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European population growth Many populations grow exponentially. Here are the data for the estimated population of Europe (in millions) from 1700to 2012. The dates are recorded as years since 1700so that x=312is the year 2012.

year since1700population (in millions)01255016310020315027620040825072929973230874031072931273

a. Use a logarithm to transform population size. Then calculate and state the least-squares regression line using the transformed variable.

b. Use your model from part (a) to predict the population size of Europe in 2020.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a). The least-squares regression line using the transformed variable is logy=2.0796+0.0026x.

b). The expected size of Europe in 2020 is 815.831 millions.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

Given data:

year since1700population (in millions)01255016310020315027620040825072929973230874031072931273

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

Log of given data:

year since1700population (in millions)log(population)01252.096910013501632.2121876041002032.3074960381502762.4409090822004082.6106601632505472.7379873262997292.8627275283087322.8645110813107382.8680563623127402.86923172

Making use of a Ti83/84 calculator

Step 1: select STAT;

Step 2: select 1: EDIT.

Step 3: Type the data for each year since 1700in list L1 and the population logarithmic in list L2.

Step 4: hit STAT once more, select CALC, and then LinReg(a+bx).

03

Part (a) Step 3: Explanation

The required result:

y=a+bx

a=2.0796

b=0.0026

Substituting the value in aand b

y=2.0796+0.0026x

The year since 1700is represented by x, while the population logarithm is represented by y.

logy=2.0796+0.0026x
04

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

Given data:

year since1700population (in millions)01255016310020315027620040825072929973230874031072931273

05

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

Substituting the value xby 320:

logy=2.0796+0.0026x

logy=2.0796+0.0026(320)

logy=2.9116

Using the exponential function with a base of ten

y=10logy

=102.9116

=815.831

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