \ \hline 0 & P(0) \\hline 1 & P(1) \\hline \vdots & \vdots \\hline 8 & P(8) \\hline\end{array}\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Distribution Function
The probability distribution function (PDF) is a fundamental concept in statistics, especially when dealing with random variables. It provides a way to describe how probabilities are distributed over the values that a random variable can take. In our case, the random variable is the number of students (out of eight) who believe same-sex couples should have the right to marry.

The PDF is derived under the consideration of a certain type of distribution—in this case, a binomial distribution. This is because we perform eight independent trials (each trial representing a student's opinion), which have only two possible outcomes: either the student agrees or disagrees. By calculating the probability of each possible outcome from zero to eight agreeing students, we can tabulate these probabilities to form the PDF.
  • The PDF table will show each possible outcome for the number of students.
  • For instance, it contains rows for zero students agreeing, one student agreeing, and so on, up to all eight students agreeing.
  • The value next to each outcome denotes the probability of that outcome occurring, as calculated from the binomial probability formula.
Binomial Probability Formula
The binomial probability formula is the key to calculating the probability of a given number of successes in a series of independent trials. It's perfect for situations like the one we're examining, where each trial has only two possible outcomes. The formula is given by:\[ P(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \]Here, we need to understand what each part of the formula signifies:
  • \( n \) is the total number of trials, which is the number of students in this example (8).
  • \( x \) is the number of successful trials, which means the number of students agreeing.
  • \( p \) is the probability of success in a single trial (0.713 for a student agreeing).
  • \( (1-p) \) is the probability of failure, i.e., a student disagreeing (0.287).
Each probability value computed using this expression provides the chance that exactly \( x \) students out of \( n \) will agree. By evaluating this expression for \( x = 0 \) through \( x = n \), one can fill in all the values of the probability distribution function table.
Binomial Coefficient
A crucial component of the binomial probability formula is the binomial coefficient, denoted as \( \binom{n}{x} \). It represents the number of ways to choose \( x \) successes from \( n \) trials, acting as a multiplier for probability. Understanding this can simplify solving problems involving binomial distributions. The binomial coefficient is calculated using the formula:\[ \binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \]In this formula:
  • \(!\) indicates a factorial, meaning the product of all positive integers up to that number. For example, \(5! = 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 120\).
  • \( n! \) is the factorial of the total number of trials.
  • \( x! \) is the factorial of the number of successful outcomes.
  • \((n-x)!\) is the factorial of the number of unsuccessful trials.

The binomial coefficient essentially helps in determining all possible ways \( x \) successes can appear in \( n \) trials, which is essential when calculating the probability for each outcome in the PDF.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next six exercises: A baker is deciding how many batches of muffins to make to sell in his bakery. He wants to make enough to sell every one and no fewer. Through observation, the baker has established a probability distribution. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline x & {P(x)} \\ \hline 1 & {0.15} \\ \hline 2 & {0.35} \\ \hline 3 & {0.40} \\ \hline 4 & {0.10} \\ \hline\end{array}$$ What is the probability the baker will sell more than one batch? \(P(x>1)=\)_________

On average, Pierre, an amateur chef, drops three pieces of egg shell into every two cake batters he makes. Suppose that you buy one of his cakes. a. In words, define the random variable X. b. List the values that X may take on. c. Give the distribution of \(X, X \sim\) _____(_____,_____) d. On average, how many pieces of egg shell do you expect to be in the cake? e. What is the probability that there will not be any pieces of egg shell in the cake? f. Let’s say that you buy one of Pierre’s cakes each week for six weeks. What is the probability that there will not be any egg shell in any of the cakes? g. Based upon the average given for Pierre, is it possible for there to be seven pieces of shell in the cake? Why?

Suppose that the PDF for the number of years it takes to earn a Bachelor of Science (B.S.) degree is given as in Table 4.34. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline x & {P(x)} \\ \hline 3 & {0.05} \\ \hline 4 & {0.40} \\ \hline 5 & {0.30} \\ \hline 6 & {0.15} \\ \hline 7 & {0.10} \\\ \hline\end{array}$$ On average, how many years do you expect it to take for an individual to earn a B.S.?

Use the following information to answer the next eight exercises: The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA collected data from 203,967 incoming first-time, full-time freshmen from 270 four year colleges and universities in the U.S. 71.3% of those students replied that, yes, they believe that same-sex couples should have the right to legal marital status. Suppose that you randomly pick eight first-time, full-time freshmen from the survey. You are interested in the number that believes that same sex-couples should have the right to legal marital status. What values does the random variable \(X\) take on?

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: A company wants to evaluate its attrition rate, in other words, how long new hires stay with the company. Over the years, they have established the following probability distribution. Let \(X=\) the number of years a new hire will stay with the company. Let \(P(x)=\) the probability that a new hire will stay with the company \(x\) years. What does the column \(" P(x) "\) sum to?

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