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Assume that the probability of a boy being born is the same as the probability of a girl being born. Find the probability that a family with three children will have the given composition. At least one girl

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that a family with three children will have at least one girl, given that the probability of having a boy is the same as having a girl, is 0.875.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the probability of having a boy or a girl

Since the probability of having a boy is the same as having a girl, we can assume that the probability of having a boy (P(B)) equals the probability of having a girl (P(G)). In this case, P(B) = P(G) = 0.5.
02

Calculate the probability of having three boys

To find the probability of having three boys, we can multiply the probability of having a boy three times, as each child's gender is independent of the others. This can be written as P(3 boys) = P(B) * P(B) * P(B) = \(0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.125\).
03

Subtract the probability of having three boys from 1 to find the probability of having at least one girl

Since the total probability of all possible gender combinations must equal 1, we can find the probability of having at least one girl by subtracting the probability of having three boys from 1. This can be written as P(at least 1 girl) = 1 - P(3 boys) = \(1 - 0.125 = 0.875\). So, the probability that a family with three children will have at least one girl is 0.875.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Gender Probability
When discussing the concept of gender probability, we're often dealing with the biological odds of a child being born male (a boy) or female (a girl). In many simple models, such as the exercise in question, these probabilities are considered to be equal; hence, each event has a probability of 0.5, often reflecting a straightforward 50/50 scenario with just two possible outcomes.

When determining the gender makeup of a family, for instance, one common assumption is that the genders of subsequent children are independent of each other. This means that having a boy or a girl doesn't influence the gender of the next child. Therefore, if a family has three children, the gender of each child is an independent event with an identical probability of 0.5 for being a boy or a girl.
Probability Calculations in Detail
Probability calculations often involve determining the likelihood of various outcomes. These calculations can range from very simple to highly complex, depending on the scenario. For the exercise we're examining, we need to find the probability of a specific event occurring: the event of having at least one girl in a three-child family.

To solve such problems, we usually start by listing all possible outcomes or utilizing mathematical shortcuts. In this case, we consider the probability of the opposite event – having three boys – and subtract it from the total probability, 1, since the probability of all possible outcomes must sum up to 1. By calculating the complement, we simplify the process and avoid listing out each individual scenario, which can get quite cumbersome especially when dealing with larger numbers or more complex probability distributions.
Independent Events Explained
Independent events are pivotal in understanding many probability concepts. In our scenario, the gender of each child is considered as an independent event; the gender of one child does not at all affect the gender of the next child. This assumption is crucial because it allows us to perform straightforward calculations.

In the context of our exercise, the independence of events allows us to multiply the probabilities of individual child gender outcomes to find the likelihood of a certain gender combination. For example, the probability of having three boys is calculated as the product of each individual probability, essentially 0.5 times itself three times - a classic example of using the independence of events to compute overall probability in finite mathematics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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