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Notation When randomly selecting adults, let M denote the event of randomly selecting a male and let B denote the event of randomly selecting someone with blue eyes. What does PM|Brepresent? IsPM|B the same asPB|M ?

Short Answer

Expert verified

PM|Brepresents the probability of selecting a male given that he has blue eyes.

PB|Mrepresents the probability of selecting a person with blue eyes, given that he is a male.

No,PM|B is not the same as PB|M.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Two events are defined as follows.

  • M is the event of selecting a person who is male.
  • B is the event of selecting a person who has blue eyes.
02

Concept of conditional probability

For any two events A and B, the conditional probability of that event A occurs, given event B has already taken place, is denoted by PA|B. It is the probability of occurrence of event A, given that event B has already occurred.

Similarly, the conditional probability of that event B occurs, given event A has already taken place, is denoted by PB|A. It is the probability of occurrence of event A, given that event B has already occurred.

These are calledconditional probabilities, as each probability is associated with a condition.

03

Interpret the two conditional probabilities in terms of given events

Here, M is the event of selecting a male person, and B is the event of selecting a person with blue eyes.

PM|Bis the probability of selecting a male person given that he has blue eyes.

PB|Mis the probability of selecting a person with blue eyes given that he is a male.

Both probabilities stand for two different events (base condition as well as the event). Therefore,PM|B is not the same as PB|M.

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