/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 18 Let \(x\) be a random variable t... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(x\) be a random variable that represents hemoglobin count (HC) in grams per 100 milliliters of whole blood. Then \(x\) has a distribution that is approximately normal, with population mean of about 14 for healthy adult women (see reference in Problem 17 ). Suppose that a female patient has taken 10 laboratory blood tests during the past year. The HC data sent to the patient's doctor are \(15 \quad 18$$ \quad$$16 \quad 19 \quad 14\) \(\begin{array}{ccccc}\quad12 & 14 & 17 & 15 & 11\end{array}\) i. Use a calculator with sample mean and sample standard deviation keys to verify that \(\bar{x}=15.1\) and \(s \approx 2.51.\) ii. Does this information indicate that the population average HC for this patient is higher than \(14 ?\) Use \(\alpha=0.01.\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The data does not indicate that the patient's population average HC is higher than 14 at the 0.01 significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Sample Mean

The sample mean \( \bar{x} \) is the average of the given hemoglobin count data: \( 15, 18, 16, 19, 14, 12, 14, 17, 15, 11 \). To find \( \bar{x} \), sum all the data points and divide by the number of data points: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{15 + 18 + 16 + 19 + 14 + 12 + 14 + 17 + 15 + 11}{10} = 15.1. \] Thus, the sample mean is 15.1.
02

Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation

The sample standard deviation \( s \) provides a measure of the variability of the data. Calculate it using the formula: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}, \] where \( x_i \) are the data points, \( \bar{x} = 15.1 \), and \( n = 10 \). After performing the calculation, you find that \( s \approx 2.51 \).
03

State the Hypotheses

For this problem, set up the hypotheses as follows: \( H_0: \mu = 14 \) (null hypothesis) and \( H_a: \mu > 14 \) (alternative hypothesis). This indicates you are testing if the population mean hemoglobin count is greater than 14.
04

Determine the Test Statistic

Use the test statistic for a one-sample t-test: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}, \] where \( \bar{x} = 15.1 \), \( \mu = 14 \), \( s = 2.51 \), and \( n = 10 \). Calculate: \[ t = \frac{15.1 - 14}{2.51/\sqrt{10}} \approx 1.389. \]
05

Determine the Critical Value and Decision

With \( \alpha = 0.01 \) and \( df = n-1 = 9 \), find the critical t-value from a t-table (or calculator) for a one-tailed test. The critical t-value is approximately 2.821. Since the calculated t-value 1.389 is less than 2.821, do not reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
A normal distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. Imagine a bell curve; this is what a normal distribution looks like: symmetrical around its mean, with no skewness. Most of the data points cluster around the mean, with fewer and fewer occurring as you move towards the tails. This bell-shaped curve is defined by two parameters: the mean and the standard deviation. In the context of our problem, the hemoglobin count (HC) is modeled with a normal distribution, indicating that most women's HC values will be around the average of 14 if they are healthy. This knowledge helps in understanding and predicting how likely certain HC values are, and in identifying possible health concerns if the HC deviates significantly from the norm.
Sample Mean
The sample mean, denoted as \( \bar{x} \), represents the average value of a set of data points. It is calculated by summing all the observed values and dividing by the number of observations. In our exercise, the sample mean of the patient's hemoglobin count from 10 tests is calculated as follows: \( \bar{x} = 15.1 \). This value is critical because it gives us a central point around which the data is distributed, and it is one of the primary values used in hypothesis testing. By comparing the sample mean to the expected population mean (in this case, 14), we can investigate whether the observed hemoglobin levels are typical or indicative of something unusual.
Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation, represented as \( s \), is a measure that indicates the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of data points. Calculated using the formula \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \), the sample standard deviation in our context tells us how much the hemoglobin counts vary from the average. With \( s \approx 2.51 \), it shows that there is some variability in the patient's HC readings. Understanding this variability is crucial in statistical hypothesis testing, as it provides insights into how much the sample mean might differ from the population mean by chance alone.
T-Test
The t-test is a statistical test used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups. In this particular scenario, a one-sample t-test is employed to test if the mean hemoglobin count from our sample differs from the known population mean of 14. The test statistic is calculated with the formula \( t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}} \). After calculation, we find \( t \approx 1.389 \). The value is then compared to a critical t-value —in this case, 2.821 for \( \alpha = 0.01 \)— to decide whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis \( H_0: \mu = 14 \). Here, since the calculated t-value is less than the critical value, we do not reject the null hypothesis, suggesting that there isn't enough evidence to conclude the patient's average hemoglobin count is higher than the population mean.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Please provide the following information for Problems. (a) What is the level of significance? State the null and alternate hypotheses. (b) Check Requirements What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you making? Compute the sample test statistic and corresponding \(z\) or \(t\) value as appropriate. (c) Find (or estimate) the \(P\) -value. Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the \(P\) -value. (d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level \(\alpha ?\) (e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application. Note: For degrees of freedom \(d . f .\) not in the Student's \(t\) table, use the closest \(d . f .\) that is smaller. In some situations, this choice of \(d . f .\) may increase the \(P\) -value a small amount and therefore produce a slightly more "conservative" answer. Environment: Pollution Index Based on information from The Denver Post, a random sample of \(n_{1}=12\) winter days in Denver gave a sample mean pollution index of \(\bar{x}_{1}=43 .\) Previous studies show that \(\sigma_{1}=21 .\) For Englewood (a suburb of Denver), a random sample of \(n_{2}=14\) winter days gave a sample mean pollution index of \(\bar{x}_{2}=36 .\) Previous studies show that \(\sigma_{2}=15 .\) Assume the pollution index is normally distributed in both Englewood and Denver. Do these data indicate that the mean population pollution index of Englewood is different (either way) from that of Denver in the winter? Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance.

Unfortunately, arsenic occurs naturally in some ground water (Reference: Union Carbide Technical Report \(K / U R-1\) ). A mean arsenic level of \(\mu=8.0\) parts per billion (ppb) is considered safe for agricultural use. A well in Texas is used to water cotton crops. This well is tested on a regular basis for arsenic. A random sample of 37 tests gave a sample mean of \(\bar{x}=7.2 \mathrm{ppb}\) arsenic, with \(s=1.9 \mathrm{ppb} .\) Does this information indicate that the mean level of arsenic in this well is less than 8 ppb? Use \(\alpha=0.01.\)

Suppose the \(P\) -value in a two-tailed test is 0.0134. Based on the same population, sample, and null hypothesis, and assuming the test statistic \(z\) is negative, what is the \(P\) -value for a corresponding left-tailed test?

Consider a hypothesis test of difference of proportions for two independent populations. Suppose random samples produce \(r_{1}\) successes out of \(n_{1}\) trials for the first population and \(r_{2}\) successes out of \(n_{2}\) trials for the second population. What is the best pooled estimate \(\bar{p}\) for the population probability of success using \(H_{0}: p_{1}=p_{2} ?\)

Compare statistical testing with legal methods used in a U.S. court setting. Then discuss the following topics in class or consider the topics on your own. Please write a brief but complete essay in which you answer the following questions. (a) In a court setting, the person charged with a crime is initially considered to be innocent. The claim of innocence is maintained until the jury returns with a decision. Explain how the claim of innocence could be taken to be the null hypothesis. Do we assume that the null hypothesis is true throughout the testing procedure? What would the alternate hypothesis be in a court setting? (b) The court claims that a person is innocent if the evidence against the person is not adequate to find him or her guilty. This does not mean, however, that the court has necessarily proved the person to be innocent. It simply means that the evidence against the person was not adequate for the jury to find him or her guilty. How does this situation compare with a statistical test for which the conclusion is "do not reject" (i.e., accept) the null hypothesis? What would be a type II error in this context? (c) If the evidence against a person is adequate for the jury to find him or her guilty, then the court claims that the person is guilty. Remember, this does not mean that the court has necessarily proved the person to be guilty. It simply means that the evidence against the person was strong enough to find him or her guilty. How does this situation compare with a statistical test for which the conclusion is to "reject" the null hypothesis? What would be a type I error in this context? (d) In a court setting, the final decision as to whether the person charged is innocent or guilty is made at the end of the trial, usually by a jury of impartial people. In hypothesis testing, the final decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis is made at the end of the test by using information or data from an (impartial) random sample. Discuss these similarities between statistical hypothesis testing and a court setting. (e) We hope that you are able to use this discussion to increase your understanding of statistical testing by comparing it with something that is a well-known part of our American way of life. However, all analogies have weak points, and it is important not to take the analogy between statistical hypothesis testing and legal court methods too far. For instance, the judge does not set a level of significance and tell the jury to determine a verdict that is wrong only \(5 \%\) or \(1 \%\) of the time. Discuss some of these weak points in the analogy between the court setting and hypothesis testing.

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