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Identify the mistake in the probability distribution table. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|c|}\hline x & {P(x)} & {x^{*} P(x)} \\ \hline 1 & {0.15} & {0.15} \\ \hline 2 & {0.25} & {0.40} \\ \hline 3 & {0.25} & {0.85} \\\ \hline 4 & {0.20} & {0.85} \\ \hline 5 & {0.15} & {1} \\ \hline\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The product values for \(x=2, 3, 4, \text{ and } 5\) are incorrect.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Table

The table presents values for \(x\), \(P(x)\), and the product \(x \times P(x)\). Our aim is to verify if each \(x^{*}P(x)\) column entry is correctly calculated by multiplying \(x\) and \(P(x)\).
02

Check Calculations for \(x=1\)

Calculate: \(1 \times 0.15 = 0.15\). The table lists 0.15, which is correct.
03

Check Calculations for \(x=2\)

Calculate: \(2 \times 0.25 = 0.50\). The table lists 0.40, which is incorrect. The correct value should be 0.50.
04

Check Calculations for \(x=3\)

Calculate: \(3 \times 0.25 = 0.75\). The table lists 0.85, which is incorrect. The correct value should be 0.75.
05

Check Calculations for \(x=4\)

Calculate: \(4 \times 0.20 = 0.80\). The table lists 0.85, which is incorrect. The correct value should be 0.80.
06

Check Calculations for \(x=5\)

Calculate: \(5 \times 0.15 = 0.75\). The table lists 1.00, which is incorrect. The correct value should be 0.75.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Value
The concept of expected value is an essential aspect of probability distribution. It represents the average result expected when an experiment is repeated many times. Expected value combines the probabilities of various outcomes with their respective values, offering a single number summary of a random variable's long-term behavior.

To calculate the expected value, you need to multiply each possible value of the random variable by its probability and then sum up all these products.
For example, if you have a probability distribution, the expected value, often denoted by E(X), is calculated as:
  • \[ E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i) \]
Where:
  • \(x_i\) are the different values that the random variable can take
  • \(P(x_i)\) is the probability of each \(x_i\)
Expected value helps in decision-making processes by giving a forecast of what to expect in the long run. It's a foundational concept in gambling, insurance, and other fields that involve uncertainty.
Probability Table
A probability table effectively organizes the information concerning the possible outcomes of a random variable and their corresponding probabilities. It is structured to present a clear view of all the potential results and their likelihood, making it easier to understand and manipulate these probabilities.

In a typical probability table, you will encounter columns for:
  • Values of the random variable (\(x\))
  • The probability associated with each value, \(P(x)\)
  • Often, you'll also see columns for products like \(x \times P(x)\), useful for finding expected values
It's crucial to ensure that all probabilities sum up to 1. If they don't, there has been a mistake in the calculation or distribution setup. This rule is vital because a valid probability distribution must account for 100% of possible outcomes.

When using a probability table, check the calculations thoroughly. For example, multiplying \(x\) by \(P(x)\) should yield the respective product in the table. Errors in these products can affect subsequent calculations, like determining the expected value.
Calculating Probabilities
Calculating probabilities involves determining the likelihood of different outcomes from a chance event. These probabilities are essential for constructing accurate probability tables and calculating important measures like expected values.

To calculate a probability for a single event, use the formula:
  • \[ P(A) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}} \]
Using this formula helps ensure that each probability is correctly assigned and helps prevent errors in the probability distribution. For compound events, involving more than one event or criterion, probabilities may be determined using addition or multiplication rules, depending on whether the events are mutually exclusive or independent.

Consistently verify that calculated probabilities comply with probability laws. A common rule of thumb is that the total probability across all possible outcomes should equal 1. This verification helps to avoid mistakes that might undermine the validity of your probability results.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

On average, Pierre, an amateur chef, drops three pieces of egg shell into every two cake batters he makes. Suppose that you buy one of his cakes. a. In words, define the random variable X. b. List the values that X may take on. c. Give the distribution of \(X, X \sim\) _____(_____,_____) d. On average, how many pieces of egg shell do you expect to be in the cake? e. What is the probability that there will not be any pieces of egg shell in the cake? f. Let’s say that you buy one of Pierre’s cakes each week for six weeks. What is the probability that there will not be any egg shell in any of the cakes? g. Based upon the average given for Pierre, is it possible for there to be seven pieces of shell in the cake? Why?

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: A physics professor wants to know what percent of physics majors will spend the next several years doing post-graduate research. He has the following probability distribution. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline x & {P(x)} & {x^{\star} P(x)} \\ \hline 1 & {0.35} \\ \hline 2 & {0.20} \\ \hline 3 & {0.15} \\ \hline 4 & {} \\\ \hline 5 & {0.10} \\ \hline 6 & {0.05} \\ \hline\end{array}$$ Define the random variable \(X\).

Use the following information to answer the next eight exercises: The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA collected data from 203,967 incoming first-time, full-time freshmen from 270 four year colleges and universities in the U.S. 71.3% of those students replied that, yes, they believe that same-sex couples should have the right to legal marital status. Suppose that you randomly pick eight first-time, full-time freshmen from the survey. You are interested in the number that believes that same sex-couples should have the right to legal marital status. On average \((\mu),\) how many would you expect to answer yes?

Use the following information to answer the next seven exercises: A ballet instructor is interested in knowing what percent of each year's class will continue on to the next, so that she can plan what classes to offer. Over the years, she has established the following probability distribution. \(\bullet\) Let \(X=\) the number of years a student will study ballet with the teacher. \(\bullet\) Let \(P(x)=\) the probability that a student will study ballet \(x\) years. What does the column \(" P(x)\) "sum to and why?

Fertile, female cats produce an average of three litters per year. Suppose that one fertile, female cat is randomly chosen. In one year, find the probability she produces: a. In words, define the random variable X. b. List the values that X may take on. c. Give the distribution of \(X, X \sim\) _______ d. Find the probability that she has no litters in one year. e. Find the probability that she has at least two litters in one year. f. Find the probability that she has exactly three litters in one year.

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