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Find the probability and answer the questions.MicroSort's XSORT gender selection technique was designed to increase the likelihood that a baby will be a girl. At one point before clinical trials of the XSORT gender selection technique were discontinued, 945 births consisted of 879 baby girls and 66 baby boys (based on data from the Genetics \& IVF Institute). Based on these results, what is the probability of a girl born to a couple using MicroSort's XSORT method? Does it appear that the technique is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Probability of a girl is 93%. Based on the data, the XSORT technique appears to be effective in increasing the likelihood of having a girl.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Total Number of Births

Add the number of baby girls and baby boys to find the total number of births. Given: 879 baby girls and 66 baby boys. Total births = 879 + 66.
02

Calculate the Probability of a Girl

To find the probability of a girl, divide the number of baby girls by the total number of births. Probability of a girl = \( \frac{879}{879 + 66} \).
03

Simplify the Probability Fraction

Simplify the fraction to find the probability. \( \frac{879}{945} = 0.93 \approx 93\% \).
04

Analyze the Effectiveness

Compare the probability of a girl being born using the XSORT method (93%) against the natural probability of having a girl (around 50%). Since 93% is significantly higher than 50%, it appears that the XSORT technique is effective in increasing the likelihood of having a girl.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

gender selection
Gender selection refers to techniques or methods used to increase the probability of giving birth to a baby of a desired sex. In this context, MicroSort's XSORT method aims to increase the likelihood of having a girl. Understanding how this technique operates can help in grasping its effectiveness. MicroSort's XSORT separates sperm samples based on whether they carry the X chromosome (which produces a female offspring) or the Y chromosome (which produces a male offspring). Couples can then select the sperm sample that increases the probability of having a girl. It's important to remember that while techniques like these can influence the sex of the baby, they do not guarantee a specific outcome. Ethical considerations also play a significant role in the discussion about gender selection.
probability calculation
Probability calculation is crucial when determining the chances of an event happening. In our example, we calculate the likelihood of a baby being a girl when using MicroSort's XSORT method. We start with basic probability principles, where the probability of an event is calculated by dividing the number of successful outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. Given the data: 879 baby girls and 66 baby boys, the total number of births is 945. The probability is then given by the ratio: \ \( \frac{879}{945} \ \). Simplifying, we get a probability of approximately 93%. This is significantly higher than the natural probability of having a girl, which is around 50%. This simple calculation shows how probability works to give us a clearer picture of how likely an event is, based on empirical data.
statistical analysis
Statistical analysis helps us interpret data and understand trends, patterns, and relationships. In this case, examining the effectiveness of XSORT involves comparing the observed probability (93%) with the expected natural probability of having a girl (50%). By performing this statistical analysis, we observe a substantial increase in the probability of having a baby girl using the XSORT method. We can say that the XSORT method is effective because the probability is much higher than the natural rate. This statistical observation relies on comparing empirical data against a known standard. Analytical methods such as hypothesis testing could further validate these observations, potentially comparing the observed proportion (93%) with the expected proportion (50%) to confirm the significance of the observed difference. Understanding and interpreting such data are key aspects of statistical analysis.

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