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Headway on four-lane highways: When traffic is flowing on a highway, the headway is the average time between vehicles. On four-lane highways, the probability \(P\) that the headway is at least \(t\) seconds is given to a good degree of accuracy \({ }^{6}\) by $$ P=e^{-q t}, $$ a. On a four-lane highway carrying an average of 500 vehicles per hour in one direction, what is the probability that the headway is at least 15 seconds? (Note: 500 vehicles per hour is \(\frac{500}{3600}=0.14\) vehicle per second.) b. On a four-lane highway carrying an average of 500 vehicles per hour, what is the decay factor for the probability that headways are at least \(t\) seconds? Reminder: An important law of exponents tells us that \(a^{b c}=\left(a^{b}\right)^{c}\). where \(q\) is the average number of vehicles per second traveling one way on the highway.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Probability is approximately 0.1225. b. The decay factor is 0.14.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

The headway on a highway is the average time between vehicles. We need to calculate two things using the headway probability function given by \( P = e^{-qt} \), where \( q \) is the average number of vehicles per second, and \( t \) is the time in seconds.
02

Convert Average Vehicles Per Hour to Per Second

Given that the highway has an average of 500 vehicles per hour traveling in one direction, convert this to vehicles per second by dividing by the number of seconds in an hour: \( q = \frac{500}{3600} \approx 0.14 \) vehicles per second.
03

Calculate Probability for Part a

To find the probability that the headway \( t \) is at least 15 seconds, plug \( q = 0.14 \) and \( t = 15 \) into the formula: \( P = e^{-0.14 \times 15} \). Simplify the exponent: \( -0.14 \times 15 = -2.1 \). Therefore, \( P = e^{-2.1} \). Using a calculator, \( e^{-2.1} \approx 0.1225 \).
04

Determine Decay Factor for Part b

The decay factor in the formula \( P = e^{-qt} \) is \( q \), which is the rate at which vehicles pass a point per second. Since we already calculated \( q = 0.14 \) vehicles per second, this is the decay factor.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Exponential Decay
The concept of exponential decay is crucial in various fields, including traffic flow analysis. It's a mathematical function that describes how a quantity decreases rapidly at first and then more slowly over time. In the context of traffic on a four-lane highway, this is described by the formula \( P = e^{-qt} \). Here, \( P \) represents the probability that the headway, or the interval between vehicles, meets or exceeds a certain time \( t \).
The term \( e^{-qt} \) involves the natural base \( e \), which is approximately 2.71828. When multiplied by a negative exponent, it reflects a form of decay – specifically, the chances decline as the headway time increases.
  • \( P \) is the probability that cars are spaced at least \( t \) seconds apart.
  • \( q \) is the decay constant, representing the rate of vehicle passage per second.
  • \( t \) is the headway time in seconds.
This exponential decay applies not only to headway but to any process where something decreases quickly then steadies. Understanding this pattern is key in analyzing how likely large headways are on busy highways.
Traffic Flow Analysis
Traffic flow analysis is a method used to understand how vehicles move along roadways. It involves the study of traffic patterns, speeds, and densities to optimize the movement of vehicles and reduce congestion. In our problem, traffic flow is assessed on a four-lane highway where headway probability helps to gauge traffic conditions.
A key aspect of analyzing traffic flow is understanding headway, which is the average time interval between vehicles. By calculating the headway, transportation planners can estimate the level of service on the highway. High headway values suggest lighter traffic, while lower values signify more congestion.
  • Analysis helps in planning road expansions or adjustments.
  • It's also essential for setting traffic lights and managing peak-hour traffic.
  • Applications include designing routes and predicting future traffic patterns.
By analyzing these aspects, planners aim to improve the efficiency of the road network, minimize travel times, and enhance overall road safety.
Rate of Vehicles
The rate of vehicles refers to the average number of vehicles passing a given point per unit of time, often expressed in vehicles per second or per hour. In this exercise, 500 vehicles per hour equates to a vehicle passage rate of approximately 0.14 vehicles per second (\[ q = \frac{500}{3600} \approx 0.14 \]). This number is pivotal in calculating the headway probability and understanding the decay factor.
The vehicle rate directly influences the headway since a higher rate suggests more frequent vehicle passage, reducing average headway. On highways, this rate helps determine road capacity and inform decisions regarding traffic management.
  • Higher rates (large \( q \)) result in shorter time intervals between cars.
  • Lower rates suggest less congestion and longer headways.
  • This rate provides insights crucial for urban transportation planning.
Overall, understanding the rate of vehicles is integral in adjusting infrastructure, optimizing travel times, and predicting traffic conditions effectively. This is central to both micro-level traffic studies and broader transportation policy developments.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Grains of wheat on a chess board: A children's fairy tale tells of a clever elf who extracted from a king the promise to give him one grain of wheat on a chess board square today, two grains on an adjacent square tomorrow, four grains on an adjacent square the next day, and so on, doubling the number of grains each day until all 64 squares of the chess board were used. How many grains of wheat did the hapless king contract to place on the 64th square? There are about \(1.1\) million grains of wheat in a bushel. Assume that a bushel of wheat sells for \(\$ 4.25\). What was the value of the wheat on the 64th square?

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. The half-life of U239: Uranium 239 is an unstable isotope of uranium that decays rapidly. In order to determine the rate of decay, 1 gram of U239 was placed in a container, and the amount remaining was measured at 1-minute intervals and recorded in the table below $$ \begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \begin{array}{c} \text { Time } \\ \text { in minutes } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Grams } \\ \text { remaining } \end{array} \\ \hline 0 & 1 \\ \hline 1 & 0.971 \\ \hline 2 & 0.943 \\ \hline 3 & 0.916 \\ \hline 4 & 0.889 \\ \hline 5 & 0.863 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Show that these are exponential data and find an exponential model. (For this problem, round all your answers to three decimal places.) b. What is the percentage decay rate each minute? What does this number mean in practical terms? c. Use functional notation to express the amount remaining after 10 minutes and then calculate that value. d. What is the half-life of U239?

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