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91Ó°ÊÓ

Check whether each of the conditions is met for calculating a confidence interval for the population proportion \(\bar{p}\). Glenn wonders what proportion of the students at his school believe that tuition is too high. He interviews an SRS of 50 of the 2400 students at his college. Thirty-eight of those interviewed think tuition is too high.

Short Answer

Expert verified
All conditions are met for calculating the confidence interval.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

In this exercise, we need to determine if we can calculate a confidence interval for the population proportion \(\bar{p}\), which is the proportion of students believing tuition is too high. We have a sample size of 50 from a population of 2400, and 38 students in our sample believe tuition is too high.
02

Checking the Condition for Random Sampling

The sample is described as a simple random sample (SRS) of 50 students, which satisfies the condition that the sample should be randomly selected.
03

Checking the Sample Size Condition

The rule of thumb for using normal approximation is that both \(np\) and \(n(1-p)\) should be greater than or equal to 10. We calculate \(n = 50\), \(p = \frac{38}{50} = 0.76\), thus\(np = 50 \times 0.76 = 38\) and \(n(1-p) = 50 \times (1-0.76) = 12\) Both conditions are satisfied as 38 and 12 are greater than 10.
04

Checking the Population Size Condition

The sample size should be less than 10% of the population to ensure independence. Here, the sample size is 50 and the population is 2400. Since \(50 < 0.1 \times 2400 = 240\), this condition is met as well.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Simple Random Sample
A simple random sample (SRS) is a fundamental concept in statistics used to ensure that results are unbiased and reliable. It involves selecting a group of participants from a larger population, where each member of the population has an equal chance of being chosen. This ensures that the sample represents the broader population well.

In Glenn's scenario, he selects 50 students randomly from a total of 2400 students at his college. Each student had an equal opportunity to be part of the sample, fulfilling the requirement for a simple random sample. This method is crucial because it helps to avoid any unintentional biases in the data collection process. By using an SRS, Glenn can confidently state that his findings on the proportion of students who think tuition is too high are generalized to the entire student body.
Normal Approximation
Normal approximation is used when dealing with proportions if certain criteria are met, allowing the sampling distribution of the sample proportion to be shaped like a normal distribution. This approximation simplifies calculations while estimating parameters, such as confidence intervals.

The logic here is that if the sample size is large enough, the distribution of the sample proportion will resemble the normal distribution due to the Central Limit Theorem. In the problem at hand, since Glenn has a sample of 50, we need to ensure that both the expected number of successes (\(np\)) and failures (\(n(1-p)\)) are at least 10 to rely on the normal approximation.
  • Successes: \(np = 50 imes 0.76 = 38\).
  • Failures: \(n(1-p) = 50 imes 0.24 = 12\).
Both conditions are satisfied, confirming that normal approximation is appropriate for this exercise.
Sample Size Condition
The sample size condition ensures that the normal approximation to the binomial distribution can be applied. This condition requires that both the number of successes and the number of failures in our sample be 10 or more.

In Glenn’s situation, with 38 students out of 50 stating tuition is too high:
  • The number of successes is \(np = 38\).
  • The number of failures is \(n(1-p) = 12\).
Both these numbers exceed 10, meaning the normal approximation condition based on the sample size is met. Thus, it confirms that we can use the methods associated with the normal distribution to analyze this sample.
Population Size Condition
The population size condition is another critical requirement for statistical analysis that ensures the independence of sample observations. The rule of thumb is that the sample size should be less than 10% of the total population size.

In Glenn's case, he surveys 50 students out of a population of 2400. Let's break it down:
  • Calculate 10% of the population: \(0.1 imes 2400 = 240\).
  • Compare with the sample size: 50 students.
Since 50 is far less than 240, this condition is satisfied. This compliance is essential as it confirms that the sample is small enough not to affect the overall population characteristics and that each observation remains independent.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The news article goes on to say: "The theoretical errors do not take into account \(\cdots\) additional error resulting from the various practical difficulties in taking any survey of public opinion." List some of the "practical difficulties" that may cause errors which are not included in the ±3 percentage point margin of error.

Tonya wants to estimate what proportion of her school's seniors plan to attend the prom. She interviews an SRS of 50 of the 750 seniors in her school and finds that 36 plan to go to the prom. (a) Identify the population and parameter of interest. (b) Check conditions for constructing a confidence interval for the parameter. (c) Construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\). Show your method. (d) Interpret the interval in context.

A medical study finds that \(\bar{x}=114.9\) and \(s_{x}=9.3\) for the seated systolic blood pressure of the 27 members of one treatment group. What is the standard error of the mean? Interpret this value in context.

One reason for using a \(t\) distribution instead of the standard Normal curve to find critical values when calculating a level \(C\) confidence interval for a population mean is that (a) \(z\) can be used only for large samples. (b) \(z\) requires that you know the population standard deviation \(\sigma\). (c) \(z\) requires that you can regard your data as an \(\mathrm{SRS}\) from the population. (d) \(z\) requires that the sample size is at most \(10 \%\) of the population size. (e) a \(z\) critical value will lead to a wider interval than a \(t\) critical value.

A national opinion poll found that \(44 \%\) of all American adults agree that parents should be given vouchers that are good for education at any public or private school of their choice. The result was based on a small sample. (a) How large an SRS is required to obtain a margin of error of 0.03 (that is, \(\pm 3 \%\) ) in a \(99 \%\) confidence interval? Answer this question using the previous poll's result as the guessed value for \(\hat{p}\). (b) Answer the question in part (a) again, but this time use the conservative guess \(\hat{p}=0.5 .\) By how much do the two sample sizes differ?

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