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A random sample of 49 measurements from a population with population standard deviation 3 had a sample mean of 10\. An independent random sample of 64 measurements from a second population with population standard deviation 4 had a sample mean of \(12 .\) Test the claim that the population means are different. Use level of significance \(0.01\). (a) What distribution does the sample test statistic follow? Explain. (b) State the hypotheses. (c) Compute \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) and the corresponding sample test statistic. (d) Find the \(P\) -value of the sample test statistic. (e) Conclude the test. (f) The results.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population means are significantly different at the 0.01 level.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Distribution

We are comparing the means of two independent samples with known population standard deviations. Therefore, the test statistic follows a standard normal distribution, i.e., a Z-distribution, because the sample sizes are large enough (49 and 64).
02

State the Hypotheses

We need to set up the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis (H_0) is that there is no difference between the population means: H_0: c1-c2 = 0. The alternative hypothesis (H_a) claims that the population means are different: H_a: c1-c2 c 0.
03

Calculate the Difference in Sample Means

The difference between the sample means is given by 8_x_1-8_x_2 = 10 - 12 = -2.
04

Compute the Test Statistic

The formula for the test statistic for two independent samples is \[ z = \frac{(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) - (\mu_1 - \mu_2)}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}} \]Since the population means c1 and c2 are hypothesized to be equal under fh_0, this reduces to:\[ z = \frac{-2 - 0}{\sqrt{\frac{3^2}{49} + \frac{4^2}{64}}} = \frac{-2}{\sqrt{\frac{9}{49} + \frac{16}{64}}} \]Simplifying this value gives \[ z \approx -2.828 \].
05

Find the P-value

The test statistic value is -2.828. Using a standard normal distribution (Z-distribution) table or calculator, the P-value for this two-tailed test is 2 times the probability of Z being less than -2.828, since P(Z < -2.828) 8 0.0023. Thus, the P-value 8 0.0046.
06

Make a Decision

We compare the P-value (0.0046) with the level of significance ( 0.01). Since 0.0046 < 0.01, we reject the null hypothesis f0.
07

State the Conclusion

There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the population means are different at the 0.01 level of significance.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Z-Distribution
When you're dealing with statistical hypothesis testing, one common tool in your toolkit is the z-distribution. This is a type of standard normal distribution, which is extremely useful when you're looking at large sample sizes, typically 30 or more. The beauty of the z-distribution lies in its symmetry and the fact that it is bell-shaped, with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one.

In the context of comparing means from two independent samples, like in the exercise, the z-distribution helps to understand how far a sample statistic is from the population parameter. In simpler terms, it tells you how unusual or significant the observed statistic is under the null hypothesis.

For this exercise, given the large sample sizes (49 and 64) and known population standard deviations, the test statistic for the difference in sample means follows a z-distribution. This appropriation is crucial because it allows the calculation of the p-value, which is a key component in hypothesis testing.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses in Testing
When conducting a hypothesis test, defining your hypotheses is an important step. Hypotheses serve as opposing theories about the population from which your samples are drawn.

Firstly, there's the null hypothesis, often denoted as \(H_0\). In many tests, it suggests that no difference exists between certain population parameters. In the exercise, the null hypothesis was: \( \mu_1 - \mu_2 = 0 \), indicating no difference in the population means.

On the other side, you have the alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_a\). This hypothesis proposes that a difference does exist. For this case, \(H_a: \mu_1 - \mu_2 \eq 0 \) suggests the means are not the same.

The goal of hypothesis testing is to determine which hypothesis is more likely, given the data. By comparing calculated values, like the p-value, against a level of significance, you can reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. In this exercise, the decision was made using this framework.
The P-Value and Its Crucial Role
The p-value in hypothesis testing quantifies the probability of obtaining a test statistic as or more extreme than the one computed from your sample data, assuming the null hypothesis is true. Simply put, it tells you how likely your observed data would occur if \(H_0\) holds true.

For this exercise, a test statistic was calculated using the z-distribution, resulting in \(z \approx -2.828\). With the p-value determination, you would use this statistic to find the probability of observing such an extreme value in a standard normal distribution.

With a p-value of approximately 0.0046, it was compared against the given level of significance, 0.01. Since 0.0046 is less than 0.01, the data presents enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis. This decision is based on the principle that a smaller p-value indicates stronger evidence against \(H_0\). Therefore, there's a significant indication that the population means are indeed different.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Gentle Ben is a Morgan horse at a Colorado dude ranch. Over the past 8 weeks, a veterinarian took the following glucose readings from this horse (in \(\mathrm{mg} / 100 \mathrm{ml}\) ). \(\begin{array}{llllllll}93 & 88 & 82 & 105 & 99 & 110 & 84 & 89\end{array}\) The sample mean is \(\bar{x}=93.8\). Let \(x\) be a random variable representing glucose readings taken from Gentle Ben. We may assume that \(x\) has a normal distribution, and we know from past experience that \(\sigma=12.5\). The mean glucose level for horses should be \(\mu=85 \mathrm{mg} / 100 \mathrm{ml}\) (Reference: Merck Veterinary Mamul). Do these data indicate that Gentle Ben has an overall average glucose level higher than 85 ? Use \(\alpha=0.05\).

Two populations have normal distributions. The first has population standard deviation 2 and the second has population standard deviation 3. A random sample of 16 measurements from the first population had a sample mean of \(20 .\) An independent random sample of 9 measurements from the second population had a sample mean of \(19 .\) Test the claim that the population mean of the first population exceeds that of the second. Use a \(5 \%\) level of significance. (a) What distribution does the sample test statistic follow? Explain. (b) State the hypotheses. (c) Compute \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) and the corresponding sample test statistic. (d) Find the \(P\) -value of the sample test statistic. (e) Conclude the test (f) The results.

Is fishing better from a boat or from the shore? Pyramid Lake is located on the Paiute Indian Reservation in Nevada. Presidents, movie stars, and people who just want to catch fish go to Pyramid Lake for really large cutthroat trout. Let row \(B\) represent hours per fish caught fishing from the shore, and let row \(A\) represent hours per fish caught using a boat. The following data are paired by month from October through April (Source: Pyramid Lake Fisheries, Paiute Reservation, Nevada). $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccccc} \hline & \text { Oct. } & \text { Nov. } & \text { Dec. } & \text { Jan. } & \text { Feb. } & \text { March } & \text { April } \\ \hline \text { B: Shore } & 1.6 & 1.8 & 2.0 & 3.2 & 3.9 & 3.6 & 3.3 \\ \hline \text { A: Boat } & 1.5 & 1.4 & 1.6 & 2.2 & 3.3 & 3.0 & 3.8 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance to test if there is a difference in the population mean hours per fish caught using a boat compared with fishing from the shore.

USA Today reported that about \(47 \%\) of the general consumer population in the United States is loyal to the automobile manufacturer of their choice. Suppose Chevrolet did a study of a random sample of 1006 Chevrolet owners and found that 490 said they would buy another Chevrolet. Does this indicate that the population proportion of consumers loyal to Chevrolet is more than \(47 \%\) ? Use \(\alpha=0.01\).

For a Student's \(t\) distribution with \(d . f .=10\) and \(t=2.930\), (a) find an interval containing the corresponding \(P\) -value for a two-tailed test. (b) find an interval containing the corresponding \(P\) -value for a right- tailed test.

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