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In general, if sample data are such that the null hypothesis is rejected at the \(\alpha=1 \%\) level of significance based on a two-tailed test, is \(H_{0}\) also rejected at the \(\alpha=1 \%\) level of significance for a corresponding one-tailed test? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, if rejected at 1% for a two-tailed test, it is also rejected at 1% for a one-tailed test.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Two-Tailed and One-Tailed Tests

In a two-tailed test, we check for the possibility of the parameter being either significantly higher or lower than a certain value, testing both extremes. In a one-tailed test, we only check for the possibility in one direction, either significantly higher or lower. The critical region for a two-tailed test is distributed between the two tails of the normal distribution, while in a one-tailed test, it is concentrated in one tail.
02

Relating Alpha Levels in Two-Tailed and One-Tailed Tests

For a two-tailed test with \(\alpha = 0.01\), the rejection regions are in both tails, typically at \(-z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}\) and \(+z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}\). For such a test, the critical values correspond to the 0.5% quantiles in each tail since each side of the tail gets \frac{\alpha}{2} = 0.005\ of the rejection region. In contrast, a one-tailed test with the same \(\alpha = 0.01\) has all of the rejection area on one side, making the single one-tail critical value less extreme than those for the two-tailed test.
03

Comparison of Critical Values

Since the critical value in a one-tailed test for \(\alpha = 0.01\) corresponds to a single 1% tail, it is less extreme than either critical value in the corresponding two-tailed test. Thus, data that would lead to rejection in a two-tailed test due to exceeding the extreme critical values will also lead to rejection in the less extreme one-tailed test.
04

Conclusion: Application of the Null Hypothesis Rejection

If the test statistics cause rejection of the null hypothesis in a two-tailed test at \(\alpha = 0.01\), the sample data has already surpassed the critical thresholds that are more extreme compared to a one-tailed test at the same significance level. Therefore, the null hypothesis \(H_{0}\) will also be rejected in the corresponding one-tailed test.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-Tailed Test
In hypothesis testing, a two-tailed test is a valuable method when we want to examine if a sample can be significantly higher or lower than a specified value. This approach is integral when the direction of the deviation from the null hypothesis is not specific, i.e., the effect could equally be in either direction.

Here's what happens in a two-tailed test:
  • The test is more conservative because the rejection region is divided between the two tails of the probability distribution (typically normal distribution).
  • The critical values, which determine the regions where the null hypothesis would be rejected, are positioned on both ends of the distribution.
  • For example, if \(\alpha = 0.01\), 0.5% of the probability lies in each tail.
This means that the data must show a more substantial deviation from the null hypothesis to reject it, making this type of test stringent. When applying a two-tailed test, it's crucial to understand that it controls for type I errors across both ends of the distribution, thus requiring more evidence before rejecting the null hypothesis.
One-Tailed Test
A one-tailed test, on the other hand, focuses on the deviation in a single direction, either higher or lower, relative to the null hypothesis. This type of test is appropriate when prior research or theory suggests the direction of the effect.

Characteristics of a one-tailed test include:
  • All of the significance level (e.g., \(\alpha = 0.01\)) is allocated to just one tail of the distribution, either left or right, based on what is being tested.
  • This makes the critical value in a one-tailed test less extreme compared to a two-tailed test since all the rejection area is pooled in one tail.
  • Consequently, it is easier to reject the null hypothesis because the sample distribution only needs to exceed the critical value in one direction.
While one-tailed tests are more powerful in detecting an effect in the presupposed direction, they can increase the risk of type I errors if the assumed direction is incorrect. Therefore, careful consideration is needed before applying a one-tailed test.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted typically by \(\alpha\), is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing. It reflects our threshold for determining whether to reject the null hypothesis. In more practical terms, it indicates the risk of committing a type I error—falsely rejecting a true null hypothesis.

Key points regarding the significance level:
  • A common choice for \(\alpha\) is 0.05, though 0.01 or 0.10 are also used depending on the degree of confidence desired.
  • Setting \(\alpha = 0.01\) indicates a high level of confidence that the null hypothesis should be rejected, as we only allow a 1% chance of wrongfully rejecting it.
  • The chosen significance level affects the critical values, which define the boundaries of the rejection region in statistical tests.
Thus, the significance level plays a critical role in the decision-making process of hypothesis testing, influencing both the stringency and sensitivity of the test. It's essential to select an appropriate \(\alpha\) based on the context of the research focus and the potential repercussions of type I errors.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In her book Red Ink Behaviors, Jean Hollands reports on the assessment of leading Silicon Valley companies regarding a manager's lost time due to inappropriate behavior of employees. Consider the following independent random variables. The first variable \(x_{1}\) measures a manager's hours per week lost due to hot tempers, flaming e-mails, and general unproductive tensions: \(\begin{array}{llllllll}x_{1}: & 1 & 5 & 8 & 4 & 2 & 4 & 10\end{array}\) The variable \(x_{2}\) measures a manager's hours per week lost due to disputes regarding technical workers' superior attitudes that their colleagues are "dumb and dispensable": \(\begin{array}{lllllllll}x_{2}: & 10 & 5 & 4 & 7 & 9 & 4 & 10 & 3\end{array}\) i. Use a calculator with sample mean and standard deviation keys to verify that \(\bar{x}_{1}=4.86, s_{1} \approx 3.18, \bar{x}_{2}=6.5\), and \(s_{2}=2.88\). ii. Does the information indicate that the population mean time lost due to hot tempers is different (either way) from population mean time lost due to disputes arising from technical workers' superior attitudes? Use \(\alpha=0.05\). Assume that the two lost-time population distributions are mound-shaped and symmetric.

Harper's Index reported that \(80 \%\) of all supermarket prices end in the digit 9 or \(5 .\) Suppose you check a random sample of 115 items in a supermarket and find that 88 have prices that end in 9 or \(5 .\) Does this indicate that less than \(80 \%\) of the prices in the store end in the digits 9 or 5 ? Use \(\alpha=0.05\)

In a statistical test, we have a choice of a left-tailed test, a right-tailed test, or a two-tailed test. Is it the null hypothesis or the alternate hypothesis that determines which type of test is used? Explain your answer.

Consider a binomial experiment with \(n\) trials and \(f\) successes. For a test for a proportion \(p\), what is the formula for the sample test statistic? Describe each symbol used in the formula.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is an important tool in financial work. A random sample of 14 large U.S. banks (J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, and others) gave the following \(\mathrm{P} / \mathrm{E}\) ratios (Reference: Forbes). \(\begin{array}{lllllll}24 & 16 & 22 & 14 & 12 & 13 & 17 \\ 22 & 15 & 19 & 23 & 13 & 11 & 18\end{array}\) The sample mean is \(\bar{x} \approx 17.1\). Generally speaking, a low \(\mathrm{P} / \mathrm{E}\) ratio indicates a "value" or bargain stock. A recent copy of the Wall Street Journal indicated that the \(\mathrm{P} / \mathrm{E}\) ratio of the entire \(\mathrm{S\&P} 500\) stock index is \(\mu=19\). Let \(x\) be a random variable representing the \(\mathrm{P} / \mathrm{E}\) ratio of all large U.S. bank stocks. We assume that \(x\) has a normal distribution and \(\sigma=4.5 .\) Do these data indicate that the \(\mathrm{P} / \mathrm{E}\) ratio of all U.S. bank stocks is less than \(19 ?\) Use \(\alpha=0.05\).

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