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In Exercises 6–10, use the following results from tests of an experiment to test the effectiveness of an experimental vaccine for children (based on data from USA Today). Express all probabilities in decimal form.


Developed Flu

Did not develop Flu

Vaccine Treatment

14

1056

Placebo

95

437

Find the probability of randomly selecting 2 subjects without replacement and finding that they both developed flu.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that both developed flu is 0.00459.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The table gives the categorization of the subjects into four groups.

02

Describe the probability of events when carried out without replacement

The probability for a simple event is:

PE=NumberoffavorableoutcomesTotalnumberofoutcomes

Two or more events can take place one after the other in two manners:

  • With replacement: The probability of the subsequent draw remains the same.
  • Without replacement: The probability of the subsequent draw changes (the previous draw is not replaced).
03

Tabulate the row and column totals

Compute the sum row wise and column wise.


Developed Flu

Did not develop Flu

Totals

Vaccine Treatment

14

1056

1070

Placebo

95

437

532

Total

109

1493

1602

04

Express the probability of each of the events

Define X as the event that the first subject developed flu and Yas the event that the second subject selected also developed flu.

The number of subjects who had developed flu is 109.

The number of remaining subjects who had developed flu after the first is selected is 108.

The total number of subjects is 1602.

The total number of remaining subjects, after the first is selected, is 1601.

The probability for events X and Y:

PX=1091602PY=1081601

Thus, the probability that both subjects developed flu is:

PXandY=PX×PY=1091602×1081601=0.00459

Therefore, the probability that both subjects developed flu is 0.00459.

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In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists drive-thru order accuracy at popular fast food chains (data from a QSR Drive-Thru Study). Assume that orders are randomly selected from those included in the table.

²Ñ³¦¶Ù´Ç²Ô²¹±ô»å’s

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°Â±ð²Ô»å²â’s

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OrderNotAccurate

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