/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 11 Assume that 50 births are random... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Assume that 50 births are randomly selected. Use subjective judgment to describe the given number of girls as (a) significantly low, (b) significantly high, or (c) neither significantly low nor significantly high.23 girls.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Neither significantly low nor significantly high.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Average Expectation

For a large number of births, the gender distribution is approximately 50% female and 50% male. Therefore, out of 50 births, the expected number of girls can be calculated as follows: \[ \text{Expected number of girls} = \frac{1}{2} \times 50 = 25 \]
02

Calculate the Standard Deviation

The standard deviation for a binomial distribution can be calculated using the formula: \[ \text{Standard Deviation} = \text{SD} = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \] where \(n\) is the total number of trials (births) and \(p\) is the probability of success (having a girl). Therefore, \[ \text{SD} = \sqrt{50 \times 0.5 \times 0.5} = \sqrt{12.5} \approx 3.54 \]
03

Calculate the Z-Score

The Z-score allows the determination of how many standard deviations the observed value is away from the mean. Use the formula: \[ Z = \frac{X - \text{mean}}{\text{SD}} \] where \(X = 23\), the observed number of girls. Therefore, \[ Z = \frac{23 - 25}{3.54} = -0.56 \]
04

Interpret the Z-Score

A Z-score between -2 and 2 indicates that the observed value is within 2 standard deviations of the mean and thus considered neither significantly low nor significantly high. A Z-score beyond -2 or 2 would indicate a significant deviation. Since \( -0.56 \) falls within the range of -2 to 2, the number of 23 girls out of 50 births is not significantly low nor significantly high.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Distribution
A binomial distribution is a probability distribution that models the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials of a binary experiment. Each trial can result in just one of two outcomes: a success or a failure. For example, in the case of 50 births where each birth can result in either a girl (success) or a boy (failure), the number of girls observed can be modeled using a binomial distribution. The formula for calculating the expected number of successes (girls) is given by the product of the number of trials and the probability of success: \( \text{Expected number of girls} = n \times p \),where \( n \) is the number of births and \( p \) is the probability of having a girl (0.5). In this case, the expected number of girls out of 50 births is \( 25 \).
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation measures the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. In a binomial distribution, it quantifies how much the number of observed successes (girls) deviates from the expected value. The formula for calculating the standard deviation (\( \text{SD} \)) in a binomial distribution is: \( \text{SD} = \sqrt{ n \times p \times (1 - p)} \),where \( n \) is the number of trials (births) and \( p \) is the probability of success (having a girl). In this problem, the standard deviation comes out to be \( \sqrt{50 \times 0.5 \times 0.5} \). This results in approximately \( 3.54 \), indicating the typical deviation from the expected number of girls (25). This helps to understand the variability in the number of girls across different sets of 50 births.
Z-Score
A Z-score allows us to measure how many standard deviations an observed value is from the mean (expected value). It is a crucial concept when determining the statistical significance of an observed result. The formula for calculating the Z-score is: \( Z = \frac{X - \text{mean}}{\text{SD}} \),where \( X \) is the observed number of successes, the mean is the expected number of successes, and \( \text{SD} \) is the standard deviation. In this example, the observed number of girls is 23. By plugging the values into the formula \( Z = \frac{23 - 25}{3.54} \),we get a Z-score of \( -0.56 \). This Z-score tells us that 23 girls is \( 0.56 \) standard deviations below the mean of 25 girls. Since this Z-score is within the range of \( -2 \) and \( 2 \), we conclude that the number of 23 girls in 50 births is neither significantly low nor significantly high.
Gender Distribution
In statistics, gender distribution often refers to the proportion of males and females within a given population or sample. In many real-world scenarios, gender distribution is approximately equal, especially in large populations. This is the case for human births, where the probability of having a girl is about \( 0.5 \)(50%) and the probability of having a boy is also \( 0.5\) (50%). When we look at a smaller sample, like the 50 births in the exercise, we use this information to set our expectations for the number of girls and boys. Statistically, we would expect 25 girls and 25 boys. However, due to natural variability, the actual numbers can differ, and this is where our understanding of binomial distribution, standard deviation, and Z-scores come into play to measure and interpret the deviations from these expectations.

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