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91Ó°ÊÓ

A study suggests that \(60 \%\) of college student spend 10 or more hours per week communicating with others online. You believe that this is incorrect and decide to collect your own sample for a hypothesis test. You randomly sample 160 students from your dorm and find that \(70 \%\) spent 10 or more hours a week communicating with others online. A friend of yours, who offers to help you with the hypothesis test, comes up with the following set of hypotheses. Indicate any errors you see. $$ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: \hat{p}<0.6 \\ H_{A}: \hat{p}>0.7 \end{array} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Hypotheses should be: \( H_0: p = 0.6 \) and \( H_A: p \neq 0.6 \).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We need to check if the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)) and the alternative hypothesis (\( H_A \)) proposed by your friend are correctly formulated based on the information given in the problem. The initial claim to test is whether the proportion of students spending 10 or more hours online is different from the suggested 60%. You found 70% in your sample.
02

Standard Hypotheses Format

Typically, hypotheses are formulated to test whether the true population parameter equals some value. For a proportion problem like this, the null hypothesis should be \( H_0: p = 0.6 \), where \( p \) is the true proportion of students who spend 10 or more hours online.
03

Identifying the Errors

Examine the hypotheses provided by your friend: 1. \( H_0: \hat{p} < 0.6 \) is incorrect. This should test equality, written as \( H_0: p = 0.6 \), not some inequality with the sample proportion (\( \hat{p} \)). 2. \( H_A: \hat{p} > 0.7 \) is incorrect as well. The alternative hypothesis should express inequality in terms of the population proportion \( p \), i.e., \( H_A: p eq 0.6 \) or something similar if you're testing for a difference.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often symbolized as \( H_0 \), is a foundational concept in hypothesis testing. It represents a statement or position that assumes no effect or no difference exists. In our context, it is the claim that the true proportion of students spending 10 or more hours online is exactly the same as the previously suggested \( 60\% \). When dealing with proportion problems, the correct formulation involves an equality sign, such as \( H_0: p = 0.6 \). The null hypothesis serves as a starting point for any statistical test, asserting that the observed data occurred purely by chance.
To test this claim statistically, we gather data and use it to determine whether there is enough evidence to reject \( H_0 \). If we can reject the null hypothesis, we may then consider alternative explanations for the data. However, failing to reject \( H_0 \) only suggests that there isn't sufficient evidence to support a change from the initial claim, not that \( H_0 \) is true. Keep in mind that conclusions from hypothesis testing are always about evidence and probability, never absolute certainty.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted by \( H_A \), represents a position that indicates a statistical difference exists. It challenges the null hypothesis and attempts to prove that a specific condition or difference is present in the population. In hypothesis testing, the alternative is what researchers aim to support.
In our example, the alternative hypothesis should look to demonstrate that the proportion of college students spending 10 or more hours online is not equal to \( 60\% \). A common way to express this is by stating \( H_A: p eq 0.6 \), which indicates there is indeed a difference from the claimed proportion.
It is crucial to note that the alternative hypothesis should address the population parameter \( p \), not the sample proportion \( \hat{p} \). This is a common mistake, as seen in the mistake \( H_A: \hat{p} > 0.7 \). The alternative should always reflect a proposed change to the population value, highlighting that inappropriate formulation can misguide your hypothesis test.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) is a statistic derived from the data of a sample, and it provides an estimate of the true population proportion \( p \). In our study, where you sample 160 students and find that \( 70\% \) spend 10 or more hours online, \( 0.7 \) is your sample proportion.
Keeping track of which value is a sample statistic and which is a population parameter is essential. The sample proportion serves as an approximation of \( p \) and is used in calculations to test hypotheses about \( p \).
Our analysis primarily uses \( \hat{p} \) to compare against the hypothesized population proportion \( p = 0.6 \) to see if there is a statistical basis to suggest that the actual proportion differs. However, it should never appear in the final hypothesis, emphasizing the need to clearly separate sample observations from claims about the overall population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A poll conducted in 2013 found that \(52 \%\) of U.S. adult Twitter users get at least some news on Twitter. \(^{13}\). The standard error for this estimate was \(2.4 \%\), and a normal distribution may be used to model the sample proportion. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the fraction of U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter, and interpret the confidence interval in context.

It is believed that nearsightedness affects about \(8 \%\) of all children. In a random sample of 194 children, 21 are nearsighted. Conduct a hypothesis test for the following question: do these data provide evidence that the \(8 \%\) value is inaccurate?

In each part below, there is a value of interest and two scenarios (I and II). For each part, report if the value of interest is larger under scenario I, scenario II, or whether the value is equal under the scenarios. (a) The standard error of \(\hat{p}\) when (I) \(n=125\) or (II) \(n=500\). (b) The margin of error of a confidence interval when the confidence level is (I) \(90 \%\) or (II) \(80 \%\). (c) The p-value for a Z-statistic of 2.5 calculated based on a (I) sample with \(n=500\) or based on a (II) sample with \(n=1000\). (d) The probability of making a Type 2 Error when the alternative hypothesis is true and the significance level is (I) 0.05 or (II) 0.10 .

Determine whether the following statement is true or false, and explain your reasoning: "With large sample sizes, even small differences between the null value and the observed point estimate can be statistically significant."

Of all freshman at a large college, \(16 \%\) made the dean's list in the current year. As part of a class project, students randomly sample 40 students and check if those students made the list. They repeat this 1,000 times and build a distribution of sample proportions. (a) What is this distribution called? (b) Would you expect the shape of this distribution to be symmetric, right skewed, or left skewed? Explain your reasoning. (c) Calculate the variability of this distribution. (d) What is the formal name of the value you computed in (c)? (e) Suppose the students decide to sample again, this time collecting 90 students per sample, and they again collect 1,000 samples. They build a new distribution of sample proportions. How will the variability of this new distribution compare to the variability of the distribution when each sample contained 40 observations?

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