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USA Today reported that the state with the longest mean life span is Hawaii, where the population mean life span is 77 years. A random sample of 20 obituary notices in the Honolulu Advertizer gave the following information about life span (in years) of Honolulu residents: \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}72 & 68 & 81 & 93 & 56 & 19 & 78 & 94 & 83 & 84 \\\ 77 & 69 & 85 & 97 & 75 & 71 & 86 & 47 & 66 & 27\end{array}\) i. Use a calculator with mean and standard deviation keys to verify that \(\bar{x}=71.4\) years and \(s=20.65\) years. ii. Assuming that life span in Honolulu is approximately normally distributed, does this information indicate that the population mean life span for Honolulu residents is less than 77 years? Use a \(5 \%\) level of significance.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean life span in Honolulu is less than 77 years.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Sample Mean (Verification)

First, calculate the sample mean \( \bar{x} \) of the given data. The formula to calculate the mean is \( \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n} \), where \( n \) is the sample size.\[ \bar{x} = \frac{72 + 68 + 81 + 93 + 56 + 19 + 78 + 94 + 83 + 84 + 77 + 69 + 85 + 97 + 75 + 71 + 86 + 47 + 66 + 27}{20} \approx 71.4 \]The computed mean is \( \bar{x} = 71.4 \), which matches the given mean.
02

Calculate Sample Standard Deviation (Verification)

Calculate the sample standard deviation \( s \) using the formula: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \]Plugging in the values, the computed standard deviation is approximately \( s = 20.65 \), verifying the given standard deviation.
03

State the Hypotheses

Set up the null and alternative hypotheses for the test:- Null hypothesis \( H_0: \mu = 77 \)- Alternative hypothesis \( H_a: \mu < 77 \)
04

Compute the Test Statistic

The test statistic for a sample mean is calculated using the formula:\[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}} \]Substitute the known values:\[ t = \frac{71.4 - 77}{20.65/\sqrt{20}} \approx -1.22 \]
05

Determine the Critical Value and Decision

Since we use a \(5\%\) level of significance for a one-tailed test, find the critical value from the t-distribution table with \(n-1 = 19\) degrees of freedom.- The critical value \( t_{critical} \approx -1.729 \)Since \( t = -1.22 \) is greater than \( t_{critical} \), we do not reject the null hypothesis.
06

Conclusion

Based on the critical value and test statistic comparison, there is not enough evidence to support the claim that the population mean life span for Honolulu residents is less than 77 years at a \(5\%\) significance level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean Calculation
To determine the sample mean, you need to add together all the values in the dataset and then divide by the total number of values. This method gives us an average, representing the central tendency of our data set. For our problem involving the life spans of Honolulu residents, we have 20 data points.
By calculating the sample mean, \[ \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n} \]we ensure we understand the typical lifespan from our sample. In our case, summing up all the life spans and dividing by 20 yields a sample mean of approximately 71.4 years. This is a useful number showing the average life span of the sample group studied.
Sample Standard Deviation
Standard deviation helps us understand how much individual data points deviate from our mean value. It's a measure of the spread of data in a sample, providing insight into variability. The formula for sample standard deviation is:\[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \]Here, \(x_i\) represents each value in the dataset, and \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean. By calculating this for our sample of Honolulu residents, we get a standard deviation of approximately 20.65 years. This suggests there is a significant range in the life spans within our sample, though most are around the mean.
t-Test
The t-test allows us to determine if there is a statistically significant difference between the sample mean and a known population mean. For this exercise, we are testing whether the sample mean lifespan in Honolulu is different from the established mean of 77 years. The test statistic is calculated using:\[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}} \]where \(\mu\) is the population mean, \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. Our calculated test statistic of approximately -1.22 informs whether the difference between our sample and population mean is due to random variation or another factor.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
In hypothesis testing, we start by establishing two opposing statements: the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)). The null hypothesis assumes that there is no effect or difference, while the alternative proposes some kind of effect or difference. In our exercise:
- Null hypothesis (\(H_0\)): Mean lifespan is 77 years (\(\mu = 77\)).
- Alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)): Mean lifespan is less than 77 years (\(\mu < 77\)).
These hypotheses provide a framework for our analysis, helping us decide if the evidence from our data supports a significant change or deviation from the established norm.
Critical Value and Significance Level
The critical value and significance level play crucial roles in hypothesis testing. The significance level (often denoted by \(\alpha\)) is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. For this exercise, we use a 5% significance level, which is quite typical.
The critical value corresponds to the threshold we compare the test statistic to and is derived from the t-distribution table based on our significance level and degrees of freedom (\(n-1\)). In our exercise, the critical value was approximately -1.729. Since the calculated test statistic of -1.22 does not fall into the critical region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. This suggests that we do not have sufficient evidence to conclude that the population mean lifespan is less than 77 years.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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