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Compare the Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability for the following cases:

(a)P{X=2}whenn=8,p=.1;

(b)P{X=9}whenn=10,p=.95;

(c)P{X=0}whenn=10,p=.1;

(d) P{X=4}whenn=9,p=.2.

Short Answer

Expert verified

To compare the Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability.

(a)0.144and 0.148.

(b)role="math" localid="1646461867258" 0.13and 0.35

(c)0.37and 0.35

(d)0.07and 0.066.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part a)

P{X=2}whenn=8,p=.1.

02

Calculation (Part a)

We are to compare the Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability.

In the (a)part we have role="math" localid="1646463415641" â„™(X=2)and n=0,p=0.1.

We know that:

E[X]=np=8·0.1=0.8

Therefore the Poisson approximation is:

ℙ(X=2)=e-0.8·0.822!=0.2882=0.144

On the other hand binomial is:

ℙ(Y=2)=820.12(1-0.1)6=28·0.005=0.148

03

Final answer (Part a)

The Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability is found to be0.144and0.148.

04

Given Information (Part b)

P{X=9} whenn=10,p=.95.

05

Calculation (Part b)

For the(b)part we have â„™(X=9)and n=10,p=0.95.

So the calculation is:

ℙ(X=9)=e-9.5·9.599!=0.13

ℙ(Y=9)=109·0.959·0.05=0.315

06

Final answer (Part b)

The Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability is found to be0.13and0.315.

07

Given information (Part c)

P{X=0} whenn=10,p=.1.

08

Calculation (Part c)

In the (c)part we have ℙ(X=0)and n=10,p=0.1.Obviously λ=np=1.

Therefore we have:

ℙ(X=0)=e-1·100!=e-1=0.37

ℙ(Y=0)=100·0.10·0.910=0.35.

09

Final answer (Part c)

The Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability is found to be0.37and0.35.

10

Given Information (Part d)

P{X=4} when n=9,p=.2.

11

Calculation (Part d)

Finally, in the (d)part we have n=9,p=0.2⟹λ=9·210=1.8.

Now it follows:

ℙ(X=4)=e-1.8·1.844!=0.07

ℙ(Y=4)=94·0.24·0.85=0.066

12

Final answer (Part d)

The Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability is found to be0.07and0.066.

13

Conclusion

All four part of the assignment we have X~P(np),Y~B(n,p).

Hence, we are done.

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