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Six balls are to be randomly chosen from an urn containing 8 red, 10green, and 12blue balls.

(a) What is the probability at least one red ball is chosen?

(b) Given that no red balls are chosen, what is the conditional probability that there are exactly 2 green balls among the 6 chosen?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a). The probability at least one red ball is 0.27

b). The conditional probability that there are exactly 2green balls among the 6chosen is localid="1649691711997" 4.0.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part a)

8red, 10green, 12blue balls.

6of them are randomly chosen.

R - at least 1 red ball is chosen.

A - exactly 2 green balls are chosen.

02

Explanation (Part a)

Rc- no red balls are drawn

From the combinatorics - the number of ways to pick a combination of 6balls out of 10+12green and blue balls is:

The boxed formula above yields:

localid="1649691889561" PRc=226306≈0.73

This formula is derived from axioms of probability:

P(R)=1-PRc

localid="1649691904394" P(R)=1-0.73=0.27.

03

Given Information (Part b)

8 red, 10 green, 12 blue balls.

6 of them are randomly chosen.

04

Explanation (Part b)

If Rcis given, that reduces the outcome space, and modifies the boxed formula into:

PA∣Rc=#outcomes inAwhich are inRc#of all possible outcomes inRc

For Ato occur, choose 2from 10green balls and the remaining 4from 12blue balls (hereRcis used). From combinatorics, the general principle of counting and combinations show that:

Therefore:

localid="1649691934379" PA∣Rc=102·124226≈4.0

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that an insurance company classifies people into one of three classes: good risks, average risks, and bad risks. The company’s records indicate that the probabilities that good-, average-, and bad-risk persons will be involved in an accident over a 1-year span are, respectively, .05, .15, and .30. If 20 percent of the population is a good risk, 50 percent an average risk, and 30 percent a bad risk, what proportion of people have accidents in a fixed year? If policyholder A had no accidents in 2012, what is the probability that he or she is a good risk? is an average risk?

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