/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 19 Let \(x\) be a random variable r... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(x\) be a random variable representing dividend yield of Australian bank stocks. We may assume that \(x\) has a normal distribution with \(\sigma=2.4 \% .\) A random sample of 10 Australian bank stocks gave the following yields. \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}5.7 & 4.8 & 6.0 & 4.9 & 4.0 & 3.4 & 6.5 & 7.1 & 5.3 & 6.1\end{array}\) The sample mean is \(\bar{x}=5.38 \%\). For the entire Australian stock market, the mean dividend yield is \(\mu=4.7 \%\) (Reference: Forbes). Do these data indicate that the dividend yield of all Australian bank stocks is higher than \(4.7 \% ?\) Use \(\alpha=0.01\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, the data do not indicate a higher yield at \(\alpha=0.01\).

Step by step solution

01

Define the null and alternative hypotheses

The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) states that the mean dividend yield of all Australian bank stocks is equal to 4.7%. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) states that the mean dividend yield of all Australian bank stocks is greater than 4.7%.- \(H_0: \mu = 4.7\%\)- \(H_a: \mu > 4.7\%\)
02

Determine the test statistic

Since the sample size is small and \(\sigma\) is known, we'll use the Z-test for the hypothesis test.The formula for the Z-test statistic is:\[Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}}\]where - \(\bar{x} = 5.38\%\)- \(\mu = 4.7\%\)- \(\sigma = 2.4\%\)- \(n = 10\) (sample size)
03

Calculate the Z-test statistic

Substitute the given values into the Z-test formula:\[Z = \frac{5.38 - 4.7}{2.4/\sqrt{10}} \]Calculate the denominator first:\[\sigma/\sqrt{n} = \frac{2.4}{\sqrt{10}} = 0.759\]Then, calculate the Z value:\[Z = \frac{5.38 - 4.7}{0.759} = \frac{0.68}{0.759} \approx 0.896\]
04

Find the critical value for \(\alpha = 0.01\)

This is a one-tailed test (greater than). For \(\alpha = 0.01\), the critical value from the Z-table is approximately 2.33.
05

Make a decision

Compare the calculated Z value to the critical value: - Calculated Z value: 0.896 - Critical Z value: 2.33 Since 0.896 < 2.33, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
06

Conclusion

There is not enough evidence at the \(\alpha = 0.01\) significance level to conclude that the mean dividend yield of all Australian bank stocks is greater than 4.7%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-test
The Z-test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between sample data and a known population mean. It is most appropriate when the population standard deviation (3) is known and the sample size is large (typically greater than 30), but it can also be applied for smaller samples under certain conditions.
The process involves comparing the sample mean (4) with the population mean (5) using a calculated Z-score, which measures how many standard deviations the sample mean deviates from the population mean.
The formula for the Z-test is:
  • \[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} \]
Where:
  • \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean,
  • \( \mu \) is the population mean,
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation of the population,
  • \( n \) is the sample size.
In the given exercise, the Z-test is used to determine if the mean dividend yield of Australian bank stocks is significantly different (greater) than 4.7%, evaluating the hypothesis at a significance level of 0.01.
The calculated Z-value indicates how far, in standard deviation units, the sample mean is from the population mean. This helps us determine whether any observed difference is statistically significant or possibly just due to random chance.
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution, often referred to as the "Bell Curve", is a fundamental concept in statistics. It describes how data points are distributed around a mean or average value in many naturally occurring datasets.
This type of distribution is symmetrical around the mean, meaning it has the same shape on both sides.
  • The mean, median, and mode of a normal distribution are all equal and located at the center.
  • The total area under the curve equals 1, representing the entirety of the dataset.
  • 68.27% of data falls within one standard deviation of the mean, 95.45% falls within two standard deviations, and 99.73% within three.
In the context of the exercise, the normal distribution is assumed for the population of Australian bank stock dividend yields. Knowing that it follows a normal distribution, we can apply the Z-test with confidence, as many statistical tests, including the Z-test, rely on this distribution to be valid.
The properties of normal distribution allow researchers to use its mathematical properties to predict and interpret events. In testing hypotheses, assuming normal distribution lets us make probabilistic conclusions about where sample means lie.
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted as \( \alpha \), is a crucial concept in hypothesis testing. It helps determine the threshold at which you can say a result is statistically significant.
It represents the probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis (a type I error, also known as a "false positive"), and dictates the level of confidence needed to conclude a study's findings are not due to random chance.
  • Common significance levels are 0.05, 0.01, and 0.10, with 0.05 being the most commonly used. This implies a 5% risk of concluding the effect or relationship exists when it does not.
  • Lower values like 0.01 mean a higher confidence level (99%) is required to reject the null hypothesis.
In our exercise, the significance level \( \alpha \) is set to 0.01. This means that we require a 99% confidence level before we can state that the dividend yield of Australian bank stocks is greater than the mean of 4.7% for the entire stock market.
This strict level reduces the risk of making a false claim about the mean, ensuring that only robust evidence can lead to rejecting the null hypothesis.

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