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Write the null and alternative hypotheses in words and using symbols for each of the following situations. (a) Since 2008 , chain restaurants in California have been required to display calorie counts of each menu item. Prior to menus displaying calorie counts, the average calorie intake of diners at a restaurant was 1100 calories. After calorie counts started to be displayed on menus, a nutritionist collected data on the number of calories consumed at this restaurant from a random sample of diners. Do these data provide convincing evidence of a difference in the average calorie intake of a diners at this restaurant? (b) The state of Wisconsin would like to understand the fraction of its adult residents that consumed alcohol in the last year, specifically if the rate is different from the national rate of \(70 \%\). To help them answer this question, they conduct a random sample of 852 residents and ask them about their alcohol consumption.

Short Answer

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(a) \(H_0: \mu = 1100\), \(H_a: \mu \neq 1100\). (b) \(H_0: p = 0.70\), \(H_a: p \neq 0.70\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Null and Alternative Hypotheses for Part (a)

In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is a statement of no effect or no difference, and it is what we assume to be true until we have evidence against it. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) represents the statement we aim to provide evidence for, suggesting a change or an effect. For part (a), we need to test if displaying calorie counts has affected the average calorie intake.- **Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\))**: The average calorie intake of diners is 1100 calories, indicating no change. In symbols, \(H_0: \mu = 1100\). - **Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\))**: The average calorie intake of diners is different from 1100 calories, indicating a change. In symbols, \(H_a: \mu eq 1100\).
02

Understanding the Null and Alternative Hypotheses for Part (b)

For the situation in part (b), the interest is in testing whether the alcohol consumption rate in Wisconsin differs from the national rate.- **Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\))**: The fraction of Wisconsin's adult residents that consumed alcohol in the last year is equal to the national rate, which is 70%. In symbols, \(H_0: p = 0.70\).- **Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\))**: The fraction of Wisconsin's adult residents that consumed alcohol in the last year is different from the national rate. In symbols, \(H_a: p eq 0.70\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis is a foundational concept that represents a starting assumption of 'no effect' or 'no difference.' We use the symbol \(H_0\) to denote the null hypothesis. Essentially, it's our default position that suggests nothing unusual has happened. Before we dive into more complex analyses or alternative explanations, the null hypothesis provides a baseline of expectation.
  • For example, if we're examining whether menu calorie counts impact diner consumption, our null hypothesis suggests the average calorie intake remains unchanged.

  • In mathematical terms, if past data showed 1100 calories as the average intake, \(H_0: \mu = 1100\) conveys this expectation.

In practical terms, we hold the null hypothesis as true until the data presents strong evidence against it. It's crucial to set a baseline to objectively analyze the patterns and trends emerging from our data.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, symbolized as \(H_a\), is an essential component of hypothesis testing that opposes the null hypothesis. It proposes what we want to establish—usually that there is some effect or that a difference exists. When researchers collect data, the alternative hypothesis encapsulates their hopes for what that data may reveal.
  • For instance, in our calorie count example, the alternative hypothesis states the average calorie intake has changed after introducing menu counts.Thus, \(H_a: \mu eq 1100\) suggests a significant shift.

  • In cases like Wisconsin's alcohol consumption study, we test if the percentage differs from the previous measure, with \(H_a: p eq 0.70\) signifying this potential variance.
The alternative hypothesis is crucial because it gives researchers a concrete goal to either support or refute using statistical evidence. It spurs them to dive deeper into the underlying reasons behind the trends or shifts indicated by their research.
Calorie Intake
Calorie intake refers to the number of calories consumed daily, and it's a fundamental aspect of nutrition and health studies. In the context of evaluating average calorie intake in restaurants, the display of calorie counts aims to influence diners' choices by making them more aware of their consumption.
  • Affecting calorie intake at restaurants can lead to healthier choices, especially in places known for high-calorie offerings.

  • The previous baseline of 1100 calories provides a reference point for assessing any shift in dining behavior following policy changes.
Through hypothesis testing about calorie intake, researchers evaluate if making caloric information transparent impacts dining habits—whether reducing intake is statistically significant or if observed changes are random and negligible.
Alcohol Consumption
Alcohol consumption, especially its frequency among adult populations, is a common subject of social and health research. Investigating alcohol use patterns helps states like Wisconsin gauge behaviors and inform public policy decisions—often comparing local rates to national averages.
  • The study employs surveys to determine if the alcohol consumption rate among Wisconsinites aligns with the national rate of 70% or differs significantly.

  • When researchers assess alcohol consumption levels, understanding these rates helps guide policy interventions and public health strategies.
The hypothesis test examines if Wisconsin's sample data shows a meaningful deviation from the national statistic, indicating either a higher or lower propensity for alcohol consumption within the state. Analyzing such trends can help anticipate the need for targeted resources and community support systems.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A patient named Diana was diagnosed with Fibromyalgia, a long-term syndrome of body pain, and was prescribed anti-depressants. Being the skeptic that she is, Diana didn't initially believe that anti-depressants would help her symptoms. However after a couple months of being on the medication she decides that the anti-depressants are working, because she feels like her symptoms are in fact getting better. (a) Write the hypotheses in words for Diana's skeptical position when she started taking the anti-depressants. (b) What is a Type 1 Error in this context? (c) What is a Type 2 Error in this context?

Determine whether the following statement is true or false, and explain your reasoning: "With large sample sizes, even small differences between the null value and the observed point estimate can be statistically significant."

For each of the following situations, state whether the parameter of interest is a mean or a proportion. It may be helpful to examine whether individual responses are numerical or categorical. (a) In a survey, one hundred college students are asked how many hours per week they spend on the Internet. (b) In a survey, one hundred college students are asked: "What percentage of the time you spend on the Internet is part of your course work?" (c) In a survey, one hundred college students are asked whether or not they cited information from Wikipedia in their papers. (d) In a survey, one hundred college students are asked what percentage of their total weekly spending is on alcoholic beverages. (e) In a sample of one hundred recent college graduates, it is found that 85 percent expect to get a job within one year of their graduation date.

A study suggests that the \(25 \%\) of 25 year olds have gotten married. You believe that this is incorrect and decide to collect your own sample for a hypothesis test. From a random sample of 25 year olds in census data with size 776 , you find that \(24 \%\) of them are married. A friend of yours offers to help you with setting up the hypothesis test and comes up with the following hypotheses. Indicate any errors you see. $$ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: \hat{p}=0.24 \\ H_{A}: \hat{p} \neq 0.24 \end{array} $$

In Exercise \(5.19,\) we learned that a Rasmussen Reports survey of \(1,000 \mathrm{US}\) adults found that \(42 \%\) believe raising the minimum wage will help the economy. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the true proportion of US adults who believe this.

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