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Independent flips of a coin that lands on heads with probability p are made. What is the probability that the first four outcomes are

(a) H, H, H, H?

(b) T, H, H, H?

(c) What is the probability that the pattern T, H, H, H occurs before the pattern H, H, H, H?

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. P4
  2. P3(1−P)
  3. I−P4

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part-a)

Given in the question that, Independent flips of a coin that lands on heads with probability pare made.

We need to find what is the probability that the first four outcomes areH,H,H,H.

02

Explanation (Part a)

As per the given data, According to Independent flips of a coin.

We consider the probability for H,H,H,His P4.

Hence the probability that the first four outcomes are H,H,H,H isP4.

03

Step 3:Final Answer (Part-a)

the probability that the first four outcomes are H,H,H,H is P4.

04

Given Information(Part-b)

Given in the question that, Independent flips of a coin that lands on heads with probability pare made.

We need to find what is the probability that the first four outcomes areT,H,H,H

05

Explanation (Part-b)

According to Independent flips of a coin.

We Consider the probability for T,H,H,His P3(1−p)

Hence the probability that the first four outcomes are T,H,H,H isP3(1−p)

06

:Final Answer(Part-b)

the probability that the first four outcomes areP3(1−p)

07

Given Information (Part-c)

Given in the question that, Independent flips of a coin that lands on heads with probability pare made.

We need to find What is the probability that the pattern T,H,H,Hoccurs before the pattern H, H, H, H?

08

Explanation(Part-c)

Lets assume H,H,H,Hsequence appeared first. Say that nis the numbered toss first heads in the first appearance of the H,H,H,Hsequence.

H,H,H,Hbeing before T,H,H,His equivalent toH1H2H3H4The probability of that isp4. since the probability 1either H,H,H,Hor T,H,H,Hoccurs, the probability that T,H,H,Hoccur first is 1-p4

09

Step 9:Final Answer(Part-c)

The probability that the pattern T,H,H,Hoccurs before the pattern H,H,H,His1-p4

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