/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 15 Assume that the population of \(... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Assume that the population of \(x\) values has an approximately normal distribution. Wildlife: Mountain Lions How much do wild mountain lions weigh? The 77 th Annual Report of the New Mexico Department of Game and Fish, edited by Bill Montoya, gave the following information. Adult wild mountain lions (18 months or older) captured and released for the first time in the San Andres Mountains gave the following weights (pounds): \(68 \quad 104\) \(128 \quad 122 \quad 60\) (a) Use a calculator with mean and sample standard deviation keys to verify that \(\bar{x}=91.0\) pounds and \(s \approx 30.7\) pounds. (b) Find a \(75 \%\) confidence interval for the population average weight \(\mu\) of all adult mountain lions in the specified region. (c) Interpretation What does the confidence interval mean in the context of this problem?

Short Answer

Expert verified
We are 75% confident that the average weight of all adult mountain lions is between 80.72 and 112.08 pounds.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Mean (Verification)

To find the mean of the mountain lion weights, sum up all the weights and divide by the number of weights. The weights given are: 68, 104, 128, 122, and 60.\[ \bar{x} = \frac{68 + 104 + 128 + 122 + 60}{5} = \frac{482}{5} = 96.4 \text{ pounds} \] This suggests the given mean \( \bar{x} = 91.0 \) pounds is incorrect.
02

Calculate Sample Standard Deviation (Verification)

Calculate the sample standard deviation \( s \) using the formula: \[ s = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i - \bar{x})^2 } \] \[ s = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{4} [(68-96.4)^2 + (104-96.4)^2 + (128-96.4)^2 + (122-96.4)^2 + (60-96.4)^2] } \approx 30.5 \text{ pounds} \] This suggests the given standard deviation \( s \approx 30.7 \) pounds is slightly off.
03

Find 75% Confidence Interval

The 75% confidence interval formula is: \( \bar{x} \pm z \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \). Using a standard normal distribution table, the critical value \( z \) for 75% confidence is approximately \( 1.15 \). Calculate as follows: \[ CI = 96.4 \pm 1.15 \cdot \frac{30.5}{\sqrt{5}} \] \[ CI = 96.4 \pm 1.15 \cdot 13.64 \approx 96.4 \pm 15.68 \] \[ CI \approx (80.72, 112.08) \]
04

Interpretation of Confidence Interval

The 75% confidence interval of (80.72, 112.08) suggests that we are 75% confident that the true average weight \( \mu \) of all adult mountain lions in the specified region falls between 80.72 and 112.08 pounds.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
When dealing with statistics, normal distribution is a common concept that plays a key role in understanding data patterns. Imagine it as a bell curve that shows how data points are spread out in a dataset. Most data points tend to cluster around the mean, with fewer points appearing as you move away from it. This symmetry makes it easy to predict outcomes for many real-world scenarios.

In our exercise, the weights of mountain lions are assumed to follow a normal distribution. This assumption is crucial because it allows us to use standard statistical methods, such as calculating confidence intervals, to make inferences about the entire population based on our sample data. By understanding that the weights form a bell-shaped curve, we can estimate the average weight for all mountain lions in the region. This smooth curve also aids in evaluating probabilities and understanding variations within the dataset.
Mean Calculation
The mean is a measure of central tendency, which helps us understand the average value in a dataset. To calculate the mean, we sum up all the data points and then divide by the number of data points in the set. This gives us an idea of the typical weight of mountain lions in our example.

In our exercise, the mean weight is calculated as follows: Take the weights of the captured lions, add them together, and divide by the total number of weights. Our calculated mean was \(\bar{x} = 96.4 \) pounds. This value gives a snapshot of the central weight around which all others are distributed. However, as noted, our calculation reveals that the provided mean of \(\bar{x} = 91.0 \) pounds was incorrect, showcasing the importance of verifying calculations.
Sample Standard Deviation
Sample standard deviation is a measurement of how spread out the numbers in a dataset are. It tells us how much the individual weight of each mountain lion deviates from the mean on average. The formula to calculate it takes into account each data point, the mean, and the number of observations.

Here’s how it works: Compute the differences between each weight and the mean, square these differences, sum them up, and then divide by the number of data points minus one. Lastly, take the square root of this quotient. This process gives us a value for the standard deviation, in our case, approximately \(s \approx 30.5 \) pounds. This indicates that while some mountain lions weigh close to the mean, others vary significantly, as evidenced by this fairly large standard deviation number compared to the mean.
Z-score
The Z-score is a statistical calculation that tells us how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean. It’s especially useful for understanding where a particular data point lies within a normal distribution and is critical for calculating confidence intervals.

In our exercise, we need to determine a 75% confidence interval. This requires finding a Z-score that corresponds to this confidence level from a standard normal distribution table. A 75% confidence level results in a Z-score of approximately 1.15. By plugging this into the confidence interval formula, alongside the mean and standard deviation, we can derive that we expect the true mean weight of mountain lions to fall within a certain range. The Z-score is foundational here because it standardizes our data, allowing us to use these common statistical tools with confidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Isabel Myers was a pioneer in the study of personality types. The following information is taken from \(A\) Guide to the Development and Use of the Myers- Briggs Type Indicator by Myers and McCaulley (Consulting Psychologists Press). In a random sample of 62 professional actors, it was found that 39 were extroverts. (a) Let \(p\) represent the proportion of all actors who are extroverts. Find a point estimate for \(p\). (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\). Give a brief interpretation of the meaning of the confidence interval you have found. (c) Do you think the conditions \(n p > 5\) and \(n q >5 \) are satisfied in this problem? Explain why this would be an important consideration.

If a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) contains all negative values, what can we conclude about the relationship between \(\mu_{1}\) and \(\mu_{2}\) at the \(90 \%\) confidence level?

A random sample is drawn from a population with \(\sigma=12 .\) The sample mean is 30 (a) Compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) based on a sample of size 49 What is the value of the margin of error? (b) Compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) based on a sample of size \(100 .\) What is the value of the margin of error? (c) Compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) based on a sample of size \(225 .\) What is the value of the margin of error? (d) Compare the margins of error for parts (a) through (c). As the sample size increases, does the margin of error decrease? (e) Critical Thinking Compare the lengths of the confidence intervals for parts (a) through (c). As the sample size increases, does the length of a \(90 \%\) confidence interval decrease?

Assume that the population of \(x\) values has an approximately normal distribution. Archaeology: Tree Rings At Burnt Mesa Pueblo, the method of tree-ring dating gave the following years A.D. for an archacological excavation site (Bandelier Archaeological Excavation Project: Summer 1990 Excavations at Burnt Mesa Pueblo, edited by Kohler, Washington State University): \(1268 \quad 1316\) \(\begin{array}{cccc}1189 & 1271 & 1267 & 1272\end{array}\) 1275 (a) Use a calculator with mean and standard deviation keys to verify that the sample mean year is \(\bar{x}=1272,\) with sample standard deviation \(s \approx 37\) years. (b) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the mean of all tree-ring dates from this archaeological site. (c) Interpretation What does the confidence interval mean in the context of this problem?

(a) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means contains both positive and negative numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain both positive and negative numbers? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain. (b) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of proportions contains all positive numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain all positive numbers as well? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain.

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