/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 26 How strongly do physical charact... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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How strongly do physical characteristics of sisters and brothers correlate? Here are data on the heights (in inches) of 11 adult pairs: \({ }^{8}\) $$\begin{array}{llllllllllll}\hline \text { Brother: } & 71 & 68 & 66 & 67 & 70 & 71 & 70 & 73 & 72 & 65 & 66 \\\\\text { Sister: } & 69 & 64 & 65 & 63 & 65 & 62 & 65 & 64 & 66 & 59 & 62 \\\\\hline \end{array}$$ (a) Construct a scatterplot using brother's height as the explanatory variable. Describe what you see. (b) Use your calculator to compute the least-squares regression line for predicting sister's height from brother's height. Interpret the slope in context. (c) Damien is 70 inches tall. Predict the height of his sister Tonya. (d) Do you expect your prediction in (c) to be very accurate? Give appropriate evidence to support your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) The scatterplot shows a positive relationship. (b) \( y = 0.5x + 27.5 \), meaning sister's height increases by 0.5 inches for each inch in brother's height. (c) Tonya is approximately 62.5 inches tall. (d) Prediction accuracy is moderate, as implied by data variability.

Step by step solution

01

Create a Scatterplot

To create a scatterplot with the brother's height as the explanatory variable, plot each brother's height on the x-axis and the corresponding sister's height on the y-axis. As you plot the points, you will notice a positive linear trend, indicating that there is some correlation between the heights of brothers and sisters.
02

Calculate Least-Squares Regression Line

Use a calculator or statistical software to find the least-squares regression line. Input the brother's heights as the x-values and the sister's heights as the y-values. The regression equation is typically in the form \( y = mx + b \), where \( m \) is the slope and \( b \) is the y-intercept. In this case, the equation is approximately \( y = 0.5x + 27.5 \). The slope of 0.5 indicates that, for each additional inch in a brother's height, the sister's height increases by about 0.5 inches.
03

Make a Prediction for Tonya's Height

Substitute Damien's height (70 inches) into the regression equation to predict Tonya's height. Using \( y = 0.5(70) + 27.5 \), calculate \( y = 35 + 27.5 = 62.5 \). This predicts that Tonya is approximately 62.5 inches tall.
04

Evaluate Prediction Accuracy

To evaluate the accuracy, consider the correlation coefficient, which measures how closely the data points fit the regression line. A strong correlation (close to 1 or -1) suggests a more accurate prediction. Without exact correlation data, observing the scatterplot for closeness of fit can also help. Given the variability in sister's heights for similar brother's heights, expect the prediction accuracy to be moderate, not precise.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Scatterplot
A scatterplot is a valuable tool in statistics for visualizing the relationship between two quantitative variables. In our exercise, we used the brothers' heights as the explanatory variable and the sisters' heights as the response variable. To create a scatterplot, each pair of data points (i.e., brother's and sister's height) is plotted with the brother's height on the x-axis and the sister's height on the y-axis.
As you set these data points on the scatterplot, potential patterns or trends become visible. In this scenario, the points form a somewhat consistent upward trend, indicating a positive correlation. This means that, generally, as brothers become taller, their sisters tend to be taller too. Such a graph helps in understanding how closely the variables are related, at a glance.
Regression Line
Once the scatterplot is established, another important concept in understanding correlation is the regression line, specifically the least-squares regression line. This line provides a mathematical way to represent the overall pattern of the data. It is calculated in such a way that the sum of the squares of the vertical distances of the points from the line is minimized.
In this exercise, using a calculator or computer software, the regression line is calculated to be approximately: \[ y = 0.5x + 27.5 \]. Here, "y" represents the predicted sister's height, and "x" is the brother's height. The slope of this line, noted as 0.5, implies that for every inch increase in a brother's height, the predicted sister's height increases by half an inch. The y-intercept of 27.5 is the predicted height of a sister when a brother's height is zero inches, which in practice reflects much more complex biological factors.
Prediction Accuracy
The accuracy of predictions made with a regression line depends largely on the strength of the correlation between the two variables. In our context, prediction accuracy refers to how closely the predicted sister's height matches the actual height. This is often assessed using the correlation coefficient, which is a number between -1 and 1.
A correlation coefficient near 1 or -1 indicates strong predictive power, while a number near zero suggests weak correlation. Although the exact coefficient wasn't provided in our exercise, observations such as the scatterplot's data tightness around the regression line give clues. Given that the sister's heights show variability around the predicted values, the prediction accuracy may not be very high. This means while the regression line gives an estimate, actual results could vary considerably. Thus, predictions should be made cautiously, especially when using data with moderate five correlation.

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