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What does the CLT say? Asked what the central limit theorem says, a student replies, "As you take larger and larger samples from a population, the spread of the sampling distribution of the sample mean decreases." Is the student right? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, the student is correct; the spread decreases as sample size increases.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Student's Claim

The student states that as the sample size increases, the spread (or dispersion) of the sampling distribution of the sample mean decreases.
02

Understand the Central Limit Theorem

The central limit theorem (CLT) states that as the sample size becomes large, the distribution of the sample mean approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the population distribution, provided that the samples are independent and identically distributed. Additionally, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size, \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \).
03

Analyze the Student's Statement

According to the CLT, the student is correct in stating that the spread of the sampling distribution of the sample mean decreases as the sample size increases. This is because the standard deviation of the sampling distribution is \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), which decreases as \( n \) increases.
04

Conclusion

The student's explanation aligns with one of the outcomes of the CLT. Larger sample sizes result in a smaller standard deviation for the sampling distribution of the sample mean.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Distribution
The concept of sampling distribution plays a crucial role in understanding the behavior of sample statistics. Imagine you select a sample from a population, calculate a particular statistic like the mean, and then do this over and over again. The distribution of these means is called the sampling distribution.
This distribution allows statisticians to make inferences about the overall population based on the sample data. Importantly, due to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), the sampling distribution of the sample mean becomes approximately normal, even if the population itself is not normally distributed. This concept becomes more reliable as the sample size increases. As the sample size ( ext{n} ) grows, the spread of the distribution narrows, making the estimates sharper.
Sample Mean
The sample mean is the average of the values from your sample data. Consider it your best estimate of the population mean. When you collect a sample, calculate the sample mean by summing all sample values and dividing by the total number of observations in the sample.
The sample mean is a key player in statistics because it serves as an unbiased estimator of the population mean. Its importance is magnified by the Central Limit Theorem, which tells us that the distribution of the sample mean turns normal as the sample size increases, regardless of the population distribution shape. This feature makes the sample mean particularly powerful in the field of statistics.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation measures how spread out the numbers in a set of data are. In the context of sample and population, it quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion. The sample standard deviation can be used to estimate the population standard deviation.

The Central Limit Theorem gives us a crucial insight: the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size, expressed as \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \). This formula indicates that as the sample size ( ext{n}) increases, the standard deviation of the sampling mean decreases. It means larger samples give more precise estimates of the population mean.
Population Distribution
Population distribution refers to the spread of all data points in a population. It could be in any shape or form such as normal, skewed, or uniform. When studying statistics, often we want to know about parameters like the population mean or standard deviation.

The Central Limit Theorem is powerful because it assures us that the shape of the population distribution does not affect the shape of the sampling distribution of the sample mean when the sample size is sufficiently large. No matter how skewed or oddly distributed the population is, the sampling distribution of the sample mean becomes approximately normal, making it easier to perform further statistical tests and analyses.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Osteoporosis is a condition in which the bones become brittle due to loss of minerals. To diagnose osteoporosis, an elaborate apparatus measures bone mineral density (BMD). BMD is usually reported in standardized form. The standardization is based on a population of healthy young adults. The World Health Organization (WHO) criterion for osteoporosis is a BMD score that is 2.5 standard deviations below the mean for young adults. BMD measurements in a population of people similar in age and gender roughly follow a Normal distribution. (a) What percent of healthy young adults have osteoporosis by the \(\mathrm{WHO}\) criterion? (b) Women aged 70 to 79 are, of course, not young adults. The mean BMD in this age group is about -2 on the standard scale for young adults. Suppose that the standard deviation is the same as for young adults. What percent of this older population has osteoporosis?

Underage drinking The Harvard College Alcohol Study finds that \(67 \%\) of college students support efforts to "crack down on underage drinking." Does this result hold at a large local college? To find out, college administrators survey an SRS of 100 students and find that 62 support a crackdown on underage drinking. (a) Suppose that the proportion of all students attending this college who support a crackdown is \(67 \%,\) the same as the national proportion. What is the probability that the proportion in an SRS of 100 students is 0.62 or less? Show your work. (b) A writer in the college's student paper says that "support for a crackdown is lower at our school than nationally." Write a short letter to the editor explaining why the survey does not support this conclusion.

Lightning strikes The number of lightning strikes on a square kilometer of open ground in a year has mean 6 and standard deviation \(2.4 .\) The National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) uses automatic sensors to watch for lightning in a random sample of 10 one-square-kilometer plots of land. (a) What are the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\), the sample mean number of strikes per square kilometer? (b) Explain why you cannot safely calculate the probability that \(\bar{x}<5\) based on a sample of size 10 . (c) Suppose the NLDN takes a random sample of \(n=50\) square kilometers instead. Explain how the central limit theorem allows us to find the probability that the mean number of lightning strikes per square kilometer is less than \(5 .\) Then calculate this probability. Show your work.

Scores on the mathematics part of the SAT exam in a recent year were roughly Normal with mean 515 and standard deviation 114 . You choose an SRS of 100 students and average their SAT Math scores. Suppose that you do this many, many times. Which of the following are the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x} ?\) (a) \(\quad\) Mean \(=515, \mathrm{SD}=114\) (b) \(\quad\) Mean \(=515, \mathrm{SD}=114 / \sqrt{100}\) (c) \(\quad\) Mean \(=515 / 100, \mathrm{SD}=114 / 100\) (d) \(\quad\) Mean \(=515 / 100, \mathrm{SD}=114 / \sqrt{100}\) (e) Cannot be determined without knowing the 100 scores.

Decreasing the sample size from 750 to 375 would multiply the standard deviation by (a) 2 . (c) \(1 / 2\). (e) none of these. (b) \(\sqrt{2}\). (d) \(1 / \sqrt{2}\).

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