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ACT scores are approximately Normally distributed with a mean of 21 and a standard deviation of 5, as shown in the figure. (ACT scores are test scores that some colleges use for determining admission.) What is the probability that a randomly selected person scores 24 or more?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that a randomly selected person scores 24 or more is approximately 0.2743 or 27.43%.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Z-Score

The z-score is defined as \(z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\) where \(x\) is the data point, \(\mu\) is the mean and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation. It gives how many standard deviations away a data point is from the mean.
02

Calculate the Z-Score

Substituting the given values \(x = 24\), \(\mu = 21\) and \(\sigma = 5\) into the z-score formula, we get \(z = \frac{24 - 21}{5} = 0.6\)
03

Find the Probability

We now use the z-score and look for the probability in the z-table. The probability corresponding to \(z = 0.6\) is approximately 0.7257. This is the probability that someone scores less than 24. But we need the probability of scoring 24 or more. So, we subtract this value from 1: \(1 - 0.7257 = 0.2743\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
When we talk about the ACT scores or any data following a normal distribution, imagine a bell-shaped curve that rises in the center and falls off at the ends. This symmetrical curve represents how traits like test scores or heights of people are distributed across a population. Most values cluster around the mean (average) and fewer occur as you move away from the center.

In the context of ACT scores, a normal distribution means most students have scores around the average, with fewer students achieving very high or very low scores. Understanding this, if the ACT scores have a mean of 21, most students' scores will hover around this value. Recognizing the pattern of a normal distribution is crucial for predicting the probability of different ranges of scores, like the likelihood of scoring above or below a certain point.
Z-Score
A Z-score is a straight-forward, yet a powerful way to understand where a particular score lies in comparison to the average. It measures how many standard deviations a given data point is from the mean. The standard deviation is a measure of how spread out the numbers in the data are.

Therefore, if a student's ACT score is 24, calculating the z-score as shown in the solution allows us to quantify how that score compares to the average student's performance. A positive z-score, as in our example (0.6), indicates that the score is above the mean, while a negative z-score would indicate a score below the mean. In testing scenarios like the ACT, students and educators can use z-scores to assess individual performance in relation to their peers.
Probability
Probability tells us how likely an event is to occur. It's a number between 0 and 1, where 0 means something is impossible, and 1 means it is certain. When we talk about the 'probability of scoring 24 or more' in an ACT test, we're looking to figure out how likely it is that a student scores at that level or higher.

In a normal distribution, probabilities for different ranges of scores can be found using areas under the curve. The values are often listed in a z-table, which tells us the probability of scores up to a certain z-score. To find probabilities of scoring above a certain point, we subtract the z-table value from 1, leading us to understand the fraction of students who score in that higher range.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a key concept in statistics that tells us how spread out the numbers in a dataset are. In the case of ACT scores, with a standard deviation of 5, we can interpret that as the scores being dispersed on average 5 points above or below the mean of 21.

This figure helps us to understand variability: a smaller standard deviation indicates that the scores are closely clustered around the mean, while a larger one signifies a wide range of scores. This dispersion is crucial when calculating z-scores since the standard deviation is the unit of measure that tells us how far a score is from the mean relative to the spread of all scores.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Extreme Negative z-Scores For each question, find the area to the right of the given z-score in a standard Normal distribution. In this question, round your answers to the nearest \(0.000 .\) Include an appropriately labeled sketch of the \(N(0,1)\) curve. a. \(z=-4.00\) b. \(z=-8.00\) c. \(z=-30.00\) d. If you had the exact probability for these right proportions, which would be the largest and which would be the smallest? e. Which is equal to the area in part b: the area below (to the left of) \(z=8.00\) or the area above (to the right of) \(z=8.00 ?\)

For each situation, identify the sample size \(n\), the probability of success \(p\), and the number of successes \(x .\) When asked for the probability, state the answer in the form \(b(n, p, x) .\) There is no need to give the numerical value of the probability. Assume the conditions for a binomial experiment are satisfied. a. According to the Federal Highway Research Institute in Germany, 2 out of 3 persons in an accident get killed. In a random sample of 27 persons meeting with an accident, what is the probability that exactly 12 persons would have died? b. Twenty-five percent of the persons killed in accidents are pedestrians. If we randomly select 27 persons who have died in an accident, what is the probability that 12 persons are pedestrians?

New York City Weather New York City's mean minimum daily temperature in February is \(27^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) (http://www.ny.com). Suppose the standard deviation of the minimum temperature is \(6^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) and the distribution of minimum temperatures in February is approximately Normal. What percentage of days in February has minimum temperatures below freezing \(\left(32^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\right) ?\)

In a standard Normal distribution, if the area to the left of a z-score is about \(0.2000\), what is the approximate z-score?

According to GMAC Insurance. \(20 \%\) of drivers aged \(60-65\) fail the written drivers' test. This is the lowest failure rate of any age group. (Source: http://www.gmacinsurance.com/SafeDriving/PressRelease.asp) If 200 people aged \(60-65\) independently take the exam, how many would you expect to pass? Give or take how many?

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