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Using Confidence Intervals

a. Assume that we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval?

b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method?

c. If we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2, what confidence level should we use?

d. If we test the claim in part (c) using the sample data in Exercise 1, we get this confidence interval: -0.000508 < p1 - p2 < - 0.000309. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. A hypothesis test is better than a confidence interval.

b. The p-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

c. The 90% confidence interval to test the claim is made about the difference between two population proportion .

d. The given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that .

Step by step solution

01

Describe the methods of Inferences about two proportion.

a. The following methods can be used for comparing two population proportion:

1. Hypothesis test

2. Confidence Interval

The hypothesis test is used to test the claims about two population proportions. The confidence interval is used when estimating about the differences between two population proportions.

A hypothesis test is recommended for testing a claim at 0.05 level of significance.

Hence, in this case hypothesis test is better than confidence interval.

02

Check equivalency of three methods

b.In a hypothesis test, there are two methods to test the claims about population proportion,

1. P-value method

2. Critical value method

Both methods are used to test the claim made about two proportions. In p-value method, a probability value is compared to a significance level to make a decision while in critical value method, the test statistic is compared to critical value(s) to make a decision about hypotheses.

The method of confidence interval is used primarily to estimate the difference between two population proportions.

Thus, the P-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

03

State the confidence level

c. As per the table 8-1, for one tailed significance test at 0.05 level of significance, 90% confidence level is recommended.

04

Step 4:Make conclusion about the claim

d. Refer to exercise 1 for the claim stated as,

Ho:p1=p2Ha:p1<p2

Where p1,p2are population proportion of children who developed polio after vaccine and in control group respectively.

The given confidence interval is -0.000508<p1-p2<-0.000309.

This confidence does not contain zero. Thus, there is significant difference between two proportion p1andp2.

Therefore, the given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that is p1less that p2.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 5鈥16, use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal.

Heights of Mothers and Daughters Listed below are heights (in.) of mothers and their first daughters. The data are from a journal kept by Francis Galton. (See Data Set 5 鈥淔amilyHeights鈥 in Appendix B.) Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that there is no difference in heights between mothers and their first daughters.

Height of Mother

68

60

61

63.5

69

64

69

64

63.5

66

Height of Daughter

68.5

60

63.5

67.5

68

65.5

69

68

64.5

63

Body TemperaturesListed below are body temperatures from seven different subjects measuredat two different times in a day (from Data Set 3 鈥淏ody Temperatures鈥 in Appendix B).

a.Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that there is no difference between body temperaturesmeasured at 8 AM and at 12 AM.

b.Construct the confidence interval that could be used for the hypothesis test described in part(a). What feature of the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion reached in part (a)

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 8AM

96.6

97.0

97.0

97.8

97.0

97.4

96.6

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 12AM

99.0

98.4

98.0

98.6

98.5

98.9

98.4

True?For the methods of this section, which of the following statements are true?

a.When testing a claim with ten matched pairs of heights, hypothesis tests using the P-valuemethod, critical value method, and confidence interval method will all result in the same conclusion.

b.The methods of this section are robustagainst departures from normality, which means that the distribution of sample differences must be very close to a normal distribution.

c.If we want to use a confidence interval to test the claim that\({{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{d}}}{\bf{ < 0}}\)with a 0.01 significancelevel, the confidence interval should have a confidence level of 98%.

d.The methods of this section can be used with annual incomes of 50 randomly selected attorneysin North Carolina and 50 randomly selected attorneys in South Carolina.

e.With ten matched pairs of heights, the methods of this section require that we use n= 20.

Determining Sample Size The sample size needed to estimate the difference between two population proportions to within a margin of error E with a confidence level of 1 - a can be found by using the following expression:

E=z2p1q1n1+p2q2n2

Replace n1andn2 by n in the preceding formula (assuming that both samples have the same size) and replace each of role="math" localid="1649424190272" p1,q1,p2andq2by 0.5 (because their values are not known). Solving for n results in this expression:

n=z222E2

Use this expression to find the size of each sample if you want to estimate the difference between the proportions of men and women who own smartphones. Assume that you want 95% confidence that your error is no more than 0.03.

In Exercises 5鈥20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with 鈥淭able鈥 answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of\({n_1} - 1\)and\({n_2} - 1\).)

BMI We know that the mean weight of men is greater than the mean weight of women, and the mean height of men is greater than the mean height of women. A person鈥檚 body mass index (BMI) is computed by dividing weight (kg) by the square of height (m). Given below are the BMI statistics for random samples of females and males taken from Data Set 1 鈥淏ody Data鈥 in Appendix B.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that females and males have the same mean BMI.

b. Construct the confidence interval that is appropriate for testing the claim in part (a).

c. Do females and males appear to have the same mean BMI?

Female BMI: n = 70, \(\bar x\) = 29.10, s = 7.39

Male BMI: n = 80, \(\bar x\) = 28.38, s = 5.37

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