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Three branches According to a recent study by the Annenberg Foundation, only 36%of adults in the United States could name all three branches of government. This was based on a survey given to a random sample of1416U.S. adults.

a. Construct and interpret a 90%confidence interval for the proportion of all U.S. adults who could name all three branches of government.

b. Does the interval from part (a) provide convincing evidence that less than half of all U.S. adults could name all three branches of government? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The confidence interval lie between (0.3350,0.3850)

b. Yes, there is convincing evidence that less than half of adults can name all branches of government.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

It is given that c=90%=0.90

p^=0.36,n=1416

For confidence interval1-α=0.90,za/2=1.96using probability table.

02

Construct and Interpret 90% Confidence Interval

The conditions are:

Random: US adults are selected randomly, it is satisfied.

Normal: Success are 1416(0.36)=509.76and failure are 1416(1-0.36)=906.24which are larger than ten.

Independent: 1416adults is surely less than 10%of total population.

All conditions are satisfied.

Now,

Margin of Error: E=zα/2×p^(1-p^)n

=1.96×0.36(1-0.36)1416=0.0250

Confidence Interval: p^-E=0.6-0.0250=0.3350

and p^+E=0.6+0.0250=0.3850

hence, interval is(0.3350,0.3850)

03

To check if the interval from part (a) provide convincing evidence that less than half of all U.S. adults could name all three branches of government 

The interval does not have 0.5. All values are below 0.5. It shows that population proportion is less than 0.5. Hence, there is convincing evidence that less than half of adults can name all branches of government.

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