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A random sample of 415children from England and the United States who completed a survey in a recent year was selected. Each student’s country of origin was recorded along with which superpower they would most like to have: the ability to fly, ability to freeze time, invisibility, super strength, or telepathy (ability to read minds). The data are summarized in the two-way table.

Suppose we randomly select one of these students. Define events E: England, T: telepathy, and S: superstrength.

a. Find P(T|E).Interpret this value in context.

b. Given that the student did not choose superstrength, what’s the probability that this child is from England? Write your answer as a probability statement using correct symbols for the events.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) Probability for the child from England prefers Telepathy, P(T|E)=0.22

Part (b) Probability that the child from England did not choose superstrength,P(E|S)≈0.4839

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. 

Data for superpowers in the two – way table:

02

Part (a) Step 2. Explanation

According to conditional probability,

P(B|A)=P(A∩B)P(A)=P(AandB)P(A)

We know

E: England

T: Telepathy

Note that

The information about 415children is provided in the table.

Thus,

The number of possible outcomes is 415.

Also note that

In the table, 200of the 415children are from England.

Thus,

The number of favorable outcomes is 200.

When the number of favorable outcomes is divided by the number of possible outcomes, we get the probability.

P(E)=NumberoffavorableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=200415

Now,

Note that

In the table, 44of the 415children are from England and prefer Telepathy. In this case, the number of favorable outcomes is 44and number of possible outcomes is 415.

P(EandT)=NumberoffavorableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=44415

Apply conditional probability:

P(E|T)=P(EandT)P(E)=44415200415=44200=1150=0.2=22%

Therefore,

Around 22%of the children from England prefer Telepathy and the probability for the child from England prefers Telepathy is 0.22.

03

Part (b) Step 1. Explanation

According to complement rule,

P(Ac)=P(notA)=1-P(A)

According to conditional probability,

P(B|A)=P(A∩B)P(A)=P(AandB)P(A)

We know

E: England

S: Superstrength

Note that

The information about 415children is provided in the table.

Thus,

The number of possible outcomes is 415.

Also note that

In the table, 43of the 415children from both the countries prefer superstrength.

Thus,

The number of favorable outcomes is 43.

When the number of favorable outcomes is divided by the number of possible outcomes, we get the probability.

P(S)=NumberoffavorableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=43415

Apply complement rule:

P(Sc)=P(notS)=1-43415=372415

Now,

Note that

In the table, 20children from total 200children from England prefer Superstrength.

That means

Remaining 180children from total 200children from England do not prefer Superstrength.

In this case, the number of favorable outcomes is 180.

Since the total children from both the countries are 415.

Thus,

The number of possible outcomes is 415.

P(EandSc)=NumberoffavorableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=180415

Apply conditional probability:

P(E|Sc)=P(EandSc)P(A)=180415372415=180372=1531≈0.4839=48.39%

Therefore,

Around 48.39%children not preferring Superstrength are from England and the probability for child from England did not prefer Superstrength is 0.4839.

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