/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 14 A study of deaths in car crashes... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A study of deaths in car crashes from 1986 to 2002 revealed the following data on deaths in crashes by day of the week. $$\begin{array}{lcccc} \hline \text { Day of the Week } & \text { Sunday } & \text { Monday } & \text { Tuesday } & \text { Wednesday } \\ \hline \begin{array}{l} \text { Average Number } \\ \text { of Deaths } \end{array} & 132 & 98 & 95 & 98 \\ \hline \text { Day of the Week } & \text { Thursday } & \text { Friday } & \text { Saturday } & \\ \hline \text { Average Number } & & & & \\ \text { of Deaths } & 105 & 133 & 158 & \\ \hline \end{array}$$ Find the empirical probability distribution associated with these data.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The empirical probability distribution for car crash deaths by day of the week is: - Sunday: 0.161 - Monday: 0.12 - Tuesday: 0.116 - Wednesday: 0.12 - Thursday: 0.128 - Friday: 0.162 - Saturday: 0.193 These probabilities sum up to 1, as expected in a probability distribution. The highest probability of car crash deaths occurs on Saturday, followed by Sunday and Friday.

Step by step solution

01

Total Number of Deaths

The empirical probability of each day is calculated as the number of deaths on a particular day divided by the total number of deaths. Therefore, the first step is to find the total number of deaths over the entire week. Use the given data and sum up the average number of deaths on each day.
02

Calculation of Empirical Probabilities

Once the total number of deaths is obtained, the next step is to find the empirical probability for each day. This is done by dividing the number of deaths on a particular day by the total number of deaths.
03

Presentation of Results

Finally, list the days of the week alongside their corresponding empirical probabilities to form the empirical probability distribution. Let's perform these steps:
04

Total Number of Deaths

To find the total number of deaths over a week, add the average number of deaths on each day: \(132 + 98 + 95 + 98 + 105 + 133 + 158 = 819\)
05

Calculation of Empirical Probabilities

Then carry out the division for each day: - Sunday: \( \frac{132}{819} = 0.161 \) - Monday: \( \frac{98}{819} = 0.12 \) - Tuesday: \( \frac{95}{819} = 0.116 \) - Wednesday: \( \frac{98}{819} = 0.12 \) - Thursday: \( \frac{105}{819} = 0.128 \) - Friday: \( \frac{133}{819} = 0.162 \) - Saturday: \( \frac{158}{819} = 0.193 \)
06

Presentation of Results

Here is the empirical probability distribution: - Sunday: 0.161 - Monday: 0.12 - Tuesday: 0.116 - Wednesday: 0.12 - Thursday: 0.128 - Friday: 0.162 - Saturday: 0.193 You can notice that the sum of these values is 1 which affirms the correctness of the results. So, given this data, you are statistically most likely to die in a car crash on a Saturday. This result could be used to raise awareness about road safety, especially on the weekends.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Probability
At its core, probability is a way of expressing the likelihood of an event occurring. When applied to real-world scenarios, it helps us predict and understand how often events might happen based on historic data. In our example, to understand the likelihood of deaths in car crashes on different days of the week, we first summed the average number of deaths for each day to obtain a total, and then calculated the empirical probabilities by dividing the average number of deaths for each day by the total.
An empirical probability distribution, as seen in the example, is created by using actual data to estimate the probability of various outcomes. Unlike theoretical probabilities, which are based on assumed conditions, empirical probabilities are grounded in recorded data. They're particularly helpful in understanding trends and guiding decision-making in fields such as public health and safety, where measures could be taken to reduce the risk of car accidents on days with higher probabilities of fatalities.
Data Analysis in Probability
Data analysis is an interdisciplinary field involving methods to inspect, clean, transform, and model data with the goal of discovering useful information and supporting decision-making. In our exercise on car crash deaths, data analysis involves summing, dividing, and interpreting numerical values to derive a meaningful probability distribution.
Understanding distribution is key to analyzing data effectively. In empirical probability distributions, the analysis of average deaths per day demonstrates how data can reveal risk patterns that may not be apparent without a numerical breakdown. By presenting data in an organized way, such as a probability distribution, it becomes possible to draw accurate conclusions and make recommendations for planning and prevention strategies. It's also a great exercise in attention to detail; accurate data input is essential, as any mistake could lead to misconceptions about the probabilities.
Statistical Data and Its Significance
Statistical data refers to the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization of data. In our textbook exercise, the statistical data includes the average number of deaths in car crashes for each day collected over an extended period of time. This reliable dataset forms the basis for our empirical probability distribution.
Looking at the larger picture, statistical data allows us to notice patterns and trends over time. It is essential for making informed decisions in almost any domain, including public policy. For example, knowing that Saturdays have a higher probability of car crash deaths can lead policymakers to consider stricter safety protocol or campaigns for the weekend. This highlights the profound impact that understanding statistical data can have on society, as it empowers stakeholders to enact changes that could save lives.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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